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D Composite 42.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

214 Hudson Ave · Hallsville, MO 65255
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,678 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1960 7,475 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This three bedroom, two bathroom home offers 1678 square feet of comfortable living space in the highly sought-after Hallsville School District. The property features durable metal siding for low-maintenance living. Inside you'll love the warm character of the tongue-and-groove wood ceilings. Step outside to enjoy a fully fenced backyard, perfect for pets, play, or entertaining, along with a covered patio for relaxing evenings or weekend gatherings.

Key facts

  • Metal siding
  • Covered patio
  • 7,475 sq ft lot

Tags

METAL SIDINGFULLY FENCED BACKYARDCOVERED PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($522/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (17.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.1% in Hallsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#174 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Hallsville R-IV (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #87 of 324 in MO (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hallsville Primary (351 students, 28% FRL); Hallsville Middle (math 48% / reading 44%, grade D+, #102 of 391 statewide, top 26%, 365 students, 28% FRL); Hallsville High (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #124 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 448 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $170k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $140,000 (17.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.10%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$343,990
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
214 Hudson Ave 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,678 (0%) 1mo $169,900 $101 97
205 Meadow Ln 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-11%) 9mo $239,900 $160 67
100 Trent Ct 0.22mi 3/2.5 1,807 (+8%) 7mo $349,000 $193 67
14590 Wellstead Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,690 (+1%) 6mo $489,900 $290 62
LOT 111 N Federal Dr 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,645 (-2%) 12mo $359,900 $219 61
14600 Mettler Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,740 (+4%) 7mo $369,900 $213 57
14592 Mettler Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,731 (+3%) 13mo $342,500 $198 56
14594 Mettler Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,740 (+4%) 14mo $355,900 $205 54
14658 Mettler Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,644 (-2%) 11mo $330,000 $201 52
14593 Mettler Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,591 (-5%) 15mo $334,900 $210 51
14598 Mettler Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+7%) 9mo $379,900 $211 51
110 Oak Ln 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,901 (+13%) 12mo $255,000 $134 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-24,807
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-18,226
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65255

Home prices YoY
-18.4%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,209/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$44

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,345
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $140 -5% $92 +0% $44 +5% $-5 +10% $-53
Rent -10% $-67 -5% $-12 +0% $44 +5% $99 +10% $154
Rate -1.0pp $129 -0.5pp $87 base $44 +0.5pp $-1 +1.0pp $-45

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
200 Elizabeth St Hallsville, MO 3.0 1.0 1349 $1,400 $1.04 45d 1 0.39mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-13
    price $169,900
  3. 2026-03-01
    listed $179,900 Active
  4. 2012-06-04
    soldstatus $75,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,209 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,648 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$439/yr (+$37/mo · 36.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,800
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,209
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$2,406
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$577
After-tax cash flow
$1,100/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hallsville R-IV
NCES district ID
2913560
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,529
Composite
38.89/100
National rank
#4097
State rank
#87 of 324 in MO

Livability — Hallsville

Score
68/100
State rank
#174
US rank
#9241

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hallsville, MO
Population (ZIP)
5,141

Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,891 people
By 2030
217,799 · +7.3%
By 2040
246,789 · +21.6%
By 2050
276,116 · +36.1%
By 2075
348,426 · +71.7%
By 2100
400,856 · +97.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Danish 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Boone

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 53.9% · R 44.1% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+12.5 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.74%
Current HPI
256.7246
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Pending CBORMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $169,900 CBORMLS
  • 2026-03-01 Listed $179,900 CBORMLS
  • 2012-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $75,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,209 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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