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B- Composite 69.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$194,900

11579 Palm Dr · Iona, FL 33908
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · Manufactured · 398 Days on market
Built 2025

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Crown molding detail
  • Open concept layout

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTCOVERED FRONT PORCHLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGTRAY CEILINGSCROWN MOLDING DETAILHARDWOOD SHAKER CABINETRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $194,900

Exterior

  • Home design: Spec home listed as Active; Address: 11579 Palm Dr, Fort Myers, FL 33908

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Interior features: Open interior with 1,512 living area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 2.1% in Iona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#359 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1244 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 398 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 398 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.42%
Cash-on-cash
18.32%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-13,463
Equity at exit
$29,060
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-8,390
Equity at exit
$16,851

Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33908

Home prices YoY
-32.8%
Rents YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
1244
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,760 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,022
Tax est. 1.5%
$244 /mo · $2,924/yr
Insurance
$81
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$580
Net cashflow
$407

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,245
Max offer price $194,900
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,725
Closing costs
$5,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11596 Palm Dr Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1394 $2,450 $1.76 23d 1 0.10mi
7 Birch Blvd Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,600 $1.25 23d 1 0.24mi
12641 Kelly Sands Way #225 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1069 $5,000 $4.68 23d 1 0.41mi
12621 Kelly Sands Way #305 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1106 $5,000 $4.52 23d 1 0.45mi
12540 Kelly Greens Blvd #331 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1440 $2,100 $1.46 23d 1 0.46mi
12396 Kelly Sands Way Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1511 $2,800 $1.85 23d 1 0.60mi
16821 Sanibel Sunset Ct #203 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1271 $1,750 $1.38 10d 1 0.61mi
12171 Kelly Sands Way #1577 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1160 $4,500 $3.88 23d 1 0.65mi
20021 Sanibel View Cir #105 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1417 $4,800 $3.39 23d 1 0.67mi
16001 Bayside Pointe Fort Myers, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1135 $1,888 $1.66 2d 18 0.69mi
13460 Causeway Palms Cv Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1509 $3,400 $2.25 23d 1 0.69mi
12250 Kelly Greens Blvd #57 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1336 $1,999 $1.50 23d 1 0.69mi
13527 Siesta Pines Ct Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.5 1244 $1,900 $1.53 23d 1 0.70mi
13533 Siesta Pines Ct Fort Myers, FL 2.0 3.0 1246 $1,800 $1.44 23d 1 0.71mi
13420 Hidden Palms Cv Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1450 $1,600 $1.10 23d 1 0.72mi
12150 Kelly Sands Way Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1087 $4,700 $4.32 23d 2 0.72mi
12150 Kelly Sands Way Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1087 $3,325 $3.06 3d 3 0.72mi
20031 Sanibel View Cir #106 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1591 $3,700 $2.33 3d 1 0.72mi
20031 Sanibel View Cir #106 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1591 $3,450 $2.17 3d 1 0.72mi
16252 Kelly Woods Dr Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1515 $6,000 $3.96 23d 1 0.73mi
16301 Kelly Woods Dr #205 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1336 $5,000 $3.74 23d 1 0.75mi
15754 Cutters Ct Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 2075 $3,000 $1.45 21d 1 0.77mi
16470 Kelly Cove Dr #2850 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $5,000 $4.11 23d 1 0.84mi
16470 Kelly Cove Dr Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1214 $3,550 $2.92 3d 2 0.84mi
16126 Kelly Woods Dr Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1564 $5,800 $3.71 3d 1 0.84mi
16500 Kelly Cove Dr #2880 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1283 $4,800 $3.74 23d 1 0.85mi
11861 Caraway Ln #116 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,995 $1.89 19d 1 1.01mi
11140 Caravel Cir #109 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $4,200 $4.00 23d 1 1.04mi
11110 Caravel Cir #201 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $3,500 $3.33 23d 1 1.05mi
16120 Dublin Cir Unit A Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1517 $1,550 $1.02 23d 1 1.07mi
15761 Windward Way Cir #3302 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $4,500 $4.29 3d 1 1.07mi
15999 Mandolin Bay Dr #202 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,775 $1.54 23d 1 1.08mi
12866 Iona Rd Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1666 $2,850 $1.71 13d 1 1.09mi
15770 Windward Way Cir #2205 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,600 $1.52 23d 1 1.10mi
15989 Mandolin Bay Dr Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,695 $1.47 23d 1 1.10mi
11540 Caravel Cir #3012 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 21d 1 1.17mi
11701 Olivetti Ln Unit 210 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1305 $4,500 $3.45 23d 1 1.17mi
11701 Olivetti Ln Unit 1545836P Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1388 $4,214 $3.04 14d 1 1.17mi
11711 Pasetto Ln #102 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1055 $2,200 $2.09 23d 1 1.20mi
15000 Iona Lakes Dr Fort Myers, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,580 $1.76 1d 26 1.22mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $194,900 Active 398 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $194,900 Active 397 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $194,900 Active 396 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $194,900 Active 394 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $194,900 Active 390 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $194,900 Active 388 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,900 Active 382 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,900 Active 381 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,116
− Mortgage interest
−$10,917
− Property taxes
−$2,924
− Insurance
−$6,093
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,649
− Management
−$2,649
− Depreciation
−$5,670
Taxable income
$2,214
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$531
After-tax cash flow
$4,349/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Iona

Score
72/100
State rank
#359
US rank
#6253

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Iona, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
37,423
Household income
$75,396
Rent vs Own
28.3% rent · 71.7% own
Severe rent burden
1944.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.22%
Current HPI
209.7595
Rent YoY
▼ -1.18%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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