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7880 54th Ave N #17
B- Composite 68.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.5/15.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

7880 54th Ave N #17 · West Lealman, FL 33709
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 560 sqft · Manufactured public records · 140 Days on market
Built 1969 Est $104k · at est. $270/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-maintained 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom mobile home located in the desirable Club Chalet community of St. Petersburg, Florida. This home features a carport and a dedicated storage unit with the potential to accommodate a washer and dryer. Enjoy a bonus room at the front of the home—perfect for a sitting area, office, or hobby space. The well-appointed kitchen offers ample cabinetry and functionality. Situated in an inviting neighborhood close to the front of the community for convenient access. A great opportunity for comfortable Florida living! Schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Carport
  • Bonus room
  • Quiet neighborhood

Tags

CLUB CHALET COMMUNITYCARPORTDEDICATED STORAGE UNITBONUS ROOMWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Total annual fees $3,240
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $270; Association fee required; Senior community; Street lights; Cats allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One story; North-facing
  • Construction: Block construction; Other roof type; Block foundation; Built as a single-wide mobile home
  • Exterior features: Storage; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Thermostat; Disposal; Range; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 1.8% in West Lealman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#84 in FL, #1,396 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Seventy-Fourth St. Elementary (math 30% / reading 22%, grade F, #2,015 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 444 students, 72% FRL); Dixie M. Hollins High School (math 30% / reading 40%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 1,822 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 48% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 309 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
9.39%
Cash-on-cash
11.04%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$103,600
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5214 Yellow Pine St N 0.06mi 2/1.0 (+1) 564 (+1%) 14mo $104,300 $185 77
5320 W Pine St N 0.21mi 1/1.0 619 (+10%) 10mo $87,000 $141 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-6,844
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-1,565
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33709

Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
309
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,539 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$131 /mo · $1,568/yr
Insurance
$41
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$270
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,301
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5257 81st Ln N #6 Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 745 $1,375 $1.85 24d 1 0.40mi
7317 46th Ave N Unit 4 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 528 $1,200 $2.27 14d 1 0.51mi
5140 70th St N Unit 3 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 450 $1,200 $2.67 24d 1 0.61mi
4801 71st St N St Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 726 $1,900 $2.62 18d 1 0.63mi
4801 71st St N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 726 $1,900 $2.62 4d 1 0.63mi
5411 70th Ln N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 600 $1,800 $3.00 24d 1 0.64mi
6801 48th Ave N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 650 $1,525 $2.35 24d 1 0.83mi
4701 68th St N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,099 $1.57 24d 1 0.88mi
7801 34th Ave N #88 Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 624 $1,300 $2.08 2d 1 1.06mi
7801 34th Ave N #88 Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 624 $1,400 $2.24 24d 1 1.06mi
8800 Bay Pines Blvd #320 Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 506 $2,200 $4.35 4d 1 1.09mi
6522 54th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 892 $1,300 $1.46 2d 10 1.16mi
6538 42nd Ave N Unit 7 Kenneth City, FL 2.0 1.0 648 $2,000 $3.09 24d 1 1.29mi
3556 66th St N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 610 $1,300 $2.13 15d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$270 · $3,240/yr

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 140 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 139 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 138 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 137 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 135 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 130 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 129 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 126 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 125 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-01-29
    listed $99,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,568 · $131/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,568 · $131/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 90% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,474
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,568
− Insurance
−$1,292
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,478
− Management
−$1,478
− HOA
−$3,240
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$992
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$238
After-tax cash flow
$2,026/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — West Lealman

Score
81/100
State rank
#84
US rank
#1396

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Lealman, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
25,371
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
25,050
Household income
$53,501
Rent vs Own
23.9% rent · 76.1% own
Severe rent burden
712.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -416.74%
Current HPI
391.368
Rent YoY
▲ 0.99%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,568 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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