65000 E Highway 26 Unit WFB2 · Mount Hood Villages, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.7
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming cabin nestled in the trees features a vaulted ceiling and an open-concept feel. The cabin has a private deck that wraps around to the back, offering a peaceful wooded view. It includes a convenient loft space that could serve as an additional bed, playroom, or office. Additionally, the property includes a storage shed and two dedicated parking spaces. Mt Hood Village offers a private, scenic community that provides excellent amenities, including swimming pool, hot tub, sauna, game room, community center, laundry facilities, a recreation center, and access to numerous hiking trails and nature areas.
Key facts
- Private deck
- Vaulted ceiling
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.5% in Mount Hood Villages — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Oregon Trail SD 46 (town): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #12 of 183 in OR (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Welches Elementary School (190 students, 42% FRL); Welches Middle School (89 students, 44% FRL); Sandy High School (1,440 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.13%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,900
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -49.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65000 E Highway 26 Unit RF 26 | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (+14%) | 6mo | $229,900 | $274 | 62 |
| 65000 E Highway 26 Unit RF20 | 0.12mi | 1/1.0 | 824 (+12%) | 19mo | $205,000 | $249 | 59 |
| 64966 E Riverside Dr | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 904 (+23%) | 4mo | $427,000 | $472 | 54 |
| 65000 E Highway 26 Unit RF11 | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 880 (+19%) | 19mo | $190,000 | $216 | 46 |
| 64954 E Mountain Meadow Ln | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+17%) | 2mo | $382,570 | $443 | 44 |
| 65337 E Wemme | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 624 (-15%) | 12mo | $369,000 | $591 | 42 |
| 66655 E Barlow Trail Rd | 1.05mi | 1/1.0 | 595 (-19%) | 13mo | $422,000 | $709 | 30 |
| 23094 E Wallace Ave | 0.94mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 915 (+24%) | 2mo | $600,000 | $656 | 29 |
| 66785 E Oregon St | 1.20mi | 1/1.0 | 594 (-19%) | 16mo | $430,000 | $724 | 27 |
| 66251 E Barlow Trail Rd | 0.86mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 812 (+10%) | 20mo | $385,000 | $474 | 26 |
| 23218 E Homer Ave | 1.04mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 915 (+24%) | 12mo | $399,000 | $436 | 25 |
| 66151 E Mountain Air Dr | 0.81mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+17%) | 23mo | $515,000 | $596 | 16 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,008
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $17,558
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active
- Median asking
- $115,000 ($167/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 48 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +87.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 97067
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,316 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $325 | -5% $285 | +0% $245 | +5% $205 | +10% $166 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $141 | -5% $193 | +0% $245 | +5% $297 | +10% $349 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $303 | -0.5pp $274 | base $245 | +0.5pp $215 | +1.0pp $185 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Directions: Highway 26 to Mt Hood Village. Past 1st gate, turn right, follow to the 2nd gate at White Fir Bluff.
- Financial info
- Monthly lot rent
- HOA & community
- Park amenities: cable TV, commons, gated community, management, meeting room, party room, pool, recreation facilities, road maintenance, sauna, sewer, snow removal, spa/hot tub, trash, water, weight roomPark name: Mt Hood VillagePet restrictions: See park rules and regsLand lease in effect (lease expires June 1, 2031)
Exterior
- Parking
- Parking pad
- Security
- Limited accessSecurity gate
- Utilities
- Propane fuelCommunity waterCommunity sewerCable internet
- Home design
- Manufactured home in park (Norwester model)Residential, resalePrevious building area configurationSeasonal/territorial/trees view
- Construction
- Built in 1998Skirting foundation
- Exterior features
- Metal roofDeckTool shedCedar exteriorLevel site with treesPaved road accessLeased land
Interior
- Kitchen
- Free-standing gas rangeFree-standing refrigeratorPantryStainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom (Main)Loft (Upper)
- Flooring
- Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom (Main)
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingMini-split heating and cooling
- Interior features
- Ceiling fan(s)Vaulted ceiling(s)LaundryDouble pane windowsCrawl space
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry areaElectric hot water
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $115,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $115,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $115,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $115,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $115,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $115,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $115,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $115,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $115,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $115,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $115,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $115,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $115,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $115,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $115,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $115,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $115,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $115,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $115,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $115,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $115,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $115,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $115,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $115,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $115,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $115,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $115,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $115,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $115,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $115,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $115,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $115,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $115,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-14pricedays on market $115,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $125,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $125,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $125,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $125,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $125,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $125,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $125,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $125,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $125,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $125,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $125,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $125,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $125,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $125,000 Active 41 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥86°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,794
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,264
- − Management
- −$1,264
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,180
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$283
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,657/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained cabin is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good exterior, interior, and HVAC systems. The home is move-in ready with minor maintenance items to address.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value. ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, which is important for rental properties. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oregon Trail SD 46
- NCES district ID
- 4110890
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,406
- Composite
- 50.19/100
- National rank
- #4075
- State rank
- #12 of 183 in OR
Livability — Mount Hood Villages
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Hood Villages, OR
- County
- Clackamas · 458,456 people
- City population
- 2,285
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,285
- Household income
- $86,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Clackamas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 458,456 people
- By 2030
- 485,185 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 532,932 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 574,445 · +25.3%
- By 2075
- 665,497 · +45.2%
- By 2100
- 697,488 · +52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Two or more races 21% Hispanic / Latino 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Italian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Clackamas
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 53.4% · R 43.6% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.6pp no change · 2008: 10.4pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+11.1 2016: D+6.1 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.81%
- Current HPI
- 310.9922
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $125,000 RMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…