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10905 1st St
D Composite 41.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,999

10905 1st St · Canadian Lakes, MI 49346
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 85 Days on market
Built 1970 0.44 ac lot $190/sqft · 25% below area Est $320k · 25% under $150/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming Canadian Lakes Chalet on Double Corner Lot!Well-maintained and fully furnished chalet featuring vaulted ceilings, spacious loft, and rebuilt interior balcony overlooking the main living area. Located on a desirable corner property with two lots and partial main lake views. Enjoy year-round comfort with forced-air furnace, central A/C, brand new washer & dryer, and low-maintenance Trex decking. Fresh interior paint adds a bright, move-in-ready feel. Flexible layout and low-maintenance features offer a variety of use options. Canadian Lakes ownership includes access to private beaches, golf courses, indoor/outdoor pools, pickleball, dining, and more.

Key facts

  • 0.44 acre lot
  • Community pool
  • Built 1970

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-183 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (11.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (14.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $206k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.1% in Canadian Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#541 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Chippewa Hills School District (rural): math 24% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #324 of 540 in MI (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Mecosta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mecosta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $205,732 (14.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
5.38%
Cash-on-cash
-3.27%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$319,660
List price
$239,999
Delta
-23.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7914 W Royal Rd 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,262 (+0%) 3mo $380,000 $301 77
10900 2nd St 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-9%) 9mo $212,500 $184 74
7785 Court B 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (+7%) 8mo $245,000 $182 65
8277 Peninsula Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,325 (+5%) 8mo $182,000 $137 51
7951 W Royal Rd 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (+11%) 6mo $425,000 $304 51
7964 W Royal Rd 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,382 (+10%) 12mo $441,100 $319 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.7%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-50,441
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-58,455
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49346

Home prices YoY
-27.2%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,057 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax est. 1.5%
$300 /mo · $3,600/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$150
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$-183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,289
Max offer price $213,476
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$150 · $1,800/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 47 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $239,999 Active 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $239,999 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $245,000 Active 79 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $245,000 Active 78 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 75 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 73 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $245,000 Active 70 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 69 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 68 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 67 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 66 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $245,000 Active 65 DOM
  19. 2026-03-26
    listed $245,000 Active 671-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    Charming Canadian Lakes Chalet on Double Corner Lot! Well-maintained and fully furnished chalet featuring vaulted ceilings, spacious loft, and rebuilt interior balcony overlooking the main living area. Located on a desirable corner property with two lots and partial main lake views. Enjoy year-round comfort with forced-air furnace, central A/C, brand new washer & dryer, and low-maintenance Trex decking. Fresh interior paint adds a bright, move-in-ready feel. Flexible layout and low-maintenance features offer a variety of use options. Canadian Lakes ownership includes access to private beaches, golf courses, indoor/outdoor pools, pickleball, dining, and more.

  20. 2026-03-26
    listed $245,000 Active 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    Charming Canadian Lakes Chalet on Double Corner Lot! Well-maintained and fully furnished chalet featuring vaulted ceilings, spacious loft, and rebuilt interior balcony overlooking the main living area. Located on a desirable corner property with two lots and partial main lake views. Enjoy year-round comfort with forced-air furnace, central A/C, brand new washer & dryer, and low-maintenance Trex decking. Fresh interior paint adds a bright, move-in-ready feel. Flexible layout and low-maintenance features offer a variety of use options. Canadian Lakes ownership includes access to private beaches, golf courses, indoor/outdoor pools, pickleball, dining, and more.

  21. 2026-03-26
    listed $245,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    Charming Canadian Lakes Chalet on Double Corner Lot! Well-maintained and fully furnished chalet featuring vaulted ceilings, spacious loft, and rebuilt interior balcony overlooking the main living area. Located on a desirable corner property with two lots and partial main lake views. Enjoy year-round comfort with forced-air furnace, central A/C, brand new washer & dryer, and low-maintenance Trex decking. Fresh interior paint adds a bright, move-in-ready feel. Flexible layout and low-maintenance features offer a variety of use options. Canadian Lakes ownership includes access to private beaches, golf courses, indoor/outdoor pools, pickleball, dining, and more.

