11403 Kendrick Dr · Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the Jefferson Oldham county line, Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard with 2,034 total Sqft in this beautiful bi-level home in the 40241 zip, Freshly updated and move in ready home. This spacious home has 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large laundry, The Kitchen appliances stay too. A newer Deck and Patio door, Newer windows in the lower level . This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price. Come see what this home has to offer, all for under 295k!
Key facts
- Deck
- Cul-de-sac
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (10.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $247k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.0% in Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Chancey Elementary (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #525 of 676 statewide, top 82%, 553 students, 55% FRL); Kammerer Middle (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #125 of 217 statewide, top 63%, 720 students, 52% FRL); Ballard High (math 42% / reading 46%, grade F, #27 of 254 statewide, top 10%, 2,014 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.04%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $368,104
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11403 Kendrick Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 2,068 (0%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $140 | 99 |
| 11201 Deham Dr | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 1,917 (-7%) | 13mo | $316,505 | $165 | 69 |
| 5204 Baywood Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,920 (-7%) | 8mo | $287,000 | $149 | 67 |
| 4705 Sunny Meadow Ct | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 2,054 (-1%) | 10mo | $365,000 | $178 | 57 |
| 4643 Oak Pointe Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,858 (-10%) | 8mo | $337,000 | $181 | 47 |
| 9609 Applewood Ct | 0.71mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,166 (+5%) | 2mo | $415,000 | $192 | 46 |
| 9326 Plumwood Pl | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 | 1,927 (-7%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $122 | 44 |
| 9502 Apple Crossing Ct | 0.67mi | 4/3.0 | 2,232 (+8%) | 14mo | $408,500 | $183 | 40 |
| 7305 Autumn Bent Way | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,841 (-11%) | 12mo | $286,000 | $155 | 37 |
| 5416 Skeffington Way | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,781 (-14%) | 4mo | $344,000 | $193 | 32 |
| 9313 Plumwood Pl | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,826 (-12%) | 11mo | $310,000 | $170 | 31 |
| 4611 Wooded Oak Cir | 0.70mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,770 (-14%) | 13mo | $350,000 | $198 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-35,897
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-19,146
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40241
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,472 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$265 /mo · $3,181/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$519
- Net cashflow
- $131
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $286 | -5% $209 | +0% $131 | +5% $53 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-65 | -5% $33 | +0% $131 | +5% $228 | +10% $326 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $269 | -0.5pp $201 | base $131 | +0.5pp $59 | +1.0pp $-13 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5209 Fisherman Ct Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $2,650 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5610 Haunz Ln Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $2,275 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4709 Oak Pointe Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $2,425 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 11116 Oak Bend Ct Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2787 | $2,600 | $0.93 | 18d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 10945 Symington Cir Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2262 | $2,550 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5229 Craigs Creek Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2202 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4957 Winding Spring Cir Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1827 | $1,795 | $0.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 10904 Sweet Water Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,100 | $0.65 | 19d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4007 Emerald Spring Pl Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2676 | $2,749 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4519 Accomack Dr Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1849 | $2,325 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4314 Arwine Ct Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1640 | $2,385 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 11403 Tazwell Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1740 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 11353 N Tazwell Dr Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1366 | $1,850 | $1.35 | 3d | 29 | 1.21mi |
| 5001 Middlesex Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1894 | $2,400 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 12105 E Bay Ct Worthington Hills, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1695 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 10504 Going Ct Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,050 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 10409 Going Ct Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $2,175 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 9506 Gerardia Ln Prospect, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2048 | $4,000 | $1.95 | 18d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9507 Civic Way Prospect, KY | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2629 | $4,500 | $1.71 | 18d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 9506 Civic Way Prospect, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1099 | $3,095 | $2.82 | 3d | 27 | 1.38mi |
| 6411 Moonseed St Prospect, KY | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2553 | $4,285 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 10510 Meeting St Unit 201 Prospect, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3000 | $3,200 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-22soldstatus $290,000 Closed
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-23$275,000 Active
-
2024-09-19status Pending 568-char remark
Show marketing remark (568 chars)
Welcome to the Jefferson Oldham county line, Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard with 2,034 total Sqft in this beautiful bi-level home in the 40241 zip, Freshly updated and move in ready home. This spacious home has 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large laundry, The Kitchen appliances stay too. A newer Deck and Patio door, Newer windows in the lower level . This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price. Come see what this home has to offer, all for under 295k!
