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645 Miltonberger Rd
B Composite 74.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$135,000

645 Miltonberger Rd · Cashtown, PA 17353
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,700 sqft · Other public records · 72 Days on market
Built 1970 $79/sqft · 46% below area Est $252k · 46% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the heart of Adams County, conveniently positioned between Caledonia State Park and Pine Grove State Park, and just steps from the 85,500-acre Michaux State Forest. This three-bedroom hunting cabin is turn-key and ready for spring and summer adventures in the forest. Eat-in kitchen with propane stove and refrigerator. 3 bedrooms (one does not have a closet), 1 spacious full bath with stall shower full size laundry. Large Living Room with pool table and wood stove as well as a smaller sitting room. There is a pulldown to access the attic which has 8 foot clearance and is insulated if you want to finish another bunk room. Convenient sheds to keep all your outdoor equipment or even fit a car if snow is expected. Peaceful wooded surroundings and space to roam. Whether you're looking for a weekend get-a-way or hunting cabin, this one is ready for you. Close to hiking trails, biking, hunting, fishing, and even golfing! A short drive will take you to historic Gettysburg or Chambersburg. Explore the beauty of Pine Grove Furnace State Park, Laurel Lake, Fuller Lake, Long Pine Run Reservoir. This property is on a private land lease - you do not have to be a PA resident to purchase, but it does require cash. The lease is a private land lease at $600 per year for 5 years with a 5 year renewable option. Owners are not restricted as to when they can be at the property, but it is not to be used as a primary residence.

Key facts

  • Propane stove
  • Wood stove
  • Insulated attic

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENPROPANE STOVEWOOD STOVEPULLDOWN ACCESS TO ATTICINSULATED ATTICCONVENIENT SHEDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,329 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Gettysburg Area SD (rural): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #132 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $126,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.56%
Cash-on-cash
8.11%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$252,315
List price
$135,000
Delta
-46.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.2%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$89,769
Equity at exit
$121,619
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
7.65×
Total profit
$251,503
Equity at exit
$262,275

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17353

Home prices YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,404 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,072/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$255

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,080
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $135,000 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    price $150,000 1437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1437 chars)

    Located in the heart of Adams County, conveniently positioned between Caledonia State Park and Pine Grove State Park, and just steps from the 85,500-acre Michaux State Forest. This three-bedroom hunting cabin is turn-key and ready for spring and summer adventures in the forest. Eat-in kitchen with propane stove and refrigerator. 3 bedrooms (one does not have a closet), 1 spacious full bath with stall shower full size laundry. Large Living Room with pool table and wood stove as well as a smaller sitting room. There is a pulldown to access the attic which has 8 foot clearance and is insulated if you want to finish another bunk room. Convenient sheds to keep all your outdoor equipment or even fit a car if snow is expected. Peaceful wooded surroundings and space to roam. Whether you're looking for a weekend get-a-way or hunting cabin, this one is ready for you. Close to hiking trails, biking, hunting, fishing, and even golfing! A short drive will take you to historic Gettysburg or Chambersburg. Explore the beauty of Pine Grove Furnace State Park, Laurel Lake, Fuller Lake, Long Pine Run Reservoir. This property is on a private land lease - you do not have to be a PA resident to purchase, but it does require cash. The lease is a private land lease at $600 per year for 5 years with a 5 year renewable option. Owners are not restricted as to when they can be at the property, but it is not to be used as a primary residence.

  17. 2026-04-28
    price $164,900 1437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1437 chars)

    Located in the heart of Adams County, conveniently positioned between Caledonia State Park and Pine Grove State Park, and just steps from the 85,500-acre Michaux State Forest. This three-bedroom hunting cabin is turn-key and ready for spring and summer adventures in the forest. Eat-in kitchen with propane stove and refrigerator. 3 bedrooms (one does not have a closet), 1 spacious full bath with stall shower full size laundry. Large Living Room with pool table and wood stove as well as a smaller sitting room. There is a pulldown to access the attic which has 8 foot clearance and is insulated if you want to finish another bunk room. Convenient sheds to keep all your outdoor equipment or even fit a car if snow is expected. Peaceful wooded surroundings and space to roam. Whether you're looking for a weekend get-a-way or hunting cabin, this one is ready for you. Close to hiking trails, biking, hunting, fishing, and even golfing! A short drive will take you to historic Gettysburg or Chambersburg. Explore the beauty of Pine Grove Furnace State Park, Laurel Lake, Fuller Lake, Long Pine Run Reservoir. This property is on a private land lease - you do not have to be a PA resident to purchase, but it does require cash. The lease is a private land lease at $600 per year for 5 years with a 5 year renewable option. Owners are not restricted as to when they can be at the property, but it is not to be used as a primary residence.

  18. 2026-04-08
    listed $179,900 Active 1437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1437 chars)

    Located in the heart of Adams County, conveniently positioned between Caledonia State Park and Pine Grove State Park, and just steps from the 85,500-acre Michaux State Forest. This three-bedroom hunting cabin is turn-key and ready for spring and summer adventures in the forest. Eat-in kitchen with propane stove and refrigerator. 3 bedrooms (one does not have a closet), 1 spacious full bath with stall shower full size laundry. Large Living Room with pool table and wood stove as well as a smaller sitting room. There is a pulldown to access the attic which has 8 foot clearance and is insulated if you want to finish another bunk room. Convenient sheds to keep all your outdoor equipment or even fit a car if snow is expected. Peaceful wooded surroundings and space to roam. Whether you're looking for a weekend get-a-way or hunting cabin, this one is ready for you. Close to hiking trails, biking, hunting, fishing, and even golfing! A short drive will take you to historic Gettysburg or Chambersburg. Explore the beauty of Pine Grove Furnace State Park, Laurel Lake, Fuller Lake, Long Pine Run Reservoir. This property is on a private land lease - you do not have to be a PA resident to purchase, but it does require cash. The lease is a private land lease at $600 per year for 5 years with a 5 year renewable option. Owners are not restricted as to when they can be at the property, but it is not to be used as a primary residence.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,072 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,602 · $134/mo
Expected delta
+$531/yr (+$44/mo · 49.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,846
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,072
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,348
− Management
−$1,348
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$914
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$219
After-tax cash flow
$2,846/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gettysburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4210710
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$58,451
Composite
46.03/100
National rank
#2526
State rank
#132 of 539 in PA

Livability — Cashtown

Score
62/100
State rank
#1329
US rank
#16387

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment C Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,745

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,494 people
By 2030
101,890 · -0.6%
By 2040
98,417 · -4.0%
By 2050
92,014 · -10.2%
By 2075
76,128 · -25.7%
By 2100
58,931 · -42.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.7% · R 66.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.28%
Current HPI
307.9862
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $164,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,072 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…