6820 S Highway A1a · Melbourne Beach, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$559,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This two-story beachside home offers 1,600 square feet under air with a manageable layout and low-maintenance Florida-friendly native landscaping. Resting on . 30 acres, the property provides a rare sense of privacy and a natural buffer from surrounding homes. The first floor holds a 1 bedroom 1 bath with an oversized garage at 680 square feet as well as plentiful storage & potential galore (make it a 2 bed/1 bath, in-law quarters, a rental)! Experience treetop living on the second floor with a 3-bedroom, 2-bath, complete with a comfortable living area and laundry upstairs. The HOA is voluntary, offering a club house on the beach, BBQ area, shuffle board, playground and 3 private beac
Key facts
- Plentiful storage
- Natural buffer
- Oversized garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Detached garage; 2 garage spaces; 1 carport space
- Utilities: Aerobic septic system; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Entry level: 1; East-facing
- Construction: Built with block, fiber cement and frame materials; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Front porch; Rear porch; Many trees; Highway frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Induction cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Stone; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Wall/window unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Entrance foyer; Guest suite; In-law floorplan; Primary bathroom with shower (no tub); Vaulted ceilings
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Upper-level laundry; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $559k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-298 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $506k (9.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $396k (29.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $396k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#249 in FL, #3,935 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Gemini Elementary School (math 80% / reading 79%, grade A, #116 of 2,144 statewide, top 6%, 468 students, 20% FRL); Herbert C. Hoover Middle School (math 67% / reading 64%, grade A-, #95 of 571 statewide, top 17%, 506 students, 38% FRL); Melbourne Senior High School (math 43% / reading 57%, grade D+, #175 of 667 statewide, top 27%, 2,249 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,961/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($98k/yr) (locally 196% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $559k implies a 2118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.28%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-109,757
- Equity at exit
- $83,349
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-120,844
- Equity at exit
- $48,332
Cash invested: $156,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32951
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,961 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,931
- Tax from tax record
- −$262 /mo · $3,147/yr
- Insurance
- −$233
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$832
- Net cashflow
- $-298
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $19 | -5% $-140 | +0% $-298 | +5% $-456 | +10% $-614 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-611 | -5% $-454 | +0% $-298 | +5% $-141 | +10% $15 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-16 | -0.5pp $-156 | base $-298 | +0.5pp $-443 | +1.0pp $-590 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $139,750
- Closing costs
- $16,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 Margarita Rd Unit 1546210P Melbourne Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $5,076 | $3.01 | 16d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 108 Delvalle St Melbourne Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $3,000 | $2.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 180 Duval St Melbourne Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $2,300 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6307 South Highway A1A Unit 252 Melbourne Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $2,750 | $1.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6305 South Highway A1A Unit 142 Melbourne Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $4,300 | $2.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6305 Highway A1A #161 Melbourne Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $5,000 | $3.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6201 Treetop Dr Melbourne Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $2,300 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6301 Treetop Dr Melbourne Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,500 | $1.81 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $559,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $559,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $559,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $559,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $559,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-14$559,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,147 · $262/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,640 · $387/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,493/yr (+$124/mo · 47.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥105°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,526
- − Mortgage interest
- −$31,313
- − Property taxes
- −$3,147
- − Insurance
- −$2,795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,802
- − Management
- −$3,802
- − Depreciation
- −$16,262
- Taxable loss
- −$13,594
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,263
- After-tax cash flow
- $-311/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Melbourne Beach
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #249
- US rank
- #3935
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- City population
- 11,299
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,299
- Household income
- $98,420
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 196.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -209.56%
- Current HPI
- 379.9073
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+4200.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $559,000 SCMLS
- 1985-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,200 Public Records
- 1979-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,147 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…