CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
131 Tulip Ct 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 80.32
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

131 Tulip Ct · Gulfport, MS 39501
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,036 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 142 Days on market
Built 1970 9,583 sqft lot $68/sqft · 43% below area Est $123k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great home for a Great Price!! This unit is tenant occupied and will require a 24hr notice to show.

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • Built 1970
  • Listed 141 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $70,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$122,824) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $70k implies a 259% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
13.25%
Cash-on-cash
24.85%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,824
List price
$70,000
Delta
-43.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
56 Holly Cir 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,036 (0%) 1mo $80,000 $77 95

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$20,410
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
4.98×
Total profit
$77,913
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39501

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Rents YoY
10.5%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,114 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $939/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$406

Break-even live

Break-even rent $601
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $446 -5% $426 +0% $406 +5% $386 +10% $366
Rent -10% $318 -5% $362 +0% $406 +5% $450 +10% $494
Rate -1.0pp $441 -0.5pp $424 base $406 +0.5pp $388 +1.0pp $369

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4609 Michigan Ave Gulfport, MS 2.0 1.0 800 $825 $1.03 14d 1 0.79mi
4605 Michigan Ave Gulfport, MS 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 45d 1 0.81mi
3625 Meadowlark Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 1.0 1315 $1,200 $0.91 14d 1 1.25mi
3712 37th Ave Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1144 $1,175 $1.03 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $70,000 Active 142 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 139 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 138 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 137 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 136 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 134 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $70,000 Active 133 DOM
  8. 2026-05-14
    status Active 99-char remark
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Great home for a Great Price!! This unit is tenant occupied and will require a 24hr notice to show.

  9. 2026-04-30
    status Pending 99-char remark
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Great home for a Great Price!! This unit is tenant occupied and will require a 24hr notice to show.

  10. 2025-12-19
    listed $90,000 Active 99-char remark
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Great home for a Great Price!! This unit is tenant occupied and will require a 24hr notice to show.

  11. 2021-09-15
    historical
  12. 2017-02-06
    soldstatus $19,500
  13. 2014-07-17
    listed $42,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$939 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$939 · $78/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,373
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$939
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,070
− Management
−$1,070
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$3,987
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$957
After-tax cash flow
$3,914/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County School District
NCES district ID
2801770
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,504
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3419
State rank
#14 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulfport

Score
73/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#5010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gulfport, MS
County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
96,188
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
22,565
Household income
$34,758
Rent vs Own
60.3% rent · 39.7% own
Severe rent burden
1516.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.16%
Current HPI
208.998
Rent YoY
▲ 10.49%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+111.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-04-30 Pending MLSU
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $90,000 MLSU
  • 2021-09-15 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2017-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
  • 2014-07-17 Listed $42,500 MLSU

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $939 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…