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18461 Heyden St
B- Composite 66.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.6/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$68,000

18461 Heyden St · Detroit, MI 48219
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 689 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 164 Days on market
Built 1937 6,098 sqft lot $99/sqft · 24% above area Est $64k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent Investor Special 2/1 in Bentler-Pickford. Property was updated in 2020 including plumbing and electrical, updated kitchen & bath, painting, baseboards.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1937

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Emerson Elementarymiddle School (519 students, 90% FRL); Henry Ford High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 712 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools at 88% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 309 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $59,840 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
12.65%
Cash-on-cash
22.72%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$63,909
List price
$68,000
Delta
6.40%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17743 Trinity St 0.50mi 2/1.0 662 (-4%) 3mo $85,000 $128 68
18691 Shaftsbury Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 692 (+0%) 13mo $46,000 $66 64
18723 Warwick St 0.59mi 2/1.0 700 (+2%) 8mo $54,500 $78 63
17370 Stout St 0.49mi 2/1.0 745 (+8%) 2mo $37,000 $50 62
19352 Evergreen Rd 0.51mi 2/1.0 752 (+9%) 2mo $75,000 $100 60
19401 Stout St 0.56mi 2/1.0 750 (+9%) 2mo $28,000 $37 57
18411 Grandville Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 748 (+9%) 14mo $60,000 $80 54
18291 Warwick St 0.57mi 2/1.0 723 (+5%) 17mo $108,000 $149 51
18538 Trinity St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 780 (+13%) 2mo $46,500 $60 51
18659 Shaftsbury Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 763 (+11%) 10mo $70,000 $92 45
19350 Westbrook St 0.75mi 2/1.0 648 (-6%) 14mo $84,000 $130 43
18914 Annchester Rd 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 786 (+14%) 16mo $50,000 $64 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$17,541
Equity at exit
$10,139
10-year hold
IRR
32.5%
Equity multiple
4.69×
Total profit
$70,312
Equity at exit
$5,879

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
309
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,056 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,064/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $600
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $399 -5% $380 +0% $361 +5% $341 +10% $322
Rent -10% $277 -5% $319 +0% $361 +5% $402 +10% $444
Rate -1.0pp $395 -0.5pp $378 base $361 +0.5pp $343 +1.0pp $325

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 18d 1 0.16mi
18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 728 $1,250 $1.72 26d 1 0.69mi
19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 733 $1,025 $1.40 0d 1 0.73mi
17270 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 45d 1 0.79mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $838 $1.20 26d 2 0.80mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 45d 2 0.80mi
17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 18d 1 0.80mi
18400 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 620 $950 $1.53 26d 1 0.86mi
18350 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 45d 1 0.86mi
18450 Lahser Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $820 $1.26 7d 1 0.86mi
17644 Lahser Rd Unit 7 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $995 $1.66 26d 1 0.91mi
18045 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 670 $960 $1.43 7d 2 0.94mi
16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 17d 1 1.09mi
16854 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 680 $885 $1.30 14d 1 1.14mi
16885 Lahser Rd Unit 1A Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 7d 1 1.14mi
16885 Lahser Rd Apt 3A Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $750 $1.07 45d 1 1.14mi
16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 45d 1 1.24mi
20068 Faust Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 26d 1 1.33mi
18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,175 $1.62 45d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-02-27
    status Active 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Excellent Investor Special 2/1 in Bentler-Pickford. Property was updated in 2020 including plumbing and electrical, updated kitchen & bath, painting, baseboards.

  2. 2026-02-27
    status Active 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Excellent Investor Special 2/1 in Bentler-Pickford. Property was updated in 2020 including plumbing and electrical, updated kitchen & bath, painting, baseboards.

  3. 2026-01-15
    status Pending 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Excellent Investor Special 2/1 in Bentler-Pickford. Property was updated in 2020 including plumbing and electrical, updated kitchen & bath, painting, baseboards.

  4. 2026-01-15
    status Pending 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Excellent Investor Special 2/1 in Bentler-Pickford. Property was updated in 2020 including plumbing and electrical, updated kitchen & bath, painting, baseboards.

  5. 2025-10-29
    listed $68,000 Active 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Excellent Investor Special 2/1 in Bentler-Pickford. Property was updated in 2020 including plumbing and electrical, updated kitchen & bath, painting, baseboards.

  6. 2025-10-29
    listed $68,000 Active 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Excellent Investor Special 2/1 in Bentler-Pickford. Property was updated in 2020 including plumbing and electrical, updated kitchen & bath, painting, baseboards.

  7. 2023-11-23
    historical $1,000
  8. 2023-10-20
    listed $1,000
  9. 2018-09-26
    historical
  10. 2018-09-25
    status Pending
  11. 2018-09-25
    status Pending
  12. 2018-09-25
    historical
  13. 2018-04-03
    price $10,000
  14. 2018-04-02
    price $10,000
  15. 2017-11-22
    listed $13,000 Active
  16. 2017-11-22
    listed $13,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,064 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,064 · $89/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,670
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$1,064
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,014
− Management
−$1,014
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$3,452
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$828
After-tax cash flow
$3,498/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+423.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-27 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-29 Listed $68,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-29 Listed $68,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-11-23 Rental Removed $1,000 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-10-20 Listed for Rent $1,000 BUILDIUM
  • 2018-09-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-09-25 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-09-25 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2018-09-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-04-03 Price Changed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-04-02 Price Changed $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-11-22 Listed $13,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-11-22 Listed $13,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,064 · -37.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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