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2506 Arlington Ave
D Composite 42.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$8,500

2506 Arlington Ave · Flint, MI 48506
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 736 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 231 Days on market
Built 1920 4,356 sqft lot ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 231 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: BICKFORD PARK; Directions reference: Delaware Ave / Arlington Ave / Roseland St

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Wood siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot about 0.1 acre (approx. 41 x 105.12)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 room total
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($772 rent vs $8k).
  • Recommended offer: $7k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 84.1% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $59 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $255 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $1k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $7,480 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
9.08%
Cap rate
84.08%
Cash-on-cash
277.79%
DSCR
13.36
GRM
0.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$33,120
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2426 Maryland Ave 0.22mi 2/1.0 (+1) 712 (-3%) 2mo $36,000 $51 77
2510 Bennett Ave 0.33mi 2/1.0 (+1) 700 (-5%) 5mo $8,500 $12 67
3016 Oklahoma Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 (+1) 746 (+1%) 1mo $54,400 $73 63
2719 Branch Rd 0.63mi 2/1.0 (+1) 720 (-2%) 2mo $19,000 $26 60
2613 Pennsylvania Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 (+1) 745 (+1%) 3mo $16,000 $21 58
2918 Montana Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 (+1) 740 (+0%) 9mo $53,500 $72 57
2116 Branch Rd 0.74mi 2/1.0 (+1) 735 (-0%) 8mo $30,000 $41 54
2609 Pennsylvania Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 (+1) 745 (+1%) 8mo $28,000 $38 54
2908 Douglas Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (+1) 823 (+12%) 2mo $68,900 $84 50
2422 Missouri Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (+1) 773 (+5%) 10mo $31,000 $40 44
1734 Missouri Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 (+1) 660 (-10%) 4mo $30,000 $45 41
1644 Pennsylvania Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 (+1) 839 (+14%) 6mo $43,000 $51 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.17×
Total profit
$33,725
Equity at exit
$1,267
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
32.34×
Total profit
$74,599
Equity at exit
$735

Cash invested: $2,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48506

Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
0.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$772 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$45
Tax est. 1.5%
$11 /mo · $128/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$162
Net cashflow
$551

Break-even live

Break-even rent $74
Max offer price $8,500
Occupancy floor 24%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,125
Closing costs
$255
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2621 Churchill Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 736 $795 $1.08 13d 1 0.47mi
3202 Western Rd Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 500 $645 $1.29 13d 1 0.53mi
1553 Illinois Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 702 $900 $1.28 21d 1 0.63mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $8,500 Active 231 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $8,500 Active 230 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $8,500 Active 229 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $8,500 Active 228 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $8,500 Active 226 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $8,500 Active 225 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $8,500 Active 223 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $8,500 Active 222 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $8,500 Active 221 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $8,500 Active 220 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $8,500 Active 217 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $8,500 Active 216 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $8,500 Active 215 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $8,500 Active 214 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $8,500 Active 213 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $8,500 Active 212 DOM
  17. 2025-12-16
    price $8,500 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  18. 2025-12-15
    price $8,500
  19. 2025-10-30
    listed $9,900 Active 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  20. 2025-10-30
    listed $9,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,261
− Mortgage interest
−$476
− Property taxes
−$128
− Insurance
−$42
− Repairs & maintenance
−$741
− Management
−$741
− Depreciation
−$247
Taxable income
$6,886
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,653
After-tax cash flow
$4,959/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,712
Household income
$47,929
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.31%
Current HPI
90.0494
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $8,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-12.7%/yr

Latest (2021): $567 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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