-
2024-08-29soldstatus $285,000
-
2024-08-28soldstatus $285,000 Closed 568-char remark
Show marketing remark (568 chars)
Welcome to the Jefferson Oldham county line, Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard with 2,034 total Sqft in this beautiful bi-level home in the 40241 zip, Freshly updated and move in ready home. This spacious home has 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large laundry, The Kitchen appliances stay too. A newer Deck and Patio door, Newer windows in the lower level . This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price. Come see what this home has to offer, all for under 295k!
-
2024-07-25historical Active Under Contract 568-char remark
Show marketing remark (568 chars)
Welcome to the Jefferson Oldham county line, Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard with 2,034 total Sqft in this beautiful bi-level home in the 40241 zip, Freshly updated and move in ready home. This spacious home has 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large laundry, The Kitchen appliances stay too. A newer Deck and Patio door, Newer windows in the lower level . This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price. Come see what this home has to offer, all for under 295k!
-
2024-07-15price $294,999 568-char remark
Show marketing remark (568 chars)
Welcome to the Jefferson Oldham county line, Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard with 2,034 total Sqft in this beautiful bi-level home in the 40241 zip, Freshly updated and move in ready home. This spacious home has 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large laundry, The Kitchen appliances stay too. A newer Deck and Patio door, Newer windows in the lower level . This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price. Come see what this home has to offer, all for under 295k!
-
2024-07-15$279,990 Active 568-char remark
Show marketing remark (568 chars)
Welcome to the Jefferson Oldham county line, Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard with 2,034 total Sqft in this beautiful bi-level home in the 40241 zip, Freshly updated and move in ready home. This spacious home has 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large laundry, The Kitchen appliances stay too. A newer Deck and Patio door, Newer windows in the lower level . This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price. Come see what this home has to offer, all for under 295k!
-
2020-10-30soldstatus $208,000 Closed 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
Freshly updated and move in ready home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard. The Kitchen was just redone from floor to ceiling and looks marvelous. The Kitchen appliances stay too. A Brand new Deck and Patio door this year, New windows in the lower level this year as well. This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price.
-
2020-09-25status Pending 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
Freshly updated and move in ready home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard. The Kitchen was just redone from floor to ceiling and looks marvelous. The Kitchen appliances stay too. A Brand new Deck and Patio door this year, New windows in the lower level this year as well. This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price.
-
2020-09-24price $194,900 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
Freshly updated and move in ready home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard. The Kitchen was just redone from floor to ceiling and looks marvelous. The Kitchen appliances stay too. A Brand new Deck and Patio door this year, New windows in the lower level this year as well. This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price.
-
2020-09-24$184,900 Active 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
Freshly updated and move in ready home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard. The Kitchen was just redone from floor to ceiling and looks marvelous. The Kitchen appliances stay too. A Brand new Deck and Patio door this year, New windows in the lower level this year as well. This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price.
-
2003-02-24soldstatus $120,300
-
2002-12-27$116,500
-
2000-10-13soldstatus $95,000
-
2000-08-22$97,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,181 · $265/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,181 · $265/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,658
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$3,181
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,373
- − Management
- −$2,373
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$3,047
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$731
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,300/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 419,741
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,696
- Household income
- $94,078
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 748.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -189.34%
- Current HPI
- 226.0049
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.14%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+197.4% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $290,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-28 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $275,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-09-19 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
- 2024-08-28 Sold (MLS) $285,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-07-25 Contingent — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-07-15 Price Changed $294,999 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-07-15 Listed $279,990 Metro Search MLS
- 2020-10-30 Sold (MLS) $208,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2020-09-25 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2020-09-24 Listed $184,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2020-09-24 Price Changed $194,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2003-02-24 Sold (MLS) $120,300 Metro Search MLS
- 2002-12-27 Listed $116,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2000-10-13 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2000-08-22 Listed $97,500 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,181 · +34.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…