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1515 5th St Duplex
C+ Composite 60.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$310,000

1515 5th St · Eureka, CA 95501
None bd · 2.0 ba · 2,184 sqft · MultiFamily · 237 Days on market
Built 1935 3,049 sqft lot Est $463k · 33% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Commercial building with attached, 2-unit, ADU. Very high visibility/traffic location with street frontage. The off street parking is easily accessible from Highway 101 North and South (4th st & 5th st). The commercial space is approximately 1000sqft with multiple entrances, storage and currently plumbed for two bathrooms, The attached ADU's consist of a downstairs studio and a 1bed/1bath upstairs. Bring your vision and ideas as there is a multitude of possibilities here. Includes two parcels-APN 001-224-017 and APN 001-224-018

Key facts

  • 1bed 1bath upstairs
  • Off street parking
  • Downstairs studio

Tags

ATTACHED ADUHIGH VISIBILITY LOCATIONOFF STREET PARKINGMULTIPLE ENTRANCESDOWNSTAIRS STUDIO1BED 1BATH UPSTAIRS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Multi-family residential income property; Two levels / 2 stories
  • Construction: Zoned commercial
  • Exterior features: Sidewalks

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 half bathrooms
  • Interior features: Has view

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $310k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $507 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $253/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $310k).
  • Recommended offer: $273k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.0% in Eureka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#630 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A-; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
  • Eureka City Schools (town): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #435 of 517 in CA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 101 active listings in the ZIP; 188 units permitted in Humboldt County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,353/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1826% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Humboldt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $38k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $272,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.25%
Cash-on-cash
7.00%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$463,008
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1141 Cousins St 0.48mi 5/3.0 2,509 (+15%) 0mo $531,000 $212 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-19,232
Equity at exit
$46,222
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$19,664
Equity at exit
$26,803

Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95501

Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
101
Price-to-rent
15.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,353 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,626
Tax est. 1.5%
$388 /mo · $4,650/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$704
Net cashflow
$507

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,712
Max offer price $310,000
Occupancy floor 80%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,353

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,500
Closing costs
$9,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $310,000 Active 237 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $310,000 Active 236 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $310,000 Active 235 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $310,000 Active 234 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $310,000 Active 233 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $310,000 Active 231 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $310,000 Active 230 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $310,000 Active 228 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $310,000 Active 227 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $310,000 Active 226 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $310,000 Active 225 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $310,000 Active 222 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $310,000 Active 221 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $310,000 Active 220 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $310,000 Active 219 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $310,000 Active 218 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $310,000 Active 217 DOM
  18. 2026-04-29
    status Active
  19. 2026-04-13
    price $310,000
  20. 2026-01-26
    status Active
  21. 2025-11-03
    price $330,000
  22. 2025-10-24
    listed $348,000 Active
  23. 2025-07-24
    listed $348,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,236
− Mortgage interest
−$17,365
− Property taxes
−$4,650
− Insurance
−$1,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,219
− Management
−$3,219
− Depreciation
−$9,018
Taxable income
$1,215
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$292
After-tax cash flow
$5,787/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eureka City Schools
NCES district ID
0600052
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,249
Composite
20.16/100
National rank
#8633
State rank
#435 of 517 in CA

Livability — Eureka

Score
59/100
State rank
#630
US rank
#19902

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment F Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eureka, CA
County
Humboldt County · 88,652 people
City population
47,944
Metro
Eureka-Arcata, CA
Population (ZIP)
22,890
Household income
$54,137
Rent vs Own
59.0% rent · 41.0% own
Severe rent burden
1826.0

Population outlook (Humboldt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,550 people
By 2030
134,798 · -0.6%
By 2040
132,222 · -2.5%
By 2050
130,850 · -3.5%
By 2075
128,656 · -5.1%
By 2100
120,238 · -11.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 5% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Humboldt

2024 margin
Strong D (+28.4) · D 62.0% · R 33.6% · Other 4.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: 28.2pp · 2024: 28.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+28.4 2020: D+33.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+26.2 2008: D+28.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -279.38%
Current HPI
236.9255
Rent YoY
▲ 2.61%
Metro
Eureka-Arcata, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted HAR
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $310,000 HAR
  • 2026-01-26 Relisted HAR
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $330,000 HAR
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $348,000 HAR
  • 2025-07-24 Listed $348,000 HAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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