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12986 Ohio Ave
C+ Composite 60.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$96,350

12986 Ohio Ave · Chesapeake, WV 25315
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1952 3,485 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming cottage ranch offers comfortable one-level living, making it ideal for those seeking convenience and accessibility. Situated on a dead-end street, the home provides a prime, accessible location. The property has been maintained, ensuring a move-in ready experience for prospective residents.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1952

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($971 rent vs $96k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#155 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Chesapeake Elementary School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #287 of 377 statewide, top 85%, 115 students, 0% FRL); Riverside High School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #55 of 110 statewide, top 59%, 1,220 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $666 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $96k implies a 157% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,350

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.11%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$31,920
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13 128th St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+10%) 10mo $6,000 $6 66
12951 Ohio Ave 0.09mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,031 (+13%) 4mo $9,900 $10 64
109 132nd Street St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+5%) 20mo $33,500 $35 64
8 127th St 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-8%) 15mo $14,000 $17 59
13590 Nancy Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 867 (-5%) 18mo $135,000 $156 46
303 E 11th St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,032 (+13%) 5mo $105,000 $102 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$746
Equity at exit
$22,410
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$18,988
Equity at exit
$22,818

Cash invested: $26,978 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25315

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$971 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$505
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $208/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $796
Max offer price $96,350
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,088
Closing costs
$2,890
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 1979-07-03
    soldstatus $37,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$208 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$568 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$360/yr (+$30/mo · 173.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,658
− Mortgage interest
−$5,397
− Property taxes
−$208
− Insurance
−$1,279
− Repairs & maintenance
−$933
− Management
−$933
− Depreciation
−$2,803
Taxable income
$105
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$25
After-tax cash flow
$1,634/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — Chesapeake

Score
63/100
State rank
#155
US rank
#14916

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chesapeake, WV
Population (ZIP)
3,227

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.18%
Current HPI
165.0619
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 1979-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $208 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…