70 Westville Ave · Danbury, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Yesteryear Charm Galore, Need A Ton Of Work, But All The Old Doors And Moldings Original And In Excellent Shape. Lovely Older Street, Convenient Location. Bring Your Tools, Paint And Brushes.
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Built 1915
- Listed 105 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Electric service (standard residential)
- Home design: Single-family home
- Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built prior to or in public records (living area recorded)
- Exterior features: Level to sloping lot; Clapboard siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; Oil-fired heating with above-ground fuel tank
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Full unfinished basement with interior access and dirt floor; Attic with walk-up access; Central air cooling
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the main level; 40-gallon hot water tank
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $299k).
- Recommended offer: $272k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.6% in Danbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in CT, #3,379 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Danbury School District (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #131 of 153 in CT (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Morris Street School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #459 of 553 statewide, top 84%, 376 students, 54% FRL); Danbury High School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #137 of 194 statewide, top 70%, 3,590 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,354/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 3255% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $299k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.47%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $463,554
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Well Ave | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,615 (-1%) | 10mo | $420,000 | $260 | 78 |
| 72 Davis St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,714 (+5%) | 9mo | $485,000 | $283 | 70 |
| 24 Lake Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,583 (-3%) | 4mo | $450,000 | $284 | 70 |
| 67B Westville Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,842 (+12%) | 2mo | $445,000 | $242 | 67 |
| 45 Abbott Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,520 (-7%) | 13mo | $430,000 | $283 | 67 |
| 5 Green Ave | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 1,553 (-5%) | 6mo | $395,000 | $254 | 64 |
| 49 Sleepy Hollow Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,576 (-4%) | 5mo | $495,000 | $314 | 62 |
| 34 Mallory St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,466 (-10%) | 1mo | $474,000 | $323 | 55 |
| 101 West St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,478 (-10%) | 2mo | $467,000 | $316 | 52 |
| 10 Staples St | 0.16mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,406 (-14%) | 9mo | $300,000 | $213 | 52 |
| 56 Pleasant St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,768 (+8%) | 8mo | $415,000 | $235 | 49 |
| 161 Westville AVE EXT | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,432 (-13%) | 1mo | $535,000 | $374 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-14,918
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $31,198
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06810
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,354 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$436 /mo · $5,231/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$704
- Net cashflow
- $521
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Irving Pl Danbury, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1995 | $3,000 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 8 Rose St Unit 26-14 Danbury, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $3,000 | $2.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9 Concord St Unit 3 Danbury, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $2,600 | $2.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 113 Park Ave Unit 7 Danbury, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1205 | $3,000 | $2.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 10 Clapboard Ridge Rd Danbury, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1061 | $3,308 | $3.12 | 3d | 20 | 0.83mi |
| 6 Barnum Ct #6 Danbury, CT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $3,200 | $1.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 28 Jefferson Ave Danbury, CT | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2186 | $5,900 | $2.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 68 Grand St Danbury, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1480 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-15status $299,000 Under Contract 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 105 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 103 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 100 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 99 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 98 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 97 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 94 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 93 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 92 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 91 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 90 DOM
-
2026-03-11historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
-
2026-03-02$299,000 Active
-
1999-06-11soldstatus $115,000 194-char remark
Show marketing remark (194 chars)
Yesteryear Charm Galore, Need A Ton Of Work, But All The Old Doors And Moldings Original And In Excellent Shape. Lovely Older Street, Convenient Location. Bring Your Tools, Paint And Brushes.
-
1999-06-11soldstatus $115,000
Show marketing remark (194 chars)
Yesteryear Charm Galore, Need A Ton Of Work, But All The Old Doors And Moldings Original And In Excellent Shape. Lovely Older Street, Convenient Location. Bring Your Tools, Paint And Brushes.
-
1999-06-11soldstatus $115,000
Show marketing remark (194 chars)
Yesteryear Charm Galore, Need A Ton Of Work, But All The Old Doors And Moldings Original And In Excellent Shape. Lovely Older Street, Convenient Location. Bring Your Tools, Paint And Brushes.
-
1999-04-16$119,900 194-char remark
Show marketing remark (194 chars)
Yesteryear Charm Galore, Need A Ton Of Work, But All The Old Doors And Moldings Original And In Excellent Shape. Lovely Older Street, Convenient Location. Bring Your Tools, Paint And Brushes.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,231 · $436/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,815 · $485/mo
- Expected delta
- +$584/yr (+$49/mo · 11.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,243
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$5,231
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,219
- − Management
- −$3,219
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable income
- $1,632
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$392
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,859/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Danbury School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901020
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,793
- Composite
- 23.93/100
- National rank
- #7784
- State rank
- #131 of 153 in CT
Livability — Danbury
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #3379
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Danbury, CT
- County
- Fairfield County · 765,532 people
- City population
- 87,061
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,833
- Household income
- $76,933
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3255.0
Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 685,031
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 37% White 35% Two or more races 19% Black 12% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Estonian 8% Russian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 41% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -309.71%
- Current HPI
- 286.5484
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+149.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $299,000 Smart MLS
- 1999-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-11 Sold (MLS) $115,000 Smart MLS
- 1999-04-16 Listed $119,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2023): $5,231 · +15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…