244 Quehl Ave N · Lakeland, MN
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$375,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
TILE, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, LARGE ISLAND WITH OPEN CONCEPT FEATURING DINING ROOM & LIVING ROOM. MASTER SUITE,MASTER BATH TILE, VANITY. BEAUTIFUL NEW WOOD FLOORING, CARPET, WHITE MILLWORK, DECK, MECHANICALS, ELECTRICAL, ROOF & PLUMBING. WALKOUT KITCHEN, LARGE YARD, GREAT FOR GATHERINGS, SHORT WALK TO THE ST.CROIX RIVER. CONVENIENT LOCATION TO STILLWATER AND THE RIVER LIFESTYLE. *HIGHLY RATED STILLWATER SCHOOL DISTRICT*
Key facts
- 0.51 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1974
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $352k (6.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $352k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#295 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Stillwater Area Public School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #54 of 301 in MN (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 1,405 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (121 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $249k; list at $375k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.96%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-36,731
- Equity at exit
- $55,914
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-1,205
- Equity at exit
- $32,423
Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55043
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,524 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,967
- Tax from tax record
- −$227 /mo · $2,726/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$740
- Net cashflow
- $378
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $591 | -5% $484 | +0% $378 | +5% $272 | +10% $166 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $100 | -5% $239 | +0% $378 | +5% $518 | +10% $657 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $567 | -0.5pp $474 | base $378 | +0.5pp $281 | +1.0pp $182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,750
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-20historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2026-04-17$375,000 Active
-
2026-04-13historical $375,000
-
2017-05-31soldstatus $249,000 Sold 428-char remark
Show marketing remark (428 chars)
TILE, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, LARGE ISLAND WITH OPEN CONCEPT FEATURING DINING ROOM & LIVING ROOM. MASTER SUITE,MASTER BATH TILE, VANITY. BEAUTIFUL NEW WOOD FLOORING, CARPET, WHITE MILLWORK, DECK, MECHANICALS, ELECTRICAL, ROOF & PLUMBING. WALKOUT KITCHEN, LARGE YARD, GREAT FOR GATHERINGS, SHORT WALK TO THE ST.CROIX RIVER. CONVENIENT LOCATION TO STILLWATER AND THE RIVER LIFESTYLE. *HIGHLY RATED STILLWATER SCHOOL DISTRICT*
-
2017-04-24status Pending 428-char remark
Show marketing remark (428 chars)
TILE, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, LARGE ISLAND WITH OPEN CONCEPT FEATURING DINING ROOM & LIVING ROOM. MASTER SUITE,MASTER BATH TILE, VANITY. BEAUTIFUL NEW WOOD FLOORING, CARPET, WHITE MILLWORK, DECK, MECHANICALS, ELECTRICAL, ROOF & PLUMBING. WALKOUT KITCHEN, LARGE YARD, GREAT FOR GATHERINGS, SHORT WALK TO THE ST.CROIX RIVER. CONVENIENT LOCATION TO STILLWATER AND THE RIVER LIFESTYLE. *HIGHLY RATED STILLWATER SCHOOL DISTRICT*
-
2017-04-19$249,900 Active 428-char remark
Show marketing remark (428 chars)
TILE, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, LARGE ISLAND WITH OPEN CONCEPT FEATURING DINING ROOM & LIVING ROOM. MASTER SUITE,MASTER BATH TILE, VANITY. BEAUTIFUL NEW WOOD FLOORING, CARPET, WHITE MILLWORK, DECK, MECHANICALS, ELECTRICAL, ROOF & PLUMBING. WALKOUT KITCHEN, LARGE YARD, GREAT FOR GATHERINGS, SHORT WALK TO THE ST.CROIX RIVER. CONVENIENT LOCATION TO STILLWATER AND THE RIVER LIFESTYLE. *HIGHLY RATED STILLWATER SCHOOL DISTRICT*
-
2016-12-30soldstatus $134,500
-
2016-12-29soldstatus $134,500 Sold 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
This split level home in Lakeland is waiting for you! The upper level has a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Walkout to the back deck from the dining room! The lower level has a den and access to the tuckunder garage! Don't miss out on this one!
-
2016-12-13status Pending 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
This split level home in Lakeland is waiting for you! The upper level has a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Walkout to the back deck from the dining room! The lower level has a den and access to the tuckunder garage! Don't miss out on this one!
-
2016-12-02historical Contingent - Other 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
This split level home in Lakeland is waiting for you! The upper level has a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Walkout to the back deck from the dining room! The lower level has a den and access to the tuckunder garage! Don't miss out on this one!
-
2016-11-09status Active 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
This split level home in Lakeland is waiting for you! The upper level has a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Walkout to the back deck from the dining room! The lower level has a den and access to the tuckunder garage! Don't miss out on this one!
-
2016-09-09historical Contingent - Other 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
This split level home in Lakeland is waiting for you! The upper level has a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Walkout to the back deck from the dining room! The lower level has a den and access to the tuckunder garage! Don't miss out on this one!
-
2016-08-31price $147,420 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
This split level home in Lakeland is waiting for you! The upper level has a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Walkout to the back deck from the dining room! The lower level has a den and access to the tuckunder garage! Don't miss out on this one!
-
2016-08-05price $163,800 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
This split level home in Lakeland is waiting for you! The upper level has a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Walkout to the back deck from the dining room! The lower level has a den and access to the tuckunder garage! Don't miss out on this one!
-
2016-07-09$182,000 Active 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
This split level home in Lakeland is waiting for you! The upper level has a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Walkout to the back deck from the dining room! The lower level has a den and access to the tuckunder garage! Don't miss out on this one!
-
2005-06-27soldstatus $226,495
-
2005-06-23soldstatus $233,500
-
2005-06-22historical
-
2004-11-14$229,900
-
2004-09-09soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,726 · $227/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,463 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- +$737/yr (+$61/mo · 27.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,286
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,006
- − Property taxes
- −$2,726
- − Insurance
- −$2,542
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,383
- − Management
- −$3,383
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable loss
- −$1,662
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$399
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,939/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stillwater Area Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2738190
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,438
- Composite
- 49.8/100
- National rank
- #1954
- State rank
- #54 of 301 in MN
Livability — Lakeland
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #295
- US rank
- #6454
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakeland, MN
- City population
- 3,471
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,471
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 278,554 people
- By 2030
- 290,465 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 310,014 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 324,118 · +16.4%
- By 2075
- 362,697 · +30.2%
- By 2100
- 381,491 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 13% Lithuanian 6% Romanian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.9) · D 53.5% · R 44.6% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: 8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.9 2020: D+9.2 2016: D+1.9 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -159.52%
- Current HPI
- 260.4948
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
+275.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Listed $375,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Coming Soon $375,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-31 Sold (MLS) $249,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-24 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-19 Listed $249,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $134,500 Public Records
- 2016-12-29 Sold (MLS) $134,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-13 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-02 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-09 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-09 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-31 Price Changed $147,420 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-05 Price Changed $163,800 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-09 Listed $182,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $226,495 Public Records
- 2005-06-23 Sold (MLS) $233,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-22 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-11-14 Listed $229,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,726 · -11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…