207 Chambers St · Big Flats, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- Appreciation +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$104,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming ranch home located in Beaver Dams offering comfortable one-level living and a flexible layout. The home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, plenty of natural light, and a cozy wood stove that adds warmth and character. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space and flows nicely into the dining area. A convenient first-floor laundry room adds to the home’s everyday functionality. The home currently offers one bedroom, along with an additional finished space that could easily serve as a second bedroom, family room, office, or bonus living area, allowing buyers flexibility to suit their needs. While the home is functional and move-in ready, some cosmetic updates could further enhance the space, offering a great opportunity for buyers to add their own style and value. Outside, the property includes a detached garage and a generous yard, providing room for outdoor activities, storage, or future improvements. With its versatile layout and quiet Beaver Dams location, this home presents a great opportunity for homeowners, investors, or those looking for a property they can update over
Key facts
- Finished space
- Generous yard
- Flexible layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $104k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-277/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $100k (3.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $104k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.9% in Big Flats — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#464 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Corning City School District (town): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #406 of 590 in NY (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: William E Severn Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 373 students, 55% FRL); Corning-Painted Post Middle School (math 22% / reading 48%, grade F, #480 of 729 statewide, top 66%, 962 students, 46% FRL); Corning-Painted Post High School (math 93% / reading 98%, grade A+, #82 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 1,463 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($722 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.0% local appreciation)).
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $87k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.95%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $141,869
- List price
- $104,500
- Delta
- -26.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Catlin Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,019 (-9%) | 8mo | $151,300 | $148 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $35,480
- Equity at exit
- $72,775
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.57×
- Total profit
- $104,445
- Equity at exit
- $138,566
Cash invested: $29,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14812
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,104 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$548
- Tax from tax record
- −$304 /mo · $3,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $-23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $36 | -5% $6 | +0% $-23 | +5% $-53 | +10% $-82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-110 | -5% $-67 | +0% $-23 | +5% $21 | +10% $64 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $30 | -0.5pp $3 | base $-23 | +0.5pp $-50 | +1.0pp $-78 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,125
- Closing costs
- $3,135
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $104,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $104,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $104,500 1153-char remark
Show marketing remark (1153 chars)
Welcome to this charming ranch home located in Beaver Dams offering comfortable one-level living and a flexible layout. The home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, plenty of natural light, and a cozy wood stove that adds warmth and character. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space and flows nicely into the dining area. A convenient first-floor laundry room adds to the home’s everyday functionality. The home currently offers one bedroom, along with an additional finished space that could easily serve as a second bedroom, family room, office, or bonus living area, allowing buyers flexibility to suit their needs. While the home is functional and move-in ready, some cosmetic updates could further enhance the space, offering a great opportunity for buyers to add their own style and value. Outside, the property includes a detached garage and a generous yard, providing room for outdoor activities, storage, or future improvements. With its versatile layout and quiet Beaver Dams location, this home presents a great opportunity for homeowners, investors, or those looking for a property they can update over
-
2026-04-03price $110,000 1153-char remark
Show marketing remark (1153 chars)
Welcome to this charming ranch home located in Beaver Dams offering comfortable one-level living and a flexible layout. The home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, plenty of natural light, and a cozy wood stove that adds warmth and character. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space and flows nicely into the dining area. A convenient first-floor laundry room adds to the home’s everyday functionality. The home currently offers one bedroom, along with an additional finished space that could easily serve as a second bedroom, family room, office, or bonus living area, allowing buyers flexibility to suit their needs. While the home is functional and move-in ready, some cosmetic updates could further enhance the space, offering a great opportunity for buyers to add their own style and value. Outside, the property includes a detached garage and a generous yard, providing room for outdoor activities, storage, or future improvements. With its versatile layout and quiet Beaver Dams location, this home presents a great opportunity for homeowners, investors, or those looking for a property they can update over
-
2026-03-06$114,900 Active 1153-char remark
Show marketing remark (1153 chars)
Welcome to this charming ranch home located in Beaver Dams offering comfortable one-level living and a flexible layout. The home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, plenty of natural light, and a cozy wood stove that adds warmth and character. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space and flows nicely into the dining area. A convenient first-floor laundry room adds to the home’s everyday functionality. The home currently offers one bedroom, along with an additional finished space that could easily serve as a second bedroom, family room, office, or bonus living area, allowing buyers flexibility to suit their needs. While the home is functional and move-in ready, some cosmetic updates could further enhance the space, offering a great opportunity for buyers to add their own style and value. Outside, the property includes a detached garage and a generous yard, providing room for outdoor activities, storage, or future improvements. With its versatile layout and quiet Beaver Dams location, this home presents a great opportunity for homeowners, investors, or those looking for a property they can update over
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2020-08-04soldstatus $87,300
-
2020-07-28soldstatus $87,300 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
Welcome Home, functional 2 bedroom home with a very large 16x24 bedroom with many possibilities. Includes master suite, fenced in back yard, Close to Corning, Seneca Lake and many other area attractions.
-
2020-04-09$89,900 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
Welcome Home, functional 2 bedroom home with a very large 16x24 bedroom with many possibilities. Includes master suite, fenced in back yard, Close to Corning, Seneca Lake and many other area attractions.
-
2007-07-17soldstatus $56,000
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2007-07-16soldstatus $56,000
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2006-07-06$56,000
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2005-07-25soldstatus $50,000
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2005-07-22soldstatus $50,000
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2004-06-24$53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,648 · $304/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,648 · $304/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,854
- − Property taxes
- −$3,648
- − Insurance
- −$522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,060
- − Management
- −$1,060
- − Depreciation
- −$3,040
- Taxable loss
- −$1,932
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$464
- After-tax cash flow
- $186/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corning City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3608400
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,042
- Composite
- 41.8/100
- National rank
- #3392
- State rank
- #406 of 590 in NY
Livability — Big Flats
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #464
- US rank
- #8086
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,961
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.05%
- Current HPI
- 276.1726
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+97.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $104,500 UNYREIS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $110,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $114,900 UNYREIS
- 2020-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $87,300 Public Records
- 2020-07-28 Sold (MLS) $87,300 UNYREIS
- 2020-04-09 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
- 2007-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2007-07-16 Sold (MLS) $56,000 UNYREIS
- 2006-07-06 Listed $56,000 UNYREIS
- 2005-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-22 Sold (MLS) $50,000 UNYREIS
- 2004-06-24 Listed $53,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,648 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…