17150 N Bay Rd #2419 · Sunny Isles Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$344,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 1 bedroom 1 bath located in the heart of Sunny Isles, washer and dryer inside, walking distance to the beach , shops and restaurants . pet friendly building that accepts large dogs. unit has 3 parking spaces .
Key facts
- $615 HOA
- 3 garage spots
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with no restrictions
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $615; HOA covers common areas, parking, and pool(s); Building has elevators
Exterior
- Parking: 3-car garage; Underground parking; Guest parking available; Multiple spaces (two or more); Valet service; Garage door opener
- Security: Secured garage/parking; Fire alarm
- Home design: Condominium (attached property); 9-story building; Entry on level 4; Entry location on level 4
- Construction: Effective year built
- Exterior features: Secured garage/parking; Fire alarm
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric cooling
- Interior features: First-floor entry; Elevator; Other interior features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $344k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-505 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (25.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $344k).
- Recommended offer: $255k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 0.8% in Sunny Isles Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in FL, #434 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,623/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($303k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 15536% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $262k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.98%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-40,323
- Equity at exit
- $109,046
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-47,740
- Equity at exit
- $138,630
Cash invested: $96,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1870
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,623 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,804
- Tax from tax record
- −$379 /mo · $4,544/yr
- Insurance
- −$143
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$615
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$761
- Net cashflow
- $-505
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,000
- Closing costs
- $10,320
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $615 · $7,380/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $344,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $344,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $344,000 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $344,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $344,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $344,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $344,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $344,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $344,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $344,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $344,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $344,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $344,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-05-21$2,200
-
2026-05-08historical $2,200
-
2026-03-25price $2,200
-
2026-03-24price $344,000
-
2026-02-24price $2,300
-
2026-02-23price $349,000
-
2026-02-04$2,350
-
2026-01-29price $347,000
-
2026-01-03price $349,000
-
2025-12-12price $360,000
-
2025-12-02$375,000 Active
-
2025-12-02historical
-
2025-05-14$375,000 Active
-
2024-11-24historical $2,450
-
2024-10-17price $2,450
-
2024-07-14$2,500
-
2024-07-05soldstatus $262,000
-
2023-09-02historical $2,400
-
2023-07-19price $2,400
-
2020-12-31soldstatus $225,000
-
2020-12-21soldstatus $225,000 Closed 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Beautiful 1 bedroom 1 bath located in the heart of Sunny Isles, washer and dryer inside, walking distance to the beach , shops and restaurants . pet friendly building that accepts large dogs. unit has 3 parking spaces .
-
2020-10-01status Pending 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Beautiful 1 bedroom 1 bath located in the heart of Sunny Isles, washer and dryer inside, walking distance to the beach , shops and restaurants . pet friendly building that accepts large dogs. unit has 3 parking spaces .
-
2020-08-04price $235,000 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Beautiful 1 bedroom 1 bath located in the heart of Sunny Isles, washer and dryer inside, walking distance to the beach , shops and restaurants . pet friendly building that accepts large dogs. unit has 3 parking spaces .
-
2020-07-02$245,000 Active 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Beautiful 1 bedroom 1 bath located in the heart of Sunny Isles, washer and dryer inside, walking distance to the beach , shops and restaurants . pet friendly building that accepts large dogs. unit has 3 parking spaces .
-
2018-07-30historical
-
2018-02-01$275,000 Active
-
2017-09-30historical
-
2017-08-30price $275,000
-
2017-04-10$295,000 Active
-
2017-04-01historical
-
2016-09-19$295,000 Active
-
2015-08-19historical
-
2014-11-24$299,000 Active
-
2014-11-20historical
-
2014-01-31price $275,000
-
2013-10-08$295,000 Active
-
2004-05-14soldstatus $119,500,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,544 · $379/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,544 · $379/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,269
- − Property taxes
- −$4,544
- − Insurance
- −$6,838
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,478
- − Management
- −$3,478
- − HOA
- −$7,380
- − Depreciation
- −$10,007
- Taxable loss
- −$11,517
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,764
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,298/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sunny Isles Beach
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #434
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunny Isles Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-100.0% since first listed37 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed for Rent $2,200 MARMLS
- 2026-05-08 Rental Removed $2,200 MARMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $2,200 MARMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $344,000 MARMLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $2,300 MARMLS
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $349,000 MARMLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed for Rent $2,350 MARMLS
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $347,000 MARMLS
- 2026-01-03 Price Changed $349,000 MARMLS
- 2025-12-12 Price Changed $360,000 MARMLS
- 2025-12-02 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-12-02 Listed $375,000 MARMLS
- 2025-05-14 Listed $375,000 MARMLS
- 2024-11-24 Rental Removed $2,450 MARMLS
- 2024-10-17 Price Changed $2,450 MARMLS
- 2024-07-14 Listed for Rent $2,500 MARMLS
- 2024-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $262,000 Public Records
- 2023-09-02 Rental Removed $2,400 MARMLS
- 2023-07-19 Price Changed $2,400 MARMLS
- 2020-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-21 Sold (MLS) $225,000 MARMLS
- 2020-10-01 Pending — MARMLS
- 2020-08-04 Price Changed $235,000 MARMLS
- 2020-07-02 Listed $245,000 MARMLS
- 2018-07-30 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2018-02-01 Listed $275,000 MARMLS
- 2017-09-30 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2017-08-30 Price Changed $275,000 MARMLS
- 2017-04-10 Listed $295,000 MARMLS
- 2017-04-01 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2016-09-19 Listed $295,000 MARMLS
- 2015-08-19 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2014-11-24 Listed $299,000 MARMLS
- 2014-11-20 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2014-01-31 Price Changed $275,000 MARMLS
- 2013-10-08 Listed $295,000 MARMLS
- 2004-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $119,500,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,544 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…