CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
9000 N Palafox St #25 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 56.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.0

$39,000

9000 N Palafox St #25 · Ensley, FL 32534
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 900 sqft · Manufactured · 17 Days on market
Manufactured home 55+ age-restricted Built 2018 Good condition 4,356 sqft lot $43/sqft · 62% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Very well kept 2018 14x66 3/2 singlewide mobile home. It sits in Palafox Mobile Estates so you can keep it there or move it. But if you keep it there you will have to pay lot rent $500 per month and also be 55+ years of age and get approved with the management office before purchase. Sometimes they are willing to let seniors ages 50 and up get approved if they have good enough credit. Price is $39,900 AS-IS but if you want new LVP flooring owner is willing to have it installed before closing and up the price to $45,000. This is one you can move right into and don't have to do anything. All appliances stay and are newer!

Key facts

  • New lvp flooring
  • Quiet community
  • 4,356 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW LVP FLOORINGQUIET COMMUNITY20 MINUTES TO PENSACOLA BEACH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $39,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$101,597) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $39k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $649 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.3% vs local median 5.1% in Ensley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#133 in FL, #1,996 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ensley Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,037 of 2,144 statewide, top 96%, 465 students, 67% FRL); Pine Forest High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 1,870 students, 62% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Escambia average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $38,415 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.98%
Cap rate
26.25%
Cash-on-cash
71.29%
DSCR
4.17
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,597
List price
$39,000
Delta
-61.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
134 Detroit Blvd 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 896 (-0%) 4mo $40,000 $45 60
524 Mapleleaf Cir 0.81mi 2/2.0 (-1) 882 (-2%) 13mo $47,000 $53 46
9603 Mapleleaf Ln 0.86mi 2/2.0 (-1) 924 (+3%) 15mo $77,500 $84 43
462 Mapleleaf Cir 0.84mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-7%) 13mo $26,000 $31 34
681 Lengo St 1.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 728 (-19%) 10mo $115,000 $158 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
71.6%
Equity multiple
4.27×
Total profit
$35,756
Equity at exit
$5,815
10-year hold
IRR
75.7%
Equity multiple
9.01×
Total profit
$87,489
Equity at exit
$3,372

Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32534

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,162 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$205
Tax est. 1.5%
$49 /mo · $585/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$649

Break-even live

Break-even rent $341
Max offer price $39,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $676 -5% $662 +0% $649 +5% $635 +10% $622
Rent -10% $557 -5% $603 +0% $649 +5% $695 +10% $741
Rate -1.0pp $668 -0.5pp $659 base $649 +0.5pp $639 +1.0pp $628

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,750
Closing costs
$1,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
130 E 9 Mile Rd #5 Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 925 $1,095 $1.18 72d 1 0.35mi
50 E Ensley St Unit A Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 840 $1,150 $1.37 63d 1 0.48mi
415 W Hannah St Unit B Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,175 $1.47 15d 1 0.65mi
8660 Figland Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1106 $1,550 $1.40 63d 1 0.70mi
416 Robin Rd Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 15d 3 0.84mi
1106 Fretz St Unit A Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 1092 $1,350 $1.24 15d 1 1.26mi
1000 Sable Dr Unit a Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 962 $1,350 $1.40 15d 1 1.47mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Lot approximately 0.1 acre (40 x 80)
HOA & community
No homeowners associationCommunity is 55+ / senior community

Exterior

Parking
2 spaces per unit
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerCopper wiring with circuit breakers
Home design
Mobile/manufactured or modular homeOne storyResale (not new construction)
Construction
Shingle roofOff-grade foundation
Exterior features
Covered deckYard buildingPaved road accessPublic maintained roadCentral access

Interior

Kitchen
RefrigeratorSelf-cleaning ovenENERGY STAR qualified refrigerator and appliancesElectric water heater
Bedrooms
Master bedroom on the first level
Flooring
VinylLaminate
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral airCeiling fansENERGY STAR qualified equipment
Interior features
Double-pane windowsVinyl and laminate flooring
Laundry & utility
Electric water heater

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-07-06
    days on market $39,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-07-05
    days on market $39,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-07-04
    days on market $39,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-07-03
    days on market $39,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-07-02
    days on market $39,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-07-01
    days on market $39,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-30
    days on market $39,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-29
    days on market $39,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-28
    days on market $39,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-28
    days on market $39,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-27
    days on market $39,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-25
    days on market $39,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-23
    days on market $39,000 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-06-21
    remarks 699-char remark
  15. 2026-06-21
    listed $39,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,948
− Mortgage interest
−$2,185
− Property taxes
−$585
− Insurance
−$195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,116
− Management
−$1,116
− Depreciation
−$1,135
Taxable income
$7,617
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,828
After-tax cash flow
$5,956/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $4,500–$13,500 screening

This 2018 singlewide mobile home is in good condition with modern appliances and updated fixtures. It is move-in ready and located in a well-maintained community.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both install new LVP flooring — improves appearance and adds value
  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 31/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Ensley Elementary School F FL #2,037/2,144 Nat'l #30,133/41,679 Middle Beulah Middle School D- FL #340/571 Nat'l #5,398/14,009 High Pine Forest High School F FL #494/667 Nat'l #12,251/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 79/100

Livability — Ensley

Score
79/100
State rank
#133
US rank
#1996

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ensley, FL
County
Escambia County · 334,637 people
City population
15,879
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,104
Household income
$58,992
Rent vs Own
44.8% rent · 55.2% own
Severe rent burden
13% of renters

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 30% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-07-06 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $39,000 PARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…