11901 55th Ave NE #5 · Marysville, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.6
$98,850
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This spacious and well-maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Country Mobile Estates in Marysville. This home offers an impressive amount of living space, including two full living rooms, making it perfect for families, multi-use setups, or anyone who loves extra room to spread out. Each bedroom features its own closet, and the home includes two bathrooms: one with a shower/tub combo and the other with a large soaking tub plus a separate standing shower. This home is a fantastic opportunity for anyone looking for affordability without sacrificing space or comfort. Whether you're upsizing, downsizing, or buying your first home, this property delivers great value in a welcoming community.
Key facts
- Built 1980
- Listed 170 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $990 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 3.0% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#43 in WA, #768 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Marysville School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #177 of 291 in WA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cascade Elementary (412 students, 57% FRL); Cedarcrest School (761 students, 50% FRL); Marysville Pilchuck High School (1,238 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 40% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 777 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.92%
- DSCR
- 2.91
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,500
- List price
- $98,850
- Delta
- -47.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11624 46th Ave Unit D | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,319 (-2%) | 1mo | $485,000 | $368 | 60 |
| 4407 123rd Pl NE | 0.83mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $482,000 | $359 | 60 |
| 5111 123rd Pl NE | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (+14%) | 1mo | $619,500 | $405 | 55 |
| 10210 59th Dr NE | 1.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,206 (-10%) | 1mo | $515,000 | $427 | 47 |
| 5133 139th Pl NE | 1.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+12%) | 1mo | $565,000 | $374 | 43 |
| 11417 44th Dr NE | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,024 (-24%) | 0mo | $575,000 | $562 | 42 |
| 13004 47th Dr NE | 1.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,638 (+22%) | 0mo | $690,000 | $421 | 40 |
| 12518 42nd Ave NE | 1.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-20%) | 0mo | $514,950 | $477 | 40 |
| 9718 52nd Dr NE | 1.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,068 (-20%) | 0mo | $534,000 | $500 | 40 |
| 5318 95th Pl NE | 1.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,556 (+16%) | 0mo | $550,000 | $353 | 40 |
| 13813 52nd Ave NE | 1.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (-23%) | 1mo | $535,000 | $514 | 37 |
| 6004 99th St NE | 1.24mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,606 (+20%) | 0mo | $520,000 | $324 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $44,312
- Equity at exit
- $14,739
- IRR
- 44.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.94×
- Total profit
- $108,914
- Equity at exit
- $8,547
Cash invested: $27,678 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $119,000 ($99/sqft)
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +40.7% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 98270
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 777
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,035 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$518
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $701/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $990
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,046 | -5% $1,018 | +0% $990 | +5% $962 | +10% $934 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $829 | -5% $910 | +0% $990 | +5% $1,070 | +10% $1,151 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,040 | -0.5pp $1,015 | base $990 | +0.5pp $964 | +1.0pp $938 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,712
- Closing costs
- $2,966
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11508 51st Ave NE Unit C Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,425 | $2.20 | 88d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4603 116th St NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $2,700 | $2.34 | 139d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5631 105th Pl NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1771 | $2,750 | $1.55 | 0d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5914 106th Pl NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $2,945 | $2.44 | 117d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10505 56th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $1,600 | $1.21 | 58d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 13005 58th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1572 | $2,800 | $1.78 | 32d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 12705 48th Ave NE Unit 3 Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1088 | $1,800 | $1.65 | 139d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4303 113th Pl NE Unit 103 Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1448 | $2,450 | $1.69 | 6d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 11115 State Ave Unit D104 Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $2,595 | $1.94 | 100d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 11115 State Ave Unit C101 Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $2,595 | $1.94 | 5d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 11115 State Ave Unit B103 Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $2,595 | $1.94 | 120d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 11115 State Ave Unit B102 Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $2,495 | $1.86 | 10d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 11115 State Ave Unit A104 Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $2,595 | $1.94 | 71d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 13114 57th Ave NE Unit A Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $2,450 | $1.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 12115 State Ave Marysville, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 882 | $2,328 | $2.64 | 0d | 11 | 0.92mi |
| 12115 State Ave Marysville, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $2,442 | $2.77 | 100d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 12427 42nd Ave NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1288 | $1,700 | $1.32 | 30d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5429 132nd St NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $2,500 | $2.01 | 100d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 13114 49th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 86d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 10021 54th Dr NE Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 922 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 100d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 9820 55th Ave NE Unit B Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1526 | $2,550 | $1.67 | 7d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4779 100th St NE #111 Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1674 | $2,650 | $1.58 | 60d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4771 100th St NE #104 Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1674 | $2,650 | $1.58 | 64d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4816 136th Pl NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $2,500 | $2.05 | 83d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4410 95th St NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,450 | $2.62 | 64d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-12days on market $98,850 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $98,850 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $98,850 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $98,850 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $98,850 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $98,850 Active 158 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $98,850 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $98,850 Active 155 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $98,850 Active 154 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $98,850 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $98,850 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $98,850 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $98,850 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $98,850 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $98,850 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $98,850 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $98,850 Active 146 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $98,850 Active 145 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $98,850 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $98,850 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $98,850 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $98,850 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $98,850 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $98,850 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $98,850 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $98,850 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $98,850 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $98,850 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $98,850 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $98,850 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $98,850 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-08-03pricedays on market $98,850 Active 130 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $129,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $129,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $129,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $129,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $129,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $129,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $129,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $129,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $129,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $129,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $129,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $129,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $129,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $129,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $129,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $129,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $129,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $129,000 Active 107 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $701 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $969 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$268/yr (+$22/mo · 38.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,423
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,537
- − Property taxes
- −$701
- − Insurance
- −$494
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,954
- − Management
- −$1,954
- − Depreciation
- −$2,876
- Taxable income
- $10,908
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,618
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,261/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This well-maintained and updated mobile home in Marysville offers spacious living areas and modern finishes, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring in bedrooms — Hardwood floors are more durable and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Install smart home automation — Smart home features can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marysville School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304860
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,461
- Composite
- 41.31/100
- National rank
- #7367
- State rank
- #177 of 291 in WA
Livability — Marysville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #768
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marysville, WA
- County
- Snohomish County · 899,800 people
- City population
- 85,887
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,049
- Household income
- $108,147
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 8% Black 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -673.52%
- Current HPI
- 321.1535
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.66%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Listed $129,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+19.0%/yrLatest (2026): $701 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…