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149-153 Hudson St
D Composite 40.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0

$299,000

149-153 Hudson St · Johnson City, NY 13790
8 bd · 5.0 ba · 2,352 sqft · Condo · 10 Days on market
Built 1950

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Offered for sale is this well-positioned 5-unit apartment building located at 149–153 Hudson Street in Johnson City. The building is currently occupied by five paying tenants. The property has benefited from numerous recent improvements, helping reduce near-term capital expenditure requirements. A newer roof provides additional peace of mind, while separately metered units with electric baseboard heat help minimize landlord utility expenses and simplify day-to-day management. Located within Johnson City's rapidly expanding medical and educational corridor, the property is positioned just minutes from Binghamton University and United Health Services. Continued investment in healthcare,

Key facts

  • Strong rental demand
  • Newer roof
  • Built 1950

Tags

5 UNIT APARTMENT BUILDINGVALUE ADD OPPORTUNITYNEWER ROOFSEPARATELY METERED UNITSELECTRIC BASEBOARD HEATSTRONG RENTAL DEMAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned Urban Multi-Family
  • Financial info: Multi-unit income property with multiple apartments and reported rents per unit type

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Residential income property (apartment building); Above-grade finished area reported
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Stucco exterior
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance list provided
  • Bedrooms: Apartment mix includes units with 1 and 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: Total of 5 full bathrooms (building)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8-bed/5.0-bath condo listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-526 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (25.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (34.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (34.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 6.2% in Johnson City — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#238 in NY, #3,739 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Johnson City Central School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Johnson City Elementary/Primary School (496 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.5%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $195,001 (34.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
4.18%
Cash-on-cash
-7.54%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
12.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$139,689
Equity at exit
$269,363
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
6.53×
Total profit
$463,285
Equity at exit
$580,891

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13790

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Rents YoY
9.5%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
12.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax est. 1.5%
$374 /mo · $4,485/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$-526

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,616
Max offer price $222,914
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
electric
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $299,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    remarks 693-char remark
  9. 2026-06-10
    listed $299,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,400
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$4,485
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,872
− Management
−$1,872
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable loss
−$11,771
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,825
After-tax cash flow
$-3,485/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Johnson City Central School District
NCES district ID
3615900
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$40,514
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5545
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Johnson City

Score
76/100
State rank
#238
US rank
#3739

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnson City, NY
County
Broome County · 126,805 people
City population
18,739
Metro
Binghamton, NY
Population (ZIP)
18,739
Household income
$59,045
Rent vs Own
44.8% rent · 55.2% own
Severe rent burden
1233.0

Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,989 people
By 2030
183,066 · -2.6%
By 2040
172,228 · -8.4%
By 2050
163,161 · -13.2%
By 2075
153,641 · -18.3%
By 2100
140,851 · -25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Broome

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.06%
Current HPI
285.3668
Rent YoY
▲ 9.47%
Metro
Binghamton, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $299,000 GBAOR
  • 2019-03-18 Listed $120,000 GBAOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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