157 Annapolis Ln · Rotonda, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to wonderful Rotonda, hidden away but close to everything. Minutes to local Gulf Beaches and Rotonda is a great golfing community with 5 beautiful courses. Fresh water canals and lakes throughout. A must to see for your winter getaway or your full time home in Paradise. This 3 bedroom and 2 bath home has a large lanai across the back of the home with a large back yard with privacy there are no houses behind you.
Key facts
- 8,788 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1996
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Partially furnished
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (annual fee $190; $15.83/month); HOA covers grounds maintenance and management; Association amenities include golf; Pets allowed: cats and dogs; Association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; South-facing
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on lot under 1/4 acre
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Lot approximately 0.2 acre; Deed restrictions; Street lights; Golf community
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heat; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window treatments; Sliding doors
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area in garage; Washer; Dryer; Irrigation equipment
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (1.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $225k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.1% in Rotonda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#548 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Vineland Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 579 students, 45% FRL); Lemon Bay High School (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,360 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 37% FRL vs 54% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 863 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($225k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $239k implies a 190% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.77%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $227,368
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 192 Annapolis Ln | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,270 (+8%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $110 | 68 |
| 159 Annapolis Ln | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,298 (+11%) | 18mo | $175,000 | $135 | 61 |
| 149 Caddy Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (+10%) | 23mo | $290,000 | $226 | 58 |
| 193 Caddy Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (+8%) | 23mo | $247,000 | $194 | 46 |
| 47 Caddy Rd | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,240 (+6%) | 22mo | $335,000 | $270 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.25% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $6,235
- Equity at exit
- $84,715
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $35,002
- Equity at exit
- $115,035
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33947
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 863
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,351 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax from tax record
- −$335 /mo · $4,015/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$15
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$494
- Net cashflow
- $88
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $223 | -5% $156 | +0% $88 | +5% $20 | +10% $-47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-98 | -5% $-5 | +0% $88 | +5% $181 | +10% $274 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $208 | -0.5pp $149 | base $88 | +0.5pp $26 | +1.0pp $-37 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195 Rotonda Blvd W Unit A Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,850 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 98 Caddy Rd Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $4,000 | $3.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 199 Rotonda Blvd W Unit C Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $1,475 | $1.51 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 87 Mark Twain Ln Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $2,500 | $2.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 65 Oakland Hills Pl Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $4,500 | $3.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 181 Bunker Rd Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $4,600 | $3.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 60 Golfview Rd Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $5,550 | $4.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 37 Oakland Hills Pl Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $4,000 | $3.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 284 Rotonda Blvd W Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 897 | $1,475 | $1.64 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 260 Rotonda Blvd W Unit 2 Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1047 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 173 Rotonda Cir Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $3,200 | $2.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 146 Boundary Blvd Unit B101 Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 815 | $1,400 | $1.72 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 226 Boundary Blvd Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 113 Boundary Blvd #2 Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $1,625 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 113 Boundary Blvd Unit B 1 Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,695 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 93 Boundary Blvd #303 Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $2,800 | $2.28 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 278 Boundary Blvd Unit B Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $1,625 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 100 Rotonda Lakes Cir Rotonda West, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1024 | $1,232 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 289 Boundary Blvd Unit 202 Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,645 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 309 Boundary Blvd Unit B Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,450 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $15 · $180/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $239,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $239,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-01$239,000 Active
-
2002-04-29soldstatus $82,500
-
1995-02-27soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,015 · $335/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,015 · $335/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,208
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$4,015
- − Insurance
- −$1,992
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,257
- − Management
- −$2,257
- − HOA
- −$180
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable loss
- −$2,833
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$680
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,737/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Rotonda
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #548
- US rank
- #10359
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rotonda, FL
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 10,490
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,447
- Household income
- $80,091
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 91.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.25%
- Current HPI
- 311.3231
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.22%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+2555.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $239,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
- 1995-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,015 · -6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…