Triplex
125 Beaver St · Ansonia, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.2/15.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$579,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Investment opportunity knocks. Spacious well-located 3 Family house. Large rooms, 6 bedrooms with 2 car garage with ample parking. 2nd and 3rd floor tenants with leases. Good commuting location, close to parks, shopping, restaurants, and schools. Call listing agent for showings.
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to restaurants
- Close to schools
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas available
- Home design: Multi-family property (3-family)
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Built living area recorded at 3809
- Exterior features: Level lot; Aluminum siding; Asphalt shingle roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 12 total bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas hot water (30-gallon tank); Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: Full basement; Total of 30 rooms (multi-family)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 4-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $579k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $645/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $579k).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.8% in Ansonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#87 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Ansonia School District (suburban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #144 of 153 in CT (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,310/mo this rent would consume 102% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 541% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $162k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1888 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1888 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.31%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $518,024
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Elizabeth St | 0.34mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 3,864 (+1%) | 1mo | $330,000 | $85 | 71 |
| 42-44 Orchard St | 0.11mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 4,256 (+12%) | 1mo | $510,000 | $120 | 70 |
| 61 Garden St | 0.08mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 3,256 (-14%) | 2mo | $600,000 | $184 | 66 |
| 106 Howard Ave | 0.64mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 3,678 (-3%) | 3mo | $470,000 | $128 | 57 |
| 45 Winter St | 0.66mi | 5/3.0 | 3,360 (-12%) | 5mo | $650,000 | $193 | 45 |
| 28 Jackson St | 0.74mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 4,250 (+12%) | 11mo | $580,000 | $136 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $62,744
- Equity at exit
- $86,331
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $363,199
- Equity at exit
- $50,061
Cash invested: $162,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06401
- Home prices YoY
- -4.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 19.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,310 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,036
- Tax from tax record
- −$564 /mo · $6,763/yr
- Insurance
- −$241
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,535
- Net cashflow
- $1,934
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 4 | 1 | $7,311 |
| #1 | 4 | 1 | $2,437 |
| #2 | 4 | 1 | $2,437 |
| #3 | 4 | 1 | $2,437 |
| Total (3 units) | $7,310 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $144,750
- Closing costs
- $17,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Winter St Ansonia, CT | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2784 | $2,700 | $0.97 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $579,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $579,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $579,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $579,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $579,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 279-char remark
-
2026-06-10$579,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,763 · $564/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,577 · $798/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,814/yr (+$234/mo · 41.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $87,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$32,433
- − Property taxes
- −$6,763
- − Insurance
- −$2,895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,018
- − Management
- −$7,018
- − Depreciation
- −$16,844
- Taxable income
- $14,750
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,540
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,665/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ansonia School District
- NCES district ID
- 0900060
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,300
- Composite
- 16.97/100
- National rank
- #9132
- State rank
- #144 of 153 in CT
Livability — Ansonia
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #87
- US rank
- #6938
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ansonia, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 19,315
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,315
- Household income
- $86,178
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 541.0
Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 496,846
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Russian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -13.08%
- Current HPI
- 264.8538
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $579,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2023): $6,763 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…