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806 28th St #2 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 73.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

806 28th St #2 · Milford, IA 51351
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily · 10 Days on market
Built 1996 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Perfectly situated just a short distance from Terrace Park Beach and only minutes from the excitement of Arnolds Park Amusement Park, you won't find a property at a better price! This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom Okoboji Village home is looking for the right person to make it their own. Lot rent is $240/month. Don't miss this opportunity to own an affordable piece of the Okoboji lifestyle - call today for a showing!

Key facts

  • Built 1996
  • Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air
  • Interior features: One-level living

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $49,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$379,764) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($886 rent vs $50k).
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 2.7% in Milford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#28 in IA, #795 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
  • Okoboji Community School District (town): math 78% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #40 of 289 in IA (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 295 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dickinson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.77%
Cap rate
14.83%
Cash-on-cash
30.47%
DSCR
2.36
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$379,764
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
900 Terrace Park Blvd 0.41mi 2/1.0 960 (+4%) 8mo $395,000 $411 64
3200 Okoboji Ave #106 0.40mi 2/1.0 960 (+4%) 10mo $139,000 $145 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$14,525
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
32.9%
Equity multiple
3.99×
Total profit
$41,801
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 51351

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$886 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$355

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $49,900 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    remarks 412-char remark
  8. 2026-06-07
    listed $49,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,628
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$850
− Management
−$850
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$3,682
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$884
After-tax cash flow
$3,374/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in fair condition with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. Painting the exterior and interior walls and replacing the carpeted flooring can significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Paint — There are some minor signs of peeling paint on the exterior and interior walls.
  • Minor Flooring — The carpeted flooring shows some wear and tear, which could be addressed with a cleaning or replacement.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior and interior walls — Painting the exterior and interior walls can improve the overall appearance of the home and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Replace the carpeted flooring — Replacing the carpeted flooring with a more modern and durable material can improve the overall appearance of the home and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Paint · There are some minor signs of peeling paint on the exterior and interior walls. Minor $500–3,000
Flooring · The carpeted flooring shows some wear and tear, which could be addressed with a cleaning or replacement. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior and interior walls — Painting the exterior and interior walls can improve the overall appearance of the home and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Replace the carpeted flooring — Replacing the carpeted flooring with a more modern and durable material can improve the overall appearance of the home and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okoboji Community School District
NCES district ID
1900021
Math proficiency
78% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
80% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$50,522
Composite
66.88/100
National rank
#403
State rank
#40 of 289 in IA

Livability — Milford

Score
84/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#795

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milford, IA
Population (ZIP)
4,990

Population outlook (Dickinson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,133 people
By 2030
18,610 · +2.6%
By 2040
19,456 · +7.3%
By 2050
20,307 · +12.0%
By 2075
23,155 · +27.7%
By 2100
24,449 · +34.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dickinson

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.0) · D 29.5% · R 69.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.4pp · 2024: -40.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.0 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+18.0 2008: R+5.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.04%
Current HPI
214.6362
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $49,900 Iowa Great Lakes BOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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