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4856 Carey St Duplex
B Composite 73.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0

$129,900

4856 Carey St · East Chicago, IN 46312
6 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,276 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1918 4,712 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Fantastic opportunity to own a versatile 2-unit property with excellent income potential! Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or offset your mortgage by living in one unit and renting the other, this property offers plenty of possibilities. The front unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, while the back unit offers 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, providing flexible living arrangements for tenants or owner-occupants. Recent exterior updates include a newer roof and siding, helping to reduce maintenance concerns for years to come. The fully fenced yard adds privacy and outdoor space for residents to enjoy. Conveniently suited for investors and house hackers alike, this property

Key facts

  • New siding
  • Newer roof
  • Fully fenced yard

Tags

VERSATILE 2-UNIT PROPERTYEXCELLENT INCOME POTENTIALRECENT EXTERIOR UPDATESNEWER ROOFNEW SIDINGFULLY FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two total units (multifamily property)

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Built in 1918; One level
  • Construction: Has a full daylight basement
  • Exterior features: On-street parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Two-unit building: one 1-bedroom unit and one 2-bedroom unit
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: No notable built-in interior features listed; Daylight full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $973 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $487/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 8.2% in East Chicago — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#371 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
  • School City Of East Chicago (suburban): math 7% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #293 of 301 in IN (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,375/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 1227% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $504 of equity ($898 loan paydown + $-394 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.83%
Cap rate
15.29%
Cash-on-cash
32.12%
DSCR
2.43
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.3% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.0%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$68,946
Equity at exit
$35,760
10-year hold
IRR
43.2%
Equity multiple
6.83×
Total profit
$212,143
Equity at exit
$41,451

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46312

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,375 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$168 /mo · $2,010/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$499
Net cashflow
$973

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,143
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 54%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,375

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $129,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,010 · $168/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,010 · $168/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,500
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$2,010
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,280
− Management
−$2,280
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$10,225
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,454
After-tax cash flow
$9,227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
School City Of East Chicago
NCES district ID
1802880
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$28,423
Composite
8.36/100
National rank
#9909
State rank
#293 of 301 in IN

Livability — East Chicago

Score
64/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#13869

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Chicago, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
26,022
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
26,022
Household income
$42,125
Rent vs Own
57.1% rent · 42.9% own
Severe rent burden
1227.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (56%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% Black 36% Two or more races 11% White 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 45% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 40%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.30%
Current HPI
267.9232
Rent YoY
▲ 8.06%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $129,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,010 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…