1628 Longwood Dr · Mayfield Heights, OH
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfect Starter Home Eat-in Kitchen Great Floor Plan - Expansion Up
Key facts
- Large family room
- Modern updates
- 7,501 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Garage (1-car)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Block foundation; Home warranty included
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Private yard; Shed(s); Full wood fencing; Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 150
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Granite counters
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Granite counters; Basement (finished space below grade)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-98 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (6.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (13.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $215k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.2% in Mayfield Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#107 in OH, #1,609 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, commute F.
- Mayfield City (suburban): math 56% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #225 of 656 in OH (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $250k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.68%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $292,698
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1662 Hawthorne Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,464 (+1%) | 2mo | $312,000 | $213 | 85 |
| 1722 Hawthorne Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 1,404 (-3%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $221 | 84 |
| 1639 Edgefield Rd | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 | 1,510 (+4%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $202 | 69 |
| 1872 Bremerton Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,436 (-1%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $237 | 66 |
| 1390 Brainard Rd | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,434 (-1%) | 3mo | $343,500 | $240 | 64 |
| 1409 Ford Rd | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,476 (+2%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $169 | 63 |
| 1544 Edgefield Rd | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 1,583 (+9%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $155 | 62 |
| 5404 Beacon Rd | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,350 (-7%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $181 | 56 |
| 1339 Haverston Rd | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,528 (+6%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $187 | 52 |
| 5839 Alberta Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,317 (-9%) | 0mo | $295,000 | $224 | 52 |
| 1284 Brainard Rd | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 | 1,331 (-8%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $192 | 50 |
| 1412 Belrose Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,640 (+13%) | 2mo | $297,500 | $181 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-43,478
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-32,109
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44124
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,152 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$383 /mo · $4,593/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $-98
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $44 | -5% $-27 | +0% $-98 | +5% $-169 | +10% $-239 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-268 | -5% $-183 | +0% $-98 | +5% $-13 | +10% $72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $28 | -0.5pp $-34 | base $-98 | +0.5pp $-163 | +1.0pp $-228 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1620 Brainard Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1501 | $2,275 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1547 Commodore Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,795 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1735 Chelmsford Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1207 Churchill Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,895 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1270 Roland Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $2,450 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1200 Commonwealth Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $1,999 | $1.79 | 5d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 6503 Marsol Rd Mayfield Heights, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $1,450 | $1.42 | 2d | 3 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-02status $250,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,593 · $383/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,593 · $383/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,825
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$4,593
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,066
- − Management
- −$2,066
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$5,426
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,302
- After-tax cash flow
- $129/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mayfield City
- NCES district ID
- 3904437
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,965
- Composite
- 54.68/100
- National rank
- #1328
- State rank
- #225 of 656 in OH
Livability — Mayfield Heights
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #1609
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mayfield Heights, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 39,779
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,779
- Household income
- $82,392
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1286.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.96%
- Current HPI
- 164.108
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.45%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+339.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $250,000 MLSNOW
- 2000-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2000-01-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1999-10-04 Listed $114,900 MLSNOW
- 1996-05-28 Sold (MLS) $92,000 MLSNOW
- 1996-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 1996-04-01 Listed $95,900 MLSNOW
- 1984-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $56,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,593 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…