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151 Patricia Ave
C Composite 58.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,999

151 Patricia Ave · Elkins, WV 26241
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1900 0.84 ac lot $49/sqft · 58% below area ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Situated on two lots totaling 0.84 acres, this unique property is tucked into a private, wooded setting just behind Davis & Elkins College, this one of a kind property blends history, character, and opportunity. Originally built in 1900 as a barn, the home has been thoughtfully converted the past 5 years into a unique residence filled with rustic charm, featuring several different wood accents throughout the home. Although an extensive amount of work has been done to the inside & out, the home will need some more TLC to complete the projects. This Spacious 4 bedroom 2 bath home has an additional bonus room (does not have a closet). The main level features a spacious kitchen that flows directly into a dedicated dining area creating a connected layout ideal for everyday living and gathering space. Beautiful white pine wood throughout the home with an accented staircase leading to the upper level. Along the back of the first floor, is a wrap around deck extending across the rear and both sides of the home. The upper level offers a separate exterior entrance with its own stair access, creating excellent potential for a private living area with its own kitchenette and bathroom. Upstairs you will find a spacious upper level living area, full bathroom, & 4 additional rooms, Flooring includes a combination of original hardwood and updated flooring. Outside the property continues to offer flexibility with a covered carport with attached storage buildings. The yard offers a large space for outdoor adventures, featuring a fire pit area, gardens, wooded sitting area, & much more. Refrigerator & Stove do convey with the home. Windows in the home were installed recently & 1/2 of the roof was replaced with a metal roof. There is a lot of custom work that was done to this home, looking for a new buyer to complete & make it their own.

Key facts

  • Two lots
  • Multiple bonus rooms
  • Spacious kitchen

Tags

TWO LOTSPRIVATE WOODED SETTINGCONVERTED BARNMULTIPLE BONUS ROOMSSPACIOUS KITCHENDEDICATED DINING AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.7% in Elkins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#34 in WV, #4,824 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Randolph County Schools (town): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #33 of 55 in WV (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randolph County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,999 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
9.25%
Cash-on-cash
10.58%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$200,329
List price
$99,999
Delta
-50.08%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7 Kerens 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,805 (-11%) 21mo $264,900 $147 46
110 Guy St 0.60mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,908 (-6%) 20mo $153,750 $81 39
501 Yokum 0.62mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,732 (-14%) 13mo $160,000 $92 29
304 Grant 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,300 (+14%) 14mo $255,000 $111 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-4,032
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
5.8%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$12,138
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26241

Home prices YoY
-32.8%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,065 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $339/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$191

Break-even live

Break-even rent $823
Max offer price $99,999
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,999 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $99,999 Active 60 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,999 Active 59 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,999 Active 58 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,999 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,999 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,999 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,999 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,999 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,999 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,999 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,999 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,999 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,999 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,999 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,999 Active 43 DOM
  17. 2026-05-03
    price $139,999 1890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1890 chars)

    Situated on two lots totaling 0.84 acres, this unique property is tucked into a private, wooded setting just behind Davis & Elkins College, this one of a kind property blends history, character, and opportunity. Originally built in 1900 as a barn, the home has been thoughtfully converted the past 5 years into a unique residence filled with rustic charm, featuring several different wood accents throughout the home. Although an extensive amount of work has been done to the inside & out, the home will need some more TLC to complete the projects. This Spacious 4 bedroom 2 bath home has an additional bonus room (does not have a closet). The main level features a spacious kitchen that flows directly into a dedicated dining area creating a connected layout ideal for everyday living and gathering space. Beautiful white pine wood throughout the home with an accented staircase leading to the upper level. Along the back of the first floor, is a wrap around deck extending across the rear and both sides of the home. The upper level offers a separate exterior entrance with its own stair access, creating excellent potential for a private living area with its own kitchenette and bathroom. Upstairs you will find a spacious upper level living area, full bathroom, & 4 additional rooms, Flooring includes a combination of original hardwood and updated flooring. Outside the property continues to offer flexibility with a covered carport with attached storage buildings. The yard offers a large space for outdoor adventures, featuring a fire pit area, gardens, wooded sitting area, & much more. Refrigerator & Stove do convey with the home. Windows in the home were installed recently & 1/2 of the roof was replaced with a metal roof. There is a lot of custom work that was done to this home, looking for a new buyer to complete & make it their own.

  18. 2026-04-18
    listed $175,000 Active 1890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1890 chars)

    Situated on two lots totaling 0.84 acres, this unique property is tucked into a private, wooded setting just behind Davis & Elkins College, this one of a kind property blends history, character, and opportunity. Originally built in 1900 as a barn, the home has been thoughtfully converted the past 5 years into a unique residence filled with rustic charm, featuring several different wood accents throughout the home. Although an extensive amount of work has been done to the inside & out, the home will need some more TLC to complete the projects. This Spacious 4 bedroom 2 bath home has an additional bonus room (does not have a closet). The main level features a spacious kitchen that flows directly into a dedicated dining area creating a connected layout ideal for everyday living and gathering space. Beautiful white pine wood throughout the home with an accented staircase leading to the upper level. Along the back of the first floor, is a wrap around deck extending across the rear and both sides of the home. The upper level offers a separate exterior entrance with its own stair access, creating excellent potential for a private living area with its own kitchenette and bathroom. Upstairs you will find a spacious upper level living area, full bathroom, & 4 additional rooms, Flooring includes a combination of original hardwood and updated flooring. Outside the property continues to offer flexibility with a covered carport with attached storage buildings. The yard offers a large space for outdoor adventures, featuring a fire pit area, gardens, wooded sitting area, & much more. Refrigerator & Stove do convey with the home. Windows in the home were installed recently & 1/2 of the roof was replaced with a metal roof. There is a lot of custom work that was done to this home, looking for a new buyer to complete & make it their own.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$339 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$590 · $49/mo
Expected delta
+$251/yr (+$21/mo · 74.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,777
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$339
− Insurance
−$1,166
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,022
− Management
−$1,022
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$716
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$172
After-tax cash flow
$2,123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Randolph County Schools
NCES district ID
5401260
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$37,907
Composite
24.6/100
National rank
#7633
State rank
#33 of 55 in WV

Livability — Elkins

Score
74/100
State rank
#34
US rank
#4824

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elkins, WV
Population (ZIP)
14,221

Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,286 people
By 2030
27,558 · -2.6%
By 2040
25,970 · -8.2%
By 2050
24,529 · -13.3%
By 2075
21,645 · -23.5%
By 2100
17,349 · -38.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Randolph

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.1) · D 25.9% · R 72.1% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-32.1pp toward R · 2008: -14.0pp · 2024: -46.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.1 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+44.9 2012: R+29.1 2008: R+14.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.60%
Current HPI
144.7471
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-20.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $139,999 NCWVREIN
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $175,000 NCWVREIN

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $339 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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