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705 Endly St
A- Composite 81.27
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$80,000

705 Endly St · Chase City, VA 23924
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 153 Days on market
Built 1950 $79/sqft · 9% below area Est $88k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity. 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is being sold As-Is and offers an exceptional opportunity for investors. Set on two parcels sold Chase City offers a peaceful small-town lifestyle with access to modern amenities. Enjoy nearby restaurants, local shops, and charming cafés just minutes away in downtown Chase City. For weekend getaways or outdoor adventures, you're a short drive to Buggs Island Lake/Kerr Lake, one of the largest lakes in Virginia, where you can enjoy fishing, boating, and waterfront marinas. Chase City is situated in a region experiencing steady growth, with affordable housing options and increasing buyer interest, making this a smart long-term investment.

Key facts

  • Two parcels
  • Waterfront marinas
  • Built 1950

Tags

TWO PARCELSWATERFRONT MARINAS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 7.3% in Chase City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#238 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Mecklenburg County Public School District (rural): math 57% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #49 of 131 in VA (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 153 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mecklenburg County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.84%
Cap rate
16.73%
Cash-on-cash
37.28%
DSCR
2.66
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$87,581
List price
$80,000
Delta
-8.66%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
236 W Fifth St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,016 (+1%) 23mo $25,000 $25 65
437 Monroe St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 996 (-1%) 8mo $89,000 $89 62
1347 N Main St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,030 (+2%) 5mo $75,000 $73 58
501 W 3rd St 0.54mi 3/1.0 920 (-9%) 4mo $85,000 $92 57
420 Berry St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,095 (+9%) 9mo $225,000 $205 55
414 Berry St 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,088 (+8%) 13mo $100,000 $92 52
308 N Washington St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 880 (-13%) 8mo $30,000 $34 48
805 W 2nd St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,019 (+1%) 23mo $96,000 $94 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.4%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$49,939
Equity at exit
$31,725
10-year hold
IRR
42.2%
Equity multiple
6.39×
Total profit
$120,797
Equity at exit
$45,817

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23924

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,472 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$14 /mo · $167/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$696

Break-even live

Break-even rent $591
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $741 -5% $719 +0% $696 +5% $582 +10% $555
Rent -10% $580 -5% $638 +0% $696 +5% $754 +10% $812
Rate -1.0pp $736 -0.5pp $716 base $696 +0.5pp $675 +1.0pp $654

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
761 W 5th St Chase City, VA 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,300 $1.25 15d 1 0.61mi
1035 Roark St Chase City, VA 2.0 1.0 892 $1,800 $2.02 15d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 153 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 152 DOM
  3. 2025-12-29
    listed $80,000 Active 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    Investor opportunity. 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is being sold As-Is and offers an exceptional opportunity for investors. Set on two parcels sold Chase City offers a peaceful small-town lifestyle with access to modern amenities. Enjoy nearby restaurants, local shops, and charming cafés just minutes away in downtown Chase City. For weekend getaways or outdoor adventures, you're a short drive to Buggs Island Lake/Kerr Lake, one of the largest lakes in Virginia, where you can enjoy fishing, boating, and waterfront marinas. Chase City is situated in a region experiencing steady growth, with affordable housing options and increasing buyer interest, making this a smart long-term investment.

  4. 2025-11-30
    historical
  5. 2025-06-23
    price $90,000
  6. 2025-05-14
    price $100,000
  7. 2025-05-07
    listed $118,000 Active
  8. 2023-09-08
    soldstatus $60,000 Closed
  9. 2023-08-23
    status Pending
  10. 2023-07-31
    listed $70,000 Active
  11. 1989-12-18
    soldstatus $30,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$167 · $14/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$656 · $55/mo
Expected delta
+$489/yr (+$41/mo · 291.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,662
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$167
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,413
− Management
−$1,413
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$7,460
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,790
After-tax cash flow
$6,561/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mecklenburg County Public School District
NCES district ID
5102460
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$37,491
Composite
53.55/100
National rank
#1446
State rank
#49 of 131 in VA

Livability — Chase City

Score
70/100
State rank
#238
US rank
#8038

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chase City, VA
Population (ZIP)
5,709

Population outlook (Mecklenburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,332 people
By 2030
26,742 · -5.6%
By 2040
23,502 · -17.0%
By 2050
20,851 · -26.4%
By 2075
17,525 · -38.1%
By 2100
14,524 · -48.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mecklenburg

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.4% · R 60.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.2pp toward R · 2008: -4.6pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+15.2 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+7.2 2008: R+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.04%
Current HPI
155.5959
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+160.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $80,000 CVRMLS
  • 2025-11-30 Listing Removed CVRMLS
  • 2025-06-23 Price Changed $90,000 CVRMLS
  • 2025-05-14 Price Changed $100,000 CVRMLS
  • 2025-05-07 Listed $118,000 CVRMLS
  • 2023-09-08 Sold (MLS) $60,000 CVRMLS
  • 2023-08-23 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2023-07-31 Listed $70,000 CVRMLS
  • 1989-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $30,750 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $167 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…