37 Sylvan Ln · Beverly, NJ
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
No more showings. Sellers have accepted an offer. Welcome home. The beautiful curb appeal with the meticulous manicured lawn, welcomes you into this well cared for 3 bedroom 2 ½ bath home. Enjoy watching your favorite TV shows in the living room or eat your favorite meal in the adjacent dining room. The eat in kitchen is a cook’s delight with beautiful wood cabinets with storage galore. The refrigerator, stove and dishwasher are brand new. The garage has been turned into a huge family room with a skylight for entertaining your family and friends. Enter the big back yard through your newer kitchen storm door. There's also more storage with a backyard shed. More upgrades include gutter guards. The gas hot water heater is only 2 years old. Upstairs has an insulated attic and a whole house fan to help cool the house on those hot days. The primary bedroom has 2 walk in closets for your new fall wardrobe. The primary bath has been updated with Italian tile and seamless shower doors. The hall bath is also updated with the beautiful Italian tile. Two more spacious bedrooms complete the upstairs. You will stay nice and warm when the cold weather comes with radiant heat downstairs and baseboard heat upstairs. Hurray and schedule your appointment today to see and make this home yours. Sellers have already passed the C. O. inspection.
Key facts
- 6,500 sq ft lot
- Built 1958
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 4.9% in Beverly — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#130 in NJ, #3,487 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F.
- Willingboro Public School District (suburban): math 5% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #433 of 472 in NJ (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.02%
- DSCR
- 2.34
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $426,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Spiralwood Ln | 0.17mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,100 (+5%) | 2mo | $440,000 | $210 | 77 |
| 2 Sylvan Ln | 0.11mi | 4/2.5 | 1,797 (-10%) | 3mo | $430,000 | $239 | 76 |
| 10 Shelbourne Ln | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,000 (0%) | 5mo | $310,000 | $155 | 74 |
| 52 Brunswick Ln | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 | 2,070 (+4%) | 1mo | $440,000 | $213 | 70 |
| 61 Babbitt Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,970 (-2%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $216 | 59 |
| 29 Plumtree Ln | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 | 1,797 (-10%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $237 | 59 |
| 44 Pastoral Ln | 0.66mi | 4/— | 1,824 (-9%) | 2mo | $311,000 | $171 | 53 |
| 53 Spindletop Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,797 (-10%) | 3mo | $405,400 | $226 | 52 |
| 60 Pinafore Ln | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 1,797 (-10%) | 2mo | $362,000 | $201 | 50 |
| 2 Buckingham Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,864 (-7%) | 4mo | $415,000 | $223 | 45 |
| 59 Somerset Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,709 (-14%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $196 | 44 |
| 43 Blueberry Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,725 (-14%) | 6mo | $332,000 | $192 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $49,994
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.96×
- Total profit
- $145,226
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08046
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,567 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$602 /mo · $7,220/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$749
- Net cashflow
- $1,226
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,325 | -5% $1,275 | +0% $1,226 | +5% $1,176 | +10% $1,127 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $944 | -5% $1,085 | +0% $1,226 | +5% $1,367 | +10% $1,507 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,314 | -0.5pp $1,270 | base $1,226 | +0.5pp $1,180 | +1.0pp $1,134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124 Pennypacker Dr Willingboro, NJ | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $4,450 | $2.74 | 2d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 74 Plumtree Ln Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $3,000 | $1.85 | 2d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4236 Route 130 Willingboro, NJ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1278 | $2,710 | $2.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 23 Raleigh Pl Willingboro, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,600 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 46 Beaverdale Ln Willingboro, NJ | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,450 | $2.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 17 Bonnie Ln Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $2,890 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 40 Rittenhouse Dr Willingboro, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1430 | $2,600 | $1.82 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 128 Rockland Dr Willingboro, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1430 | $2,500 | $1.75 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2 Radnor Ct Willingboro, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1462 | $2,750 | $1.88 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1 Mystic Way Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1952 | $3,000 | $1.54 | 6d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 10 Melville Ln Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $3,000 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5 Burgess Ln Willingboro, NJ | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1864 | $4,500 | $2.41 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1639 Perkins Ln Beverly, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1911 | $3,300 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 34 Hopkins Ln Willingboro, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $3,200 | $1.89 | 2d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 41 Messenger Ln Willingboro, NJ | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $3,500 | $2.34 | 6d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 29 Hinsdale Ln Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1570 | $3,750 | $2.39 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 48 Marboro Ln Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $3,995 | $2.67 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 12 Holbrook Ln Willingboro, NJ | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $3,750 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 89 Hampshire Ln Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $3,400 | $2.18 | 11d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-07remarks 143-char remark
-
2026-06-07$175,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,220 · $602/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,220 · $602/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,804
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$7,220
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,424
- − Management
- −$3,424
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $12,967
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,112
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,596/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Willingboro Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3418000
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,064
- Composite
- 17.37/100
- National rank
- #9074
- State rank
- #433 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Beverly
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #3487
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Burlington County · 323,710 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,981
- Household income
- $98,178
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 342.0
Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 453,425 people
- By 2030
- 452,359 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 445,033 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 431,760 · -4.8%
- By 2075
- 406,277 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 364,732 · -19.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 14% White 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Swiss 4% Romanian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Burlington
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -273.52%
- Current HPI
- 348.3441
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+84.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-10-31 Sold (MLS) $335,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-10-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-10-10 Price Changed $330,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-10-10 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-25 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-12 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1989-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $7,220 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…