🏗️ New Construction
Archer II Plan · Summerfield, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$266,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step inside the Archer floorplan, available in Sunset Hills in Summerfield, Florida. This single-story, all concrete block constructed, 3 bedroom and 2 bathroom home features an open-concept floorplan that optimizes living space. The spacious kitchen overlooks the great room, dining area, and outdoor patio. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless-steel appliances including a built-in dishwasher, range, and microwave. The primary suite is located towards the back of the home, featuring a spacious walk-in closet and ensuite bathroom with double vanity sinks. Two additional bedrooms are located towards the front of the home and share a bathroom across the hall. Like all homes in Sunset Hills, the Archer is complete with a state-of-the-art smart home system that keeps you connected to your home at all times, whether you're 5-minutes or a plane ride away. Contact us today and find your new home in Sunset Hills.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Spacious kitchen
- Ensuite bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $267k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-374 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (18.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (28.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harbour View Elementary School (math 41% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 819 students, 71% FRL); Lake Weir Middle School (math 37% / reading 33%, grade F, #416 of 571 statewide, top 74%, 1,207 students, 76% FRL); Lake Weir High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,483 students, 68% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1056 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.87%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $272,623
- List price
- $266,990
- Delta
- -2.07%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10136 SE 158th Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (0%) | 0mo | $249,990 | $188 | 78 |
| 15952 SE 101st Cir | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (0%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $200 | 77 |
| 10116 SE 158th Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (0%) | 3mo | $270,655 | $204 | 76 |
| 10133 SE 158th Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (0%) | 1mo | $240,990 | $181 | 76 |
| 10101 SE 158th Ln | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (0%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $184 | 74 |
| 9818 SE 161st Lane Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (0%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $184 | 67 |
| 10108 SE 158th Ln | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,498 (+13%) | 4mo | $275,570 | $184 | 49 |
| 15964 SE 101st Cir | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,498 (+13%) | 4mo | $279,570 | $187 | 49 |
| 10141 SE 158th Ln | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,498 (+13%) | 2mo | $272,990 | $182 | 48 |
| 10125 SE 158th Ln | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,498 (+13%) | 4mo | $280,990 | $188 | 47 |
| 15931 SE 101st Cir | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,498 (+13%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $177 | 47 |
| 10117 SE 158th Ln | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,498 (+13%) | 4mo | $283,070 | $189 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-67,941
- Equity at exit
- $40,649
- IRR
- -23.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.17×
- Total profit
- $-89,681
- Equity at exit
- $23,571
Cash invested: $76,334 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 20 active · 22 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.1 mo (14%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $279,035 ($194/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 159 d
- This list price
- 35% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +5.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34491
- Home prices YoY
- -35.0%
- Active inventory
- 1056
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,912 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,430
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$341 /mo · $4,089/yr
- Insurance
- −$114
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $-374
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-185 | -5% $-279 | +0% $-374 | +5% $-468 | +10% $-562 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-525 | -5% $-449 | +0% $-374 | +5% $-298 | +10% $-223 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-236 | -0.5pp $-304 | base $-374 | +0.5pp $-444 | +1.0pp $-516 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,156
- Closing costs
- $8,179
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16220 SE 104th Ter Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $1,749 | $0.98 | 2d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 10326 SE 162nd Place Rd Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 10326 SE 162nd Place Rd Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 10d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 10326 SE 162nd Place Rd Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $2,300 | $1.62 | 154d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 10324 SE 161st St Summerfield, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $1,800 | $0.99 | 10d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 11001 SE Sunset Harbor Rd Unit H52 Summerfield, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1224 | $1,440 | $1.18 | 162d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9990 SE 166th St Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,395 | $1.45 | 154d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 11001 SE Sunset Harbor Rd Unit A8 Summerfield, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 11001 SE Sunset Harbor Rd Unit A08 Summerfield, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 51d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 11001 SE Sunset Harbor Rd Summerfield, FL | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1244 | $1,770 | $1.42 | 162d | 2 | 0.59mi |
| 9871 SE 161st Lane Rd Unit 0 Summerfield, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $2,200 | $1.20 | 162d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 9679 SE 157th Ln Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1439 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 6d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9701 SE 171st Argyll St The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,050 | $1.79 | 51d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 9523 SE 168th Maplesong Ln The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,975 | $1.56 | 162d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 17199 SE 97th Ter Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,990 | $1.42 | 10d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 17343 SE 98th Cir Summerfield, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 10d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 16962 SE 94th Sunnybrook Cir The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $2,000 | $1.72 | 162d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9195 SE 163rd St Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 26d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9195 SE 163rd St Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,575 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9195 SE 163rd St Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,575 | $1.12 | 10d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 17532 SE 100th Ct Summerfield, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 162d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 15710 SE 92nd Ave Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,495 | $1.21 | 10d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 15710 SE 92nd Ave Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,495 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 17677 SE 108th Ave Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1526 | $1,900 | $1.25 | 50d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 11049 SE 174th Loop Summerfield, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,950 | $1.53 | 10d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $266,990 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $266,990 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $266,990 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $266,990 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $266,990 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $266,990 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $266,990 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $266,990 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $266,990 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $266,990 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $266,990 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $266,990 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $266,990 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $266,990 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $266,990 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $266,990 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $266,990 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $266,990 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $266,990 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $266,990 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $266,990 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $266,990 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $266,990 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $266,990 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $266,990 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $266,990 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $266,990 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $266,990 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $266,990 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $266,990 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $266,990 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $266,990 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $266,990 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $266,990 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $266,990 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $266,990 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $266,990 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $266,990 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $266,990 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $266,990 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-09-26days on market $266,990 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $266,990 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $266,990 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $266,990 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $266,990 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $266,990 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $266,990 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $266,990 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $266,990 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $266,990 Active 220 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,944
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,271
- − Property taxes
- −$4,089
- − Insurance
- −$1,363
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,836
- − Management
- −$1,836
- − Depreciation
- −$7,931
- Taxable loss
- −$9,382
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,252
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,231/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This single-story home in The Villages, Florida, is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It features a modern kitchen, well-maintained bathrooms, and a tidy exterior. The home is move-in ready with minimal updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Resale Updating the kitchen backsplash — A fresh backsplash can modernize the kitchen and make it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the flooring in high-traffic areas — Updated flooring can make the home more appealing and increase its value. ↑
- Both Reorganizing the living room furniture — A well-organized living room can make the space more inviting and functional for both buyers and renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Summerfield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 365,905 people
- City population
- 33,318
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,318
- Household income
- $66,679
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.67%
- Current HPI
- 200.0792
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+1.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $266,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $264,990 Zillow
- 2026-02-07 Listed $263,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…