🏗️ New Construction
1979 Wilder Way · Eagle Lake, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$260,740
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This new four-bedroom home offers convenient single-story living. Upon entry are three secondary bedrooms steps from a full bathroom, leading to an inviting open-concept plan shared between the kitchen, living and dining areas. A comfortable owner's suite creates a serene retreat at the back of the home, featuring a full bathroom and walk-in closet. A versatile flex space completes the home, perfect for an office, studio and more.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Single-story living
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: CDD exists; Lease restrictions apply; Pets allowed in community; Community features: park
- Financial info: Other annual assessment: $1,796; Total monthly HOA amount: $118
- HOA & community: HOA required (monthly fee $118); Association amenities: park, playground, pool; Association requires approval; Association fee includes escrow reserves
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with 18x20 dimensions; Driveway; Garage door opener
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Cable available and connected; Underground utilities; Water available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Facing south; Under construction (projected completion July 3, 2026)
- Construction: Frame and other construction materials; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction by Lennar Homes (model: Aaron)
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Paved, private lot; Asphalt road frontage; Pool (unspecified type)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Solid surface counters
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air
- Interior features: Kitchen/family room combo; Open floorplan; Pest guard system; Solid surface counters; Thermostat; Walk-in closets; Thermal windows; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry; Inside utility; Irrigation equipment
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $261k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-161 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (10.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (18.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#196 in FL, #3,096 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wahneta Elementary School (math 38% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,787 of 2,144 statewide, top 84%, 507 students, 69% FRL); Westwood Middle School (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 571 statewide, top 96%, 878 students, 70% FRL); Lake Region High School (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #570 of 667 statewide, top 86%, 1,545 students, 61% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.64%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $4,352
- Equity at exit
- $99,298
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $52,061
- Equity at exit
- $140,315
Cash invested: $73,007 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33839
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,120 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,367
- Tax from tax record
- −$242 /mo · $2,904/yr
- Insurance
- −$109
- HOA
- −$118
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $-161
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-13 | -5% $-87 | +0% $-161 | +5% $-235 | +10% $-308 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-328 | -5% $-245 | +0% $-161 | +5% $-77 | +10% $7 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-30 | -0.5pp $-95 | base $-161 | +0.5pp $-228 | +1.0pp $-297 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,185
- Closing costs
- $7,822
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 Wilder Way Eagle Lake, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1733 | $2,100 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1033 Holden Way Winter Haven, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,950 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3103 Totem Rd Eagle Lake, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2186 | $2,198 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 608 Trotters Dr Eagle Lake, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2140 | $2,400 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 740 Trotters Dr Eagle Lake, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1973 | $2,295 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3451 Rover Rd Eloise, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1910 | $2,199 | $1.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3443 Rover Rd Eloise, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,099 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 948 Craftsman Rd Eagle Lake, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,895 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1727 Foreman Rd Eagle Lake, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1879 | $1,925 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1469 Deepwater Cir Eagle Lake, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2057 Lasso Loop Eagle Lake, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2205 | $2,275 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2711 Pioneer Trl Eagle Lake, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1836 | $2,050 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1204 Deepwater Cir Eagle Lake, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,900 | $1.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2782 Pioneer Trl Eagle Lake, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $1,940 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2831 Pioneer Trl Eloise, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2831 Pioneer Trl Eloise, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1623 Marksman Rd Eagle Lake, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2150 | $2,700 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 327 MacArthur St Bartow, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1936 | $2,260 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 519 Patton Loop Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,998 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 212 Pershing St Bartow, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1826 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 217 Windsor Reserve Dr Eagle Lake, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $1,896 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 209 Windsor Reserve Dr Bartow, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $1,826 | $0.99 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 418 Reina Way Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,666 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 588 Crown Rose Dr Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,646 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 519 Crown Rose Dr Eagle Lake, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2001 | $1,956 | $0.98 | 5d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 523 Crown Rose Dr Eagle Lake, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $1,951 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 531 Crown Rose Dr Bartow, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $1,746 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 303 Corbel Ln Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,731 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 543 Crown Rose Dr Bartow, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2001 | $2,091 | $1.04 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 328 Corbel Ln Eagle Lake, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $1,676 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 910 Sun Burst Rd Winter Haven, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1690 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2347 Aquiline Nest St Eagle Lake, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2601 | $2,700 | $1.04 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2029 Carroll Ln Winter Haven, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2097 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $118 · $1,416/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-15status $260,740 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $260,740 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-13$260,740 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,904 · $242/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,904 · $242/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,605
- − Property taxes
- −$2,904
- − Insurance
- −$1,304
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,036
- − Management
- −$2,036
- − HOA
- −$1,416
- − Depreciation
- −$7,585
- Taxable loss
- −$6,441
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,546
- After-tax cash flow
- $-385/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Eagle Lake
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #3096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eagle Lake, FL
- City population
- 4,397
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,397
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 8% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 23% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.75%
- Current HPI
- 317.0642
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-72.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $260,740 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-10 Listed $260,740 Zillow
- 2026-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $932,300 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…