Fourplex
1016 Greene Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
$1,995,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
short sale,,,,will go fast
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Handicap accessible
- 1,600 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Quadruplex
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 1-bedroom units; Two 2-bedroom units
- Heating & cooling: Electric cooling; Electric heating; Other heating
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Basement (full)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2×1bd/1.0ba + 2×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $2.00M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-35k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-737/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.47M (26.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.11M (44.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.11M (44.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 211 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $11,122/mo this rent would consume 156% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 8053% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $213k of equity ($14k loan paydown + $200k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$343k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.88M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $350k; list at $2.00M implies a 470% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.34%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 14.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $922,172
- Equity at exit
- $1,797,254
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.22×
- Total profit
- $2,915,598
- Equity at exit
- $3,875,846
Cash invested: $558,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11221
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 211
- Price-to-rent
- 62.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,122 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$10,462
- Tax from tax record
- −$442 /mo · $5,309/yr
- Insurance
- −$831
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,336
- Net cashflow
- $-2,949
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $5,282 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $2,641 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $2,641 |
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $5,840 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $2,920 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $2,920 |
| Total (4 units) | $11,122 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $498,750
- Closing costs
- $59,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,995,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,995,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,995,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,995,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,995,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,995,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,995,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,995,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,995,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,995,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,995,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Active
-
2026-05-05price $1,995,000
-
2026-03-26$2,000,000 Active
-
2024-04-01historical $2,700
-
2024-03-19$2,700
-
2024-03-11historical $2,700
-
2024-03-01historical $2,700
-
2024-02-12price $2,700
-
2023-12-13$2,600
-
2023-12-08price $2,300
-
2023-11-29$2,500
-
2020-04-15soldstatus $350,000 Sold 26-char remark
Show marketing remark (26 chars)
short sale,,,,will go fast
-
2016-08-03soldstatus $550,000
-
2015-05-22soldstatus $357,000
-
2015-05-06historical 26-char remark
Show marketing remark (26 chars)
short sale,,,,will go fast
-
2014-01-08$225,000 26-char remark
Show marketing remark (26 chars)
short sale,,,,will go fast
-
2010-10-28historical
-
2010-07-30price $229,000
-
2009-10-28historical Under Contract
-
2009-04-25historical
-
2009-03-05$395,000
-
2003-07-02soldstatus $370,000
-
1995-09-06soldstatus $155,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,309 · $442/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $19,512 · $1,626/mo
- Expected delta
- +$14,203/yr (+$1,184/mo · 267.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $133,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$111,751
- − Property taxes
- −$5,309
- − Insurance
- −$9,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,677
- − Management
- −$10,677
- − Depreciation
- −$58,036
- Taxable loss
- −$72,961
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$17,511
- After-tax cash flow
- $-17,880/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 91,588
- Household income
- $85,736
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8053.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 37% Hispanic / Latino 32% White 20% Two or more races 15% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 24% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.95%
- Current HPI
- 597.7817
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.15%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+1187.1% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $1,995,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Listed $2,000,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-01 Rental Removed $2,700 ONEKEY
- 2024-03-19 Listed for Rent $2,700 ONEKEY
- 2024-03-11 Rental Removed $2,700 ONEKEY
- 2024-03-01 Rental Removed $2,700 ONEKEY
- 2024-02-12 Price Changed $2,700 ONEKEY
- 2023-12-13 Listed for Rent $2,600 ONEKEY
- 2023-12-08 Price Changed $2,300 ONEKEY
- 2023-11-29 Listed for Rent $2,500 ONEKEY
- 2020-04-15 Sold (MLS) $350,000 BNYMLS
- 2016-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $550,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $357,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-06 Delisted — BNYMLS
- 2014-01-08 Listed $225,000 BNYMLS
- 2010-10-28 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-07-30 Price Changed $229,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-28 Contingent — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-25 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-03-05 Listed $395,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $370,000 Public Records
- 1995-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,309 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…