CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
70 Westville Ave
C+ Composite 63.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

70 Westville Ave · Danbury, CT 06810
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,638 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 105 Days on market
Built 1915 0.33 ac lot Est $464k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Yesteryear Charm Galore, Need A Ton Of Work, But All The Old Doors And Moldings Original And In Excellent Shape. Lovely Older Street, Convenient Location. Bring Your Tools, Paint And Brushes.

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • Built 1915
  • Listed 105 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Electric service (standard residential)
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built prior to or in public records (living area recorded)
  • Exterior features: Level to sloping lot; Clapboard siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; Oil-fired heating with above-ground fuel tank
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Full unfinished basement with interior access and dirt floor; Attic with walk-up access; Central air cooling
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the main level; 40-gallon hot water tank

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $299k).
  • Recommended offer: $272k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.6% in Danbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in CT, #3,379 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Danbury School District (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #131 of 153 in CT (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Morris Street School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #459 of 553 statewide, top 84%, 376 students, 54% FRL); Danbury High School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #137 of 194 statewide, top 70%, 3,590 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,354/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 3255% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $299k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $272,090 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.38%
Cash-on-cash
7.47%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$463,554
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Well Ave 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,615 (-1%) 10mo $420,000 $260 78
72 Davis St 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,714 (+5%) 9mo $485,000 $283 70
24 Lake Ave 0.30mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,583 (-3%) 4mo $450,000 $284 70
67B Westville Ave 0.07mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,842 (+12%) 2mo $445,000 $242 67
45 Abbott Ave 0.07mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,520 (-7%) 13mo $430,000 $283 67
5 Green Ave 0.48mi 4/2.0 1,553 (-5%) 6mo $395,000 $254 64
49 Sleepy Hollow Dr 0.44mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,576 (-4%) 5mo $495,000 $314 62
34 Mallory St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,466 (-10%) 1mo $474,000 $323 55
101 West St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,478 (-10%) 2mo $467,000 $316 52
10 Staples St 0.16mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,406 (-14%) 9mo $300,000 $213 52
56 Pleasant St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,768 (+8%) 8mo $415,000 $235 49
161 Westville AVE EXT 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,432 (-13%) 1mo $535,000 $374 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-14,918
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$31,198
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06810

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,354 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$436 /mo · $5,231/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$704
Net cashflow
$521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,694
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22 Irving Pl Danbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1995 $3,000 $1.50 24d 1 0.36mi
8 Rose St Unit 26-14 Danbury, CT 3.0 1.5 1370 $3,000 $2.19 3d 1 0.68mi
9 Concord St Unit 3 Danbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1160 $2,600 $2.24 44d 1 0.71mi
113 Park Ave Unit 7 Danbury, CT 3.0 1.5 1205 $3,000 $2.49 24d 1 0.81mi
10 Clapboard Ridge Rd Danbury, CT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1061 $3,308 $3.12 3d 20 0.83mi
6 Barnum Ct #6 Danbury, CT 3.0 2.5 1620 $3,200 $1.98 14d 1 0.91mi
28 Jefferson Ave Danbury, CT 5.0 2.5 2186 $5,900 $2.70 44d 1 1.08mi
68 Grand St Danbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1480 $1,900 $1.28 3d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $299,000 Under Contract 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 100 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 99 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 98 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 93 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 92 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 91 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 90 DOM
  13. 2026-03-11
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  14. 2026-03-02
    listed $299,000 Active
  15. 1999-06-11
    soldstatus $115,000 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    Yesteryear Charm Galore, Need A Ton Of Work, But All The Old Doors And Moldings Original And In Excellent Shape. Lovely Older Street, Convenient Location. Bring Your Tools, Paint And Brushes.

  16. 1999-06-11
    soldstatus $115,000
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    Yesteryear Charm Galore, Need A Ton Of Work, But All The Old Doors And Moldings Original And In Excellent Shape. Lovely Older Street, Convenient Location. Bring Your Tools, Paint And Brushes.

  17. 1999-06-11
    soldstatus $115,000
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    Yesteryear Charm Galore, Need A Ton Of Work, But All The Old Doors And Moldings Original And In Excellent Shape. Lovely Older Street, Convenient Location. Bring Your Tools, Paint And Brushes.

  18. 1999-04-16
    listed $119,900 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    Yesteryear Charm Galore, Need A Ton Of Work, But All The Old Doors And Moldings Original And In Excellent Shape. Lovely Older Street, Convenient Location. Bring Your Tools, Paint And Brushes.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,231 · $436/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,815 · $485/mo
Expected delta
+$584/yr (+$49/mo · 11.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,243
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$5,231
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,219
− Management
−$3,219
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable income
$1,632
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$392
After-tax cash flow
$5,859/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Danbury School District
NCES district ID
0901020
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$65,793
Composite
23.93/100
National rank
#7784
State rank
#131 of 153 in CT

Livability — Danbury

Score
76/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#3379

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Danbury, CT
County
Fairfield County · 765,532 people
City population
87,061
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
Population (ZIP)
55,833
Household income
$76,933
Rent vs Own
59.5% rent · 40.5% own
Severe rent burden
3255.0

Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
685,031

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 37% White 35% Two or more races 19% Black 12% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Estonian 8% Russian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
41% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -309.71%
Current HPI
286.5484
Rent YoY
▲ 3.08%
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $299,000 Smart MLS
  • 1999-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 1999-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 1999-06-11 Sold (MLS) $115,000 Smart MLS
  • 1999-04-16 Listed $119,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,231 · +15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…