1674 Cemetary Rd · Melrose Park, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Skaneateles schools 3 bedroom ranch situated on 2 acres. This is a great opportunity to enjoy country living in an award winning school district, surrounded by rolling fields, but within 15 minutes of the village of Skaneateles and minutes from the lovely Hamlet of Owasco. This sunny ranch offers a very functional one floor living plan featuring; large country kitchen and dining room combination, bright living room, three bedrooms - including a primary suite and full hall bath; and convenient first floor laundry. A full basement provides valuable dry storage space. The sprawling lot presents possibilities for a garage or other "out" buildings, as well.
Key facts
- First floor laundry
- Full basement
- Sprawling lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking (no garage)
- Utilities: Electricity connected; High-speed internet available; Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing/resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Foam insulation; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Agricultural, rectangular lot (198 x 425); Approximately 1.96 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varied flooring types
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Country-style kitchen; Combined living/dining room; Solid surface countertops; Main-level primary bedroom; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $239k).
- Recommended offer: $235k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 1.6% in Melrose Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#512 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Skaneateles Central School District (town): math 78% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #65 of 590 in NY (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.13%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-16,940
- Equity at exit
- $35,636
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $13,379
- Equity at exit
- $20,664
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13152
- Home prices YoY
- -16.5%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax from tax record
- −$280 /mo · $3,365/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $342
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $477 | -5% $409 | +0% $342 | +5% $274 | +10% $206 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $144 | -5% $243 | +0% $342 | +5% $440 | +10% $539 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $462 | -0.5pp $402 | base $342 | +0.5pp $280 | +1.0pp $217 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5132 State Route 38A Auburn, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $2,500 | $2.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $239,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $239,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 660-char remark
-
2026-06-07$239,000 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,365 · $280/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,702 · $308/mo
- Expected delta
- +$337/yr (+$28/mo · 10.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$3,365
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable income
- $300
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$72
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,028/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Skaneateles Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626940
- Math proficiency
- 78% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,561
- Composite
- 68.61/100
- National rank
- #340
- State rank
- #65 of 590 in NY
Livability — Melrose Park
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #512
- US rank
- #9116
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,548
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% German/W. Germanic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.82%
- Current HPI
- 424.2545
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $239,000 CNYIS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,365 · -16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…