🏷️ Likely Rental
314 North St · Camden, AR
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$19,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity. This property is occupied by a tenant. Square footage, lot size, and acreage is taken from courthouse records.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 1935
- Listed 430 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $822 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $17k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 56.9% vs local median 4.9% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#364 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Camden Fairview School District (town): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #229 of 238 in AR (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Ouachita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $135 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $585 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ouachita County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 431 days — a 12% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 431 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 56.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 180.71%
- DSCR
- 9.04
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,760
- List price
- $19,500
- Delta
- -75.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Cedar | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 929 (-2%) | 10mo | $28,000 | $30 | 75 |
| 568 Jenkins St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-6%) | 12mo | $80,500 | $90 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.01×
- Total profit
- $49,222
- Equity at exit
- $2,908
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 21.21×
- Total profit
- $110,349
- Equity at exit
- $1,686
Cash invested: $5,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71701
- Home prices YoY
- -20.5%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,202 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$102
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $206/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $822
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,875
- Closing costs
- $585
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $19,500 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $19,500 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $19,500 Active 429 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $19,500 Active 428 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $19,500 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $19,500 Active 425 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $19,500 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $19,500 Active 421 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $19,500 Active 420 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $19,500 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $19,500 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $19,500 Active 415 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $19,500 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $19,500 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $19,500 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $19,500 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-02-03price $19,500 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Investment opportunity. This property is occupied by a tenant. Square footage, lot size, and acreage is taken from courthouse records.
-
2025-08-13price $22,000 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Investment opportunity. This property is occupied by a tenant. Square footage, lot size, and acreage is taken from courthouse records.
-
2025-04-11$25,000 New Listing 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Investment opportunity. This property is occupied by a tenant. Square footage, lot size, and acreage is taken from courthouse records.
-
2005-07-19soldstatus $28,000
-
2004-05-06soldstatus $15,000
-
2004-05-06soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $206 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $206 · $17/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,427
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,092
- − Property taxes
- −$206
- − Insurance
- −$98
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,154
- − Management
- −$1,154
- − Depreciation
- −$567
- Taxable income
- $10,156
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,437
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,429/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden Fairview School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506060
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,854
- Composite
- 9.43/100
- National rank
- #9853
- State rank
- #229 of 238 in AR
Livability — Camden
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #364
- US rank
- #22245
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Camden, AR
- City population
- 17,883
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,883
Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,485 people
- By 2030
- 19,947 · -7.2%
- By 2040
- 16,990 · -20.9%
- By 2050
- 14,431 · -32.8%
- By 2075
- 10,003 · -53.4%
- By 2100
- 7,418 · -65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.1) · D 39.5% · R 58.6% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.9pp · 2024: -19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.1 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+10.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.10%
- Current HPI
- 171.0106
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+30.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $19,500 CARMLS
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $22,000 CARMLS
- 2025-04-11 Listed $25,000 CARMLS
- 2005-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2004-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2004-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $206 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…