  22. 2026-03-24
    historical $245,000
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    Charming Canadian Lakes Chalet on Double Corner Lot! Well-maintained and fully furnished chalet featuring vaulted ceilings, spacious loft, and rebuilt interior balcony overlooking the main living area. Located on a desirable corner property with two lots and partial main lake views. Enjoy year-round comfort with forced-air furnace, central A/C, brand new washer & dryer, and low-maintenance Trex decking. Fresh interior paint adds a bright, move-in-ready feel. Flexible layout and low-maintenance features offer a variety of use options. Canadian Lakes ownership includes access to private beaches, golf courses, indoor/outdoor pools, pickleball, dining, and more.

  23. 2026-03-24
    historical $245,000 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    Charming Canadian Lakes Chalet on Double Corner Lot! Well-maintained and fully furnished chalet featuring vaulted ceilings, spacious loft, and rebuilt interior balcony overlooking the main living area. Located on a desirable corner property with two lots and partial main lake views. Enjoy year-round comfort with forced-air furnace, central A/C, brand new washer & dryer, and low-maintenance Trex decking. Fresh interior paint adds a bright, move-in-ready feel. Flexible layout and low-maintenance features offer a variety of use options. Canadian Lakes ownership includes access to private beaches, golf courses, indoor/outdoor pools, pickleball, dining, and more.

  24. 2025-12-01
    historical $3,000
  25. 2025-10-31
    listed $3,000
  26. 2025-10-27
    historical
  27. 2025-10-26
    historical
  28. 2025-10-07
    price $255,000
  29. 2025-10-06
    price $255,000
  30. 2025-10-06
    price $255,000
  31. 2025-09-11
    listed $259,900 Active
  32. 2025-09-11
    listed $259,900 Active
  33. 2024-09-27
    soldstatus $230,000
  34. 2024-09-27
    soldstatus $230,000
  35. 2024-09-20
    soldstatus $230,000 Sold
  36. 2024-09-20
    soldstatus $230,000 Closed
  37. 2024-09-20
    soldstatus $230,000 Sold
  38. 2024-08-27
    status Pending
  39. 2024-08-27
    status Pending
  40. 2024-08-27
    status Pending
  41. 2024-08-17
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  42. 2024-08-17
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  43. 2024-08-17
    historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
  44. 2024-03-29
    listed $245,000 Active
  45. 2024-03-29
    listed $245,000 Active
  46. 2024-03-29
    listed $245,000 Active
  47. 2018-09-05
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,688
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$3,600
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,975
− Management
−$1,975
− HOA
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$6,288
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,509
After-tax cash flow
$-691/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chippewa Hills School District
NCES district ID
2609560
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,598
Composite
28.01/100
National rank
#6849
State rank
#324 of 540 in MI

Livability — Canadian Lakes

Score
62/100
State rank
#541
US rank
#16622

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canadian Lakes, MI
Population (ZIP)
4,851

Population outlook (Mecosta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,954 people
By 2030
42,954 · +0.0%
By 2040
41,574 · -3.2%
By 2050
39,250 · -8.6%
By 2075
32,628 · -24.0%
By 2100
27,476 · -36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mecosta

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.2% · R 64.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -30.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.0 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.8 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.43%
Current HPI
196.1356
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2350.0% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $245,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $245,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $245,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Coming Soon $245,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Coming Soon $245,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-01 Rental Removed $3,000 Avail
  • 2025-10-31 Listed for Rent $3,000 Avail
  • 2025-10-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $255,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Price Changed $255,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-06 Price Changed $255,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $259,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $259,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $230,000 Public Records
  • 2024-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $230,000 Public Records
  • 2024-09-20 Sold (MLS) $230,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-09-20 Sold (MLS) $230,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-09-20 Sold (MLS) $230,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-27 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-08-17 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-17 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-17 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-03-29 Listed $245,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-03-29 Listed $245,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-03-29 Listed $245,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…