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4169 Monroe St
B- Composite 67.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.1/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$51,900

4169 Monroe St · Gary, IN 46408
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 967 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 128 Days on market
Built 1930 4,791 sqft lot $54/sqft · at area comps Est $53k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bed, 2 bath all-brick home in Gary, Indiana. Fully gutted and ready for rehab, making this an ideal project for an experienced investor or rehabber. Major capital improvement already completed with a new roof. Features include a fireplace, solid brick construction, and room to add a 4th bedroom to maximize value. Layout and condition make this a strong flip opportunity or Buy & Hold opportunity. Bring your vision and capitalize on the upside.

Key facts

  • All brick home
  • New roof
  • Fireplace

Tags

ALL BRICK HOMENEW ROOFSOLID BRICK CONSTRUCTIONFIREPLACEROOM TO ADD A 4TH BEDROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $52k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $699 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
  • Recommended offer: $46k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.5% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $359 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $45,672 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.53%
Cap rate
22.45%
Cash-on-cash
57.71%
DSCR
3.57
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$52,609
List price
$51,900
Delta
-1.35%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4115 Fillmore St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 950 (-2%) 6mo $51,000 $54 65
3980 Tyler St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,042 (+8%) 5mo $128,000 $123 62
4016 Connecticut St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 920 (-5%) 4mo $25,000 $27 58
4525 Tyler St 0.51mi 3/1.0 875 (-10%) 1mo $136,000 $155 56
1418 W 45th Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 950 (-2%) 1mo $35,000 $37 53
4181 Fillmore St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (+12%) 3mo $22,000 $20 51
4217 Massachusetts St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-13%) 1mo $28,000 $33 50
4019 Pennsylvania St 0.54mi 2/— (-1) 856 (-12%) 4mo $36,500 $43 48
3737 Fillmore St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+12%) 5mo $175,500 $163 42
3724 Tyler St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 870 (-10%) 4mo $48,000 $55 41
4217 Maryland St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-11%) 3mo $49,900 $58 41
4341 Maryland St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-11%) 7mo $59,000 $68 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.2%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$36,105
Equity at exit
$7,738
10-year hold
IRR
61.2%
Equity multiple
7.11×
Total profit
$88,780
Equity at exit
$4,487

Cash invested: $14,532 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46408

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,312 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$272
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $529/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$699

Break-even live

Break-even rent $428
Max offer price $51,900
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $728 -5% $714 +0% $699 +5% $684 +10% $669
Rent -10% $595 -5% $647 +0% $699 +5% $751 +10% $802
Rate -1.0pp $725 -0.5pp $712 base $699 +0.5pp $685 +1.0pp $672

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,975
Closing costs
$1,557
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4018 Tyler St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 880 $1,350 $1.53 2d 1 0.34mi
624 W 44th Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 836 $1,250 $1.50 8d 1 0.37mi
4170 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $950 $1.32 20d 1 0.41mi
4040 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 11d 1 0.44mi
4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 3d 1 0.56mi
4364 Buchanan St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 2d 1 0.60mi
3708 Harrison St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 904 $1,400 $1.55 3d 1 0.60mi
4748 Monroe St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,695 $1.58 2d 1 0.75mi
3777 Lincoln St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,150 $1.44 2d 1 0.75mi
1005 W 35th Ave Apt 202 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 617 $795 $1.29 2d 1 0.87mi
1005 W 35th Ave Apt 105 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 601 $795 $1.32 19d 1 0.87mi
1015 W 35th Ave Apt 206 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 601 $795 $1.32 44d 1 0.89mi
4816 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,350 $1.32 16d 1 0.90mi
816 E 35th Ct Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 810 $1,075 $1.33 2d 1 1.14mi
5001 Carolina St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,350 $1.54 3d 1 1.31mi
2410 W 45th Ave #2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 22d 1 1.34mi
2410 W 45th Ave Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $895 $1.05 22d 1 1.34mi
4905 Kentucky St Unit 4901 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 950 $1,525 $1.61 24d 1 1.39mi
801 E 32nd Ave Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 2d 1 1.40mi
1240 W 52nd Dr Merrillville, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 957 $1,349 $1.41 2d 9 1.40mi
4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,175 $1.07 20d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $51,900 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $51,900 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $51,900 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $51,900 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $51,900 Active 123 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $51,900 Active 122 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $51,900 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $51,900 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $51,900 Active 117 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $51,900 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $51,900 Active 113 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $51,900 Active 112 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $51,900 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $51,900 Active 110 DOM
  15. 2026-04-14
    status Active 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    3 bed, 2 bath all-brick home in Gary, Indiana. Fully gutted and ready for rehab, making this an ideal project for an experienced investor or rehabber. Major capital improvement already completed with a new roof. Features include a fireplace, solid brick construction, and room to add a 4th bedroom to maximize value. Layout and condition make this a strong flip opportunity or Buy & Hold opportunity. Bring your vision and capitalize on the upside.

