CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
30 Milton Ave Duplex
A Composite 86.95
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$124,900

30 Milton Ave · Amsterdam, NY 12010
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,252 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1880 7,840 sqft lot Est $194k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

What a great two family home for owner occupant or investor, well maintained, nice yard with a two car garage. 3 bedrooms each flat, large eat in kitchens and large bathrooms. This home will achieve great rental income with a fresh coat of paint and new flooring.

Key facts

  • 7,840 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1880

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $665/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 6.3% in Amsterdam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#247 in NY, #3,884 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Amsterdam City School District (town): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #546 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Amsterdam High School (math 75% / reading 82%, grade A-, #563 of 1,100 statewide, top 52%, 1,179 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 40% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 78% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+40 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Amsterdam City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.28%
Cap rate
19.07%
Cash-on-cash
45.62%
DSCR
3.03
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$193,672
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
26 Van Derveer St 0.06mi 6/2.0 2,300 (+2%) 1mo $148,000 $64 93
38 Milton Ave 0.05mi 6/2.0 2,148 (-5%) 2mo $211,400 $98 88
211 Forest Ave 0.31mi 6/2.0 2,225 (-1%) 1mo $190,000 $85 82
17-19 Brookside Ave 0.24mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,400 (+7%) 2mo $135,000 $56 72
17 Hawk St 0.53mi 6/2.0 2,296 (+2%) 2mo $198,000 $86 71
225 Church St 0.46mi 6/2.0 2,328 (+3%) 5mo $215,000 $92 69
45 Pulaski St 0.56mi 6/2.0 2,348 (+4%) 5mo $242,500 $103 63
36 Hibbard St 0.55mi 6/2.0 2,406 (+7%) 4mo $224,000 $93 59
6 Blood St 0.47mi 6/2.0 2,535 (+13%) 4mo $85,000 $34 54
10 4th St 0.67mi 6/2.0 2,460 (+9%) 0mo $220,000 $89 53
18 Kline St #2 0.72mi 7/2.0 (+1) 1,924 (-15%) 3mo $148,000 $77 35
85 Fairview Pl 0.63mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,920 (-15%) 4mo $135,500 $71 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.9%
Equity multiple
5.37×
Total profit
$152,776
Equity at exit
$112,520
10-year hold
IRR
53.4%
Equity multiple
11.96×
Total profit
$383,460
Equity at exit
$242,653

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12010

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,842 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$209 /mo · $2,504/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$597
Net cashflow
$1,330

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,159
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,400 -5% $1,365 +0% $1,330 +5% $1,294 +10% $1,259
Rent -10% $1,105 -5% $1,217 +0% $1,330 +5% $1,442 +10% $1,554
Rate -1.0pp $1,392 -0.5pp $1,361 base $1,330 +0.5pp $1,297 +1.0pp $1,264

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,842

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2023-04-04
    soldstatus $128,577
  2. 2023-03-29
    status Pending
  3. 2023-02-23
    status Pending
  4. 2023-02-20
    listed $124,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,504 · $209/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,504 · $209/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,104
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$2,504
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,728
− Management
−$2,728
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$14,889
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,573
After-tax cash flow
$12,381/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amsterdam City School District
NCES district ID
3602970
Math proficiency
35% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$41,735
Composite
32.03/100
National rank
#5824
State rank
#546 of 590 in NY

Livability — Amsterdam

Score
75/100
State rank
#247
US rank
#3884

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amsterdam, NY
City population
27,339
Population (ZIP)
27,339

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,683 people
By 2030
47,785 · -1.8%
By 2040
45,492 · -6.6%
By 2050
43,161 · -11.3%
By 2075
38,134 · -21.7%
By 2100
32,337 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 18%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.7) · D 35.6% · R 64.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -28.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.7 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+4.4 2008: R+8.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.12%
Current HPI
312.4966
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2023-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $128,577 Public Records
  • 2023-03-29 Pending Global MLS
  • 2023-02-23 Pending Global MLS
  • 2023-02-20 Listed $124,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,504 · -5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…