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3809 Chaffee Dr
C+ Composite 62.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

3809 Chaffee Dr · Fort Smith, AR 72904
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,376 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1955 8,381 sqft lot Est $176k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.

Key facts

  • 8,381 sq ft lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 29 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; House
  • Exterior features: Patio; Chain link fence; City lot; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate; Simulated wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sunnymede Elementary School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #345 of 454 statewide, top 76%, 468 students, 93% FRL); Dora Kimmons Jr. High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 201 statewide, top 78%, 841 students, 91% FRL); Northside High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #239 of 292 statewide, top 85%, 2,433 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 64% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 37% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fort Smith School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,050 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.45%
Cash-on-cash
7.70%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$176,128
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3708 Morris Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,424 (+4%) 8mo $134,000 $94 77
3904 Macarthur Dr 0.10mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,310 (-5%) 8mo $168,000 $128 74
3613 Chaffee Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,292 (-6%) 3mo $110,000 $85 73
3612 Chaffee Dr 0.14mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,290 (-6%) 8mo $100,000 $78 70
3300 N O St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,312 (-5%) 2mo $35,000 $27 65
3907 Victory Cir 0.14mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,500 (+9%) 5mo $230,000 $153 64
2810 N R St 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,401 (+2%) 6mo $195,000 $139 59
1015 N 41st St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,300 (-6%) 2mo $167,900 $129 50
1905 N 31st St 0.50mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,434 (+4%) 11mo $223,250 $156 50
1301 N 46th St 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,280 (-7%) 1mo $171,500 $134 48
1117 N 34th St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,452 (+6%) 10mo $52,800 $36 46
4638 Victoria Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,490 (+8%) 9mo $185,052 $124 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-6,170
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$13,868
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72904

Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,433 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$234

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $323 -5% $278 +0% $234 +5% $189 +10% $144
Rent -10% $120 -5% $177 +0% $234 +5% $290 +10% $347
Rate -1.0pp $299 -0.5pp $267 base $234 +0.5pp $200 +1.0pp $166

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3101 Park Ave Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1634 $1,650 $1.01 14d 1 1.30mi
5700 Grand Ave Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1605 $1,500 $0.93 21d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $130,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
  17. 2026-05-20
    listed $130,000 Active
  18. 2025-09-03
    soldstatus $110,000
  19. 2025-09-02
    soldstatus $110,000 Closed 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.

  20. 2025-08-15
    status Pending 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.

  21. 2025-08-07
    price $120,000 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.

  22. 2025-07-31
    status Active 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.

  23. 2025-07-24
    status Pending 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.

  24. 2025-07-06
    price $125,000 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.

  25. 2025-06-30
    status Active 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.

  26. 2025-06-24
    status Pending 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.

  27. 2025-06-17
    price $129,000 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.

  28. 2025-06-11
    listed $135,000 Active 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.

  29. 2014-07-03
    soldstatus $92,900
  30. 2013-10-15
    soldstatus $29,000 182-char remark
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    CAN BE 2 OR 3 BEDROOMS, 1 1/2 BATHS, VINYL SIDING W/ 1 CAR GARAGE AND FENCED YARD. CURRENTLY RENTED. SOME INSULATED WINDOWS AND SOME STORM WINDOWS. MORE HOMES AVAILABLE AS A PACKAGE.

  31. 2013-10-15
    soldstatus $29,000
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    CAN BE 2 OR 3 BEDROOMS, 1 1/2 BATHS, VINYL SIDING W/ 1 CAR GARAGE AND FENCED YARD. CURRENTLY RENTED. SOME INSULATED WINDOWS AND SOME STORM WINDOWS. MORE HOMES AVAILABLE AS A PACKAGE.

  32. 2013-09-13
    listed $32,500 182-char remark
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    CAN BE 2 OR 3 BEDROOMS, 1 1/2 BATHS, VINYL SIDING W/ 1 CAR GARAGE AND FENCED YARD. CURRENTLY RENTED. SOME INSULATED WINDOWS AND SOME STORM WINDOWS. MORE HOMES AVAILABLE AS A PACKAGE.

  33. 1992-10-08
    soldstatus $29,000
  34. 1984-11-13
    soldstatus $35,000
  35. 1977-08-27
    soldstatus $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,194
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,950
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,376
− Management
−$1,376
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$779
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$187
After-tax cash flow
$2,615/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Smith School District
NCES district ID
0506330
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,066
Composite
30.66/100
National rank
#6183
State rank
#106 of 238 in AR

Livability — Fort Smith

Score
65/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#13185

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Smith, AR
County
Sebastian County · 99,312 people
City population
94,356
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
Population (ZIP)
21,296
Household income
$41,909
Rent vs Own
46.9% rent · 53.1% own
Severe rent burden
851.0

Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
133,992 people
By 2030
136,620 · +2.0%
By 2040
140,832 · +5.1%
By 2050
143,301 · +6.9%
By 2075
147,964 · +10.4%
By 2100
145,848 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% White 31% Two or more races 11% Black 9% Asian 9% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Iranian 0%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
53% English-only · Spanish 37% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Vietnamese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.65%
Current HPI
146.2281
Rent YoY
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+490.9% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $130,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2025-09-02 Sold (MLS) $110,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-08-15 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $120,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-07-31 Relisted WRVBOR
  • 2025-07-24 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2025-07-06 Price Changed $125,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-06-30 Relisted WRVBOR
  • 2025-06-24 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2025-06-17 Price Changed $129,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-06-11 Listed $135,000 WRVBOR
  • 2014-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $92,900 Public Records
  • 2013-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
  • 2013-10-15 Sold (MLS) $29,000 WRVBOR
  • 2013-09-13 Listed $32,500 WRVBOR
  • 1992-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
  • 1984-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1977-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $226 · -23.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…