  16. 2026-04-04
    status Pending 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    3 bed, 2 bath all-brick home in Gary, Indiana. Fully gutted and ready for rehab, making this an ideal project for an experienced investor or rehabber. Major capital improvement already completed with a new roof. Features include a fireplace, solid brick construction, and room to add a 4th bedroom to maximize value. Layout and condition make this a strong flip opportunity or Buy & Hold opportunity. Bring your vision and capitalize on the upside.

  17. 2026-03-12
    price $51,900 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    3 bed, 2 bath all-brick home in Gary, Indiana. Fully gutted and ready for rehab, making this an ideal project for an experienced investor or rehabber. Major capital improvement already completed with a new roof. Features include a fireplace, solid brick construction, and room to add a 4th bedroom to maximize value. Layout and condition make this a strong flip opportunity or Buy & Hold opportunity. Bring your vision and capitalize on the upside.

  18. 2026-02-24
    price $56,900 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    3 bed, 2 bath all-brick home in Gary, Indiana. Fully gutted and ready for rehab, making this an ideal project for an experienced investor or rehabber. Major capital improvement already completed with a new roof. Features include a fireplace, solid brick construction, and room to add a 4th bedroom to maximize value. Layout and condition make this a strong flip opportunity or Buy & Hold opportunity. Bring your vision and capitalize on the upside.

  19. 2026-02-18
    price $57,900 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    3 bed, 2 bath all-brick home in Gary, Indiana. Fully gutted and ready for rehab, making this an ideal project for an experienced investor or rehabber. Major capital improvement already completed with a new roof. Features include a fireplace, solid brick construction, and room to add a 4th bedroom to maximize value. Layout and condition make this a strong flip opportunity or Buy & Hold opportunity. Bring your vision and capitalize on the upside.

  20. 2026-02-10
    price $58,900 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    3 bed, 2 bath all-brick home in Gary, Indiana. Fully gutted and ready for rehab, making this an ideal project for an experienced investor or rehabber. Major capital improvement already completed with a new roof. Features include a fireplace, solid brick construction, and room to add a 4th bedroom to maximize value. Layout and condition make this a strong flip opportunity or Buy & Hold opportunity. Bring your vision and capitalize on the upside.

  21. 2026-01-30
    listed $59,900 Active 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    3 bed, 2 bath all-brick home in Gary, Indiana. Fully gutted and ready for rehab, making this an ideal project for an experienced investor or rehabber. Major capital improvement already completed with a new roof. Features include a fireplace, solid brick construction, and room to add a 4th bedroom to maximize value. Layout and condition make this a strong flip opportunity or Buy & Hold opportunity. Bring your vision and capitalize on the upside.

  22. 2003-11-20
    historical
  23. 2002-10-20
    historical
  24. 2002-08-19
    listed $49,900
  25. 2002-04-02
    listed $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$529 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$529 · $44/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,748
− Mortgage interest
−$2,907
− Property taxes
−$529
− Insurance
−$260
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,260
− Management
−$1,260
− Depreciation
−$1,510
Taxable income
$8,022
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,925
After-tax cash flow
$6,460/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
15,747
Household income
$47,453
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
619.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 41% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.08%
Current HPI
155.6238
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-04 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $51,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $56,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $57,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $58,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $59,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-11-20 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-10-20 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-08-19 Listed $49,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-04-02 Listed $50,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-12.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $529 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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