12986 Ohio Ave · Chesapeake, WV
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$96,350
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming cottage ranch offers comfortable one-level living, making it ideal for those seeking convenience and accessibility. Situated on a dead-end street, the home provides a prime, accessible location. The property has been maintained, ensuring a move-in ready experience for prospective residents.
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- Built 1952
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($971 rent vs $96k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#155 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Chesapeake Elementary School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #287 of 377 statewide, top 85%, 115 students, 0% FRL); Riverside High School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #55 of 110 statewide, top 59%, 1,220 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $666 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $96k implies a 157% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.11%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $31,920
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 128th St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+10%) | 10mo | $6,000 | $6 | 66 |
| 12951 Ohio Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,031 (+13%) | 4mo | $9,900 | $10 | 64 |
| 109 132nd Street St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+5%) | 20mo | $33,500 | $35 | 64 |
| 8 127th St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-8%) | 15mo | $14,000 | $17 | 59 |
| 13590 Nancy Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 867 (-5%) | 18mo | $135,000 | $156 | 46 |
| 303 E 11th St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (+13%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $102 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $746
- Equity at exit
- $22,410
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $18,988
- Equity at exit
- $22,818
Cash invested: $26,978 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25315
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $971 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$505
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $208/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $138
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,088
- Closing costs
- $2,890
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
1979-07-03soldstatus $37,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $208 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $568 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$360/yr (+$30/mo · 173.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,658
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,397
- − Property taxes
- −$208
- − Insurance
- −$1,279
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$933
- − Management
- −$933
- − Depreciation
- −$2,803
- Taxable income
- $105
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$25
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,634/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kanawha County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400600
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,329
- Composite
- 29.35/100
- National rank
- #6540
- State rank
- #17 of 55 in WV
Livability — Chesapeake
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #155
- US rank
- #14916
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chesapeake, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,227
Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,946 people
- By 2030
- 172,906 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 159,874 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 148,148 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 123,257 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 96,454 · -46.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Current HPI
- 165.0619
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 1979-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $208 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…