3809 Chaffee Dr · Fort Smith, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.
Key facts
- 8,381 sq ft lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 29 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; House
- Exterior features: Patio; Chain link fence; City lot; Public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate; Simulated wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sunnymede Elementary School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #345 of 454 statewide, top 76%, 468 students, 93% FRL); Dora Kimmons Jr. High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 201 statewide, top 78%, 841 students, 91% FRL); Northside High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #239 of 292 statewide, top 85%, 2,433 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 64% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 37% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fort Smith School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.70%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $176,128
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3708 Morris Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,424 (+4%) | 8mo | $134,000 | $94 | 77 |
| 3904 Macarthur Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,310 (-5%) | 8mo | $168,000 | $128 | 74 |
| 3613 Chaffee Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,292 (-6%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $85 | 73 |
| 3612 Chaffee Dr | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,290 (-6%) | 8mo | $100,000 | $78 | 70 |
| 3300 N O St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,312 (-5%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $27 | 65 |
| 3907 Victory Cir | 0.14mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+9%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $153 | 64 |
| 2810 N R St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,401 (+2%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $139 | 59 |
| 1015 N 41st St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-6%) | 2mo | $167,900 | $129 | 50 |
| 1905 N 31st St | 0.50mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,434 (+4%) | 11mo | $223,250 | $156 | 50 |
| 1301 N 46th St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,280 (-7%) | 1mo | $171,500 | $134 | 48 |
| 1117 N 34th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,452 (+6%) | 10mo | $52,800 | $36 | 46 |
| 4638 Victoria Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,490 (+8%) | 9mo | $185,052 | $124 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-6,170
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $13,868
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72904
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,433 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $234
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $323 | -5% $278 | +0% $234 | +5% $189 | +10% $144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $120 | -5% $177 | +0% $234 | +5% $290 | +10% $347 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $299 | -0.5pp $267 | base $234 | +0.5pp $200 | +1.0pp $166 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3101 Park Ave Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1634 | $1,650 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5700 Grand Ave Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1605 | $1,500 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $130,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$130,000 Active
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2025-09-03soldstatus $110,000
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2025-09-02soldstatus $110,000 Closed 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.
-
2025-08-15status Pending 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.
-
2025-08-07price $120,000 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.
-
2025-07-31status Active 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.
-
2025-07-24status Pending 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.
-
2025-07-06price $125,000 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.
-
2025-06-30status Active 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.
-
2025-06-24status Pending 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.
-
2025-06-17price $129,000 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.
-
2025-06-11$135,000 Active 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in an established neighborhood in the heart of Fort Smith! Home is all Electric! Whether you’re a first-time buyer or growing family this property offers a perfect blend of functionality and potential. Come check out this home! Property as is.
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2014-07-03soldstatus $92,900
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2013-10-15soldstatus $29,000 182-char remark
Show marketing remark (182 chars)
CAN BE 2 OR 3 BEDROOMS, 1 1/2 BATHS, VINYL SIDING W/ 1 CAR GARAGE AND FENCED YARD. CURRENTLY RENTED. SOME INSULATED WINDOWS AND SOME STORM WINDOWS. MORE HOMES AVAILABLE AS A PACKAGE.
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2013-10-15soldstatus $29,000
Show marketing remark (182 chars)
CAN BE 2 OR 3 BEDROOMS, 1 1/2 BATHS, VINYL SIDING W/ 1 CAR GARAGE AND FENCED YARD. CURRENTLY RENTED. SOME INSULATED WINDOWS AND SOME STORM WINDOWS. MORE HOMES AVAILABLE AS A PACKAGE.
-
2013-09-13$32,500 182-char remark
Show marketing remark (182 chars)
CAN BE 2 OR 3 BEDROOMS, 1 1/2 BATHS, VINYL SIDING W/ 1 CAR GARAGE AND FENCED YARD. CURRENTLY RENTED. SOME INSULATED WINDOWS AND SOME STORM WINDOWS. MORE HOMES AVAILABLE AS A PACKAGE.
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1992-10-08soldstatus $29,000
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1984-11-13soldstatus $35,000
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1977-08-27soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,194
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,376
- − Management
- −$1,376
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $779
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$187
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,615/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Smith School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506330
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,066
- Composite
- 30.66/100
- National rank
- #6183
- State rank
- #106 of 238 in AR
Livability — Fort Smith
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #13185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Smith, AR
- County
- Sebastian County · 99,312 people
- City population
- 94,356
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,296
- Household income
- $41,909
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 851.0
Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,992 people
- By 2030
- 136,620 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 140,832 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 143,301 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 147,964 · +10.4%
- By 2100
- 145,848 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 31% Two or more races 11% Black 9% Asian 9% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 37% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.65%
- Current HPI
- 146.2281
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+490.9% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $130,000 WRVBOR
- 2025-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2025-09-02 Sold (MLS) $110,000 WRVBOR
- 2025-08-15 Pending — WRVBOR
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $120,000 WRVBOR
- 2025-07-31 Relisted — WRVBOR
- 2025-07-24 Pending — WRVBOR
- 2025-07-06 Price Changed $125,000 WRVBOR
- 2025-06-30 Relisted — WRVBOR
- 2025-06-24 Pending — WRVBOR
- 2025-06-17 Price Changed $129,000 WRVBOR
- 2025-06-11 Listed $135,000 WRVBOR
- 2014-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $92,900 Public Records
- 2013-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 2013-10-15 Sold (MLS) $29,000 WRVBOR
- 2013-09-13 Listed $32,500 WRVBOR
- 1992-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 1984-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1977-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $226 · -23.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…