10 Michael Dr Unit MIC10 · Olmsted Falls, OH
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$133,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Entertain in Style ~ State-of-the-Art Kitchen!
Key facts
- Built 2025
- Listed 278 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $134k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.2% in Olmsted Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#343 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Olmsted Falls City (suburban): math 70% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #134 of 656 in OH (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 278 days — a 12% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 278 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.86%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-4,258
- Equity at exit
- $19,965
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $18,929
- Equity at exit
- $11,577
Cash invested: $37,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44138
- Home prices YoY
- -30.8%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,601 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$702
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$167 /mo · $2,008/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $273
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,475
- Closing costs
- $4,017
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5785 Fitch Rd North Olmsted, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,650 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 27080 Oakwood Dr Olmsted Falls, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,780 | $1.83 | 1d | 39 | 1.26mi |
| 26875 Bagley Rd Olmsted Twp, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $1,299 | $1.46 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 46 events
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2026-06-18days on market $133,900 Active 278 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $133,900 Active 277 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $133,900 Active 276 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $133,900 Active 275 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $133,900 Active 273 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $133,900 Active 272 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $133,900 Active 269 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $133,900 Active 268 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 56-char remark
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2026-06-07days on market $133,900 Active 267 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $133,900 Active 263 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $133,900 Active 262 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $133,900 Active 261 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $133,900 Active 260 DOM
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2026-05-06status Active 46-char remark
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2026-05-05historical 46-char remark
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2026-04-28price $133,900 46-char remark
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2026-04-27status Active 46-char remark
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2026-04-20status Active 46-char remark
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2026-04-13status Active 46-char remark
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2026-04-03status Active 46-char remark
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2026-04-03historical 46-char remark
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2026-04-02price $135,900 46-char remark
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2026-03-02status Active 46-char remark
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2026-02-27status Active 46-char remark
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2026-02-26status Active 46-char remark
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2026-02-08status Active 46-char remark
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2026-02-08price $136,500 46-char remark
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2025-12-06historical 46-char remark
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2025-12-03status Active 46-char remark
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2025-10-25status Active 46-char remark
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2025-09-21status Active 46-char remark
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2025-09-21historical 46-char remark
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2025-08-31status Active 46-char remark
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2025-08-15status Active 46-char remark
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2025-07-02$137,500 Active 46-char remark
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ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,209
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,500
- − Property taxes
- −$2,008
- − Insurance
- −$1,467
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,537
- − Management
- −$1,537
- − Depreciation
- −$3,895
- Taxable income
- $1,265
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$303
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos
This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and renovations to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant structural and aesthetic improvements are needed to increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen countertops and cabinets — The countertops and cabinets are visibly worn and need replacement.
- Major Bathroom fixtures and tiles — The fixtures and tiles are stained and worn, requiring replacement.
- Major Flooring — The flooring is worn and frayed, indicating it needs replacement.
- Major Painting and wall repairs — The walls show signs of peeling paint and discoloration, indicating significant damage.
- Major Roof repair or replacement — The roof has visible damage and missing shingles, which need immediate attention.
- Major Siding repair or replacement — The siding is peeling and needs repainting or replacement.
- Major Window repair or replacement — The windows have visible cracks and need repair or replacement.
- Major Foundation inspection and repair — The foundation appears to be in need of inspection and potential repair.
- Major HVAC system replacement — The HVAC system appears old and may need replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Kitchen renovation — A modern kitchen with updated appliances and fixtures can significantly increase the home's resale value.
- Resale Bathroom renovation — Renovating the bathrooms with new fixtures and tiles can enhance the home's appeal and increase its resale value.
- Resale Flooring replacement — Replacing worn flooring with new, durable flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
- Resale Painting and wall repairs — Painting and repairing walls can improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
- Resale Roof repair or replacement — A repaired or replaced roof can significantly increase the home's resale value by addressing a major structural issue.
- Resale Siding repair or replacement — A repaired or replaced siding can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
- Resale Window repair or replacement — A repaired or replaced window can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
- Resale Foundation inspection and repair — A repaired foundation can improve the home's structural integrity and increase its resale value.
- Resale HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its resale value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen countertops and cabinets · The countertops and cabinets are visibly worn and need replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures and tiles · The fixtures and tiles are stained and worn, requiring replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · The flooring is worn and frayed, indicating it needs replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Painting and wall repairs · The walls show signs of peeling paint and discoloration, indicating significant damage. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Roof repair or replacement · The roof has visible damage and missing shingles, which need immediate attention. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Siding repair or replacement · The siding is peeling and needs repainting or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Window repair or replacement · The windows have visible cracks and need repair or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Foundation inspection and repair · The foundation appears to be in need of inspection and potential repair. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC system replacement · The HVAC system appears old and may need replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 9 items | $135,000–450,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Kitchen renovation — A modern kitchen with updated appliances and fixtures can significantly increase the home's resale value. ↑
- Resale Bathroom renovation — Renovating the bathrooms with new fixtures and tiles can enhance the home's appeal and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale Flooring replacement — Replacing worn flooring with new, durable flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale Painting and wall repairs — Painting and repairing walls can improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale Roof repair or replacement — A repaired or replaced roof can significantly increase the home's resale value by addressing a major structural issue. ↑
- Resale Siding repair or replacement — A repaired or replaced siding can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale Window repair or replacement — A repaired or replaced window can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale Foundation inspection and repair — A repaired foundation can improve the home's structural integrity and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its resale value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olmsted Falls City
- NCES district ID
- 3904657
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,307
- Composite
- 61.12/100
- National rank
- #787
- State rank
- #134 of 656 in OH
Livability — Olmsted Falls
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #343
- US rank
- #5595
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cuyahoga · 1,045,444 people
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,129
- Household income
- $93,877
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7.6
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.76%
- Current HPI
- 201.9716
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-2.6% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-05-05 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $133,900 Zillow
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-27 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-20 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-13 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-03 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $135,900 Zillow
- 2026-03-02 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-02 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-27 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-27 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-26 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-26 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-08 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-08 Price Changed $136,500 Zillow
- 2025-12-06 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-12-03 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-12-03 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-10-25 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-10-25 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-09-21 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-09-21 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-08-31 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-08-31 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-08-15 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-08-15 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-07-02 Listed $137,500 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…