CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1193 E 15 Mile Rd
F Composite 34.91
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.1/30.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.1/10.0

$185,000

1193 E 15 Mile Rd · Bruce, MI 49724
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,920 sqft · Manufactured public records · 6 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 1989 3.24 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready house with easy access to the Sault, Kinross or Pickford. Three bedroom, one bath, 2.5 car attached garage with updates plus 3 acres. Only 5 miles from Barbeau boat launch. Must see!!! Call for appointment.

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • 3 sprawling acres
  • 3.24 acre lot

Tags

ATTACHED GARAGE3 SPRAWLING ACRESPEACEFUL RURAL ESCAPE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electric service on property
  • Home design: Manufactured home; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Few trees; Asphalt roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Range hood
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer (main level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-349 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (33.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (48.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (48.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Sault Ste. Marie Area Schools (town): math 35% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #230 of 540 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sault Area Middle School (math 35% / reading 46%, grade F, #202 of 493 statewide, top 42%, 533 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Chippewa County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chippewa County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $185k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,044 (48.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.51%
Cap rate
4.03%
Cash-on-cash
-8.08%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
16.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$78,441
Equity at exit
$166,663
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
5.79×
Total profit
$248,280
Equity at exit
$359,414

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49724

Home prices YoY
14.1%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
16.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $630/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$-349

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,392
Max offer price $123,373
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-244 -5% $-296 +0% $-349 +5% $-401 +10% $-454
Rent -10% $-424 -5% $-386 +0% $-349 +5% $-311 +10% $-274
Rate -1.0pp $-256 -0.5pp $-302 base $-349 +0.5pp $-397 +1.0pp $-446

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $185,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $185,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $185,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-17
    listed $185,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$630 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,739 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$1,110/yr (+$92/mo · 176.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,405
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$630
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$912
− Management
−$912
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$7,719
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,853
After-tax cash flow
$-2,334/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sault Ste. Marie Area Schools
NCES district ID
2630990
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$40,273
Composite
33.12/100
National rank
#5559
State rank
#230 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bruce

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,172

Population outlook (Chippewa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,043 people
By 2030
36,431 · -1.7%
By 2040
34,911 · -5.8%
By 2050
33,350 · -10.0%
By 2075
29,789 · -19.6%
By 2100
24,171 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 6% Asian 6% Native American 6% Hispanic / Latino 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Iranian 6% Romanian 5%
Foreign-born
4% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Chippewa

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.0% · R 61.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-23.8pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.2 2020: R+22.9 2016: R+24.2 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 25.80%
Current HPI
208.6557
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+107.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $185,000 EUPBR
  • 2017-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2017-09-27 Sold (MLS) EUPBR
  • 2017-07-18 Listed $89,000 EUPBR

Property tax history

-3.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $630 · -9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…