214 Hudson Ave · Hallsville, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This three bedroom, two bathroom home offers 1678 square feet of comfortable living space in the highly sought-after Hallsville School District. The property features durable metal siding for low-maintenance living. Inside you'll love the warm character of the tongue-and-groove wood ceilings. Step outside to enjoy a fully fenced backyard, perfect for pets, play, or entertaining, along with a covered patio for relaxing evenings or weekend gatherings.
Key facts
- Metal siding
- Covered patio
- 7,475 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($522/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (17.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $140k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.1% in Hallsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#174 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Hallsville R-IV (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #87 of 324 in MO (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hallsville Primary (351 students, 28% FRL); Hallsville Middle (math 48% / reading 44%, grade D+, #102 of 391 statewide, top 26%, 365 students, 28% FRL); Hallsville High (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #124 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 448 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $170k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.10%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $343,990
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Hudson Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,678 (0%) | 1mo | $169,900 | $101 | 97 |
| 205 Meadow Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-11%) | 9mo | $239,900 | $160 | 67 |
| 100 Trent Ct | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,807 (+8%) | 7mo | $349,000 | $193 | 67 |
| 14590 Wellstead Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,690 (+1%) | 6mo | $489,900 | $290 | 62 |
| LOT 111 N Federal Dr | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,645 (-2%) | 12mo | $359,900 | $219 | 61 |
| 14600 Mettler Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,740 (+4%) | 7mo | $369,900 | $213 | 57 |
| 14592 Mettler Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,731 (+3%) | 13mo | $342,500 | $198 | 56 |
| 14594 Mettler Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,740 (+4%) | 14mo | $355,900 | $205 | 54 |
| 14658 Mettler Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,644 (-2%) | 11mo | $330,000 | $201 | 52 |
| 14593 Mettler Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,591 (-5%) | 15mo | $334,900 | $210 | 51 |
| 14598 Mettler Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+7%) | 9mo | $379,900 | $211 | 51 |
| 110 Oak Ln | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,901 (+13%) | 12mo | $255,000 | $134 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-24,807
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-18,226
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65255
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,209/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $44
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $140 | -5% $92 | +0% $44 | +5% $-5 | +10% $-53 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-67 | -5% $-12 | +0% $44 | +5% $99 | +10% $154 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $129 | -0.5pp $87 | base $44 | +0.5pp $-1 | +1.0pp $-45 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Elizabeth St Hallsville, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1349 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-03-23status Pending
-
2026-03-13price $169,900
-
2026-03-01$179,900 Active
-
2012-06-04soldstatus $75,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,209 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,648 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$439/yr (+$37/mo · 36.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,209
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$2,406
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$577
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,100/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hallsville R-IV
- NCES district ID
- 2913560
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,529
- Composite
- 38.89/100
- National rank
- #4097
- State rank
- #87 of 324 in MO
Livability — Hallsville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #174
- US rank
- #9241
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hallsville, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,141
Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,891 people
- By 2030
- 217,799 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 246,789 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 276,116 · +36.1%
- By 2075
- 348,426 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 400,856 · +97.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Boone
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 53.9% · R 44.1% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+12.5 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.74%
- Current HPI
- 256.7246
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+125.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Pending — CBORMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $169,900 CBORMLS
- 2026-03-01 Listed $179,900 CBORMLS
- 2012-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $75,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,209 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…