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11403 Kendrick Dr
C- Composite 50.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

11403 Kendrick Dr · Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), KY 40241
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,068 sqft · SingleFamily · 4 Days on market
Built 1975 9,923 sqft lot Est $368k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Jefferson Oldham county line, Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard with 2,034 total Sqft in this beautiful bi-level home in the 40241 zip, Freshly updated and move in ready home. This spacious home has 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large laundry, The Kitchen appliances stay too. A newer Deck and Patio door, Newer windows in the lower level . This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price. Come see what this home has to offer, all for under 295k!

Key facts

  • Deck
  • Cul-de-sac
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDDECKCUL-DE-SACOUTDOOR LIVING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (10.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $247k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.0% in Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Chancey Elementary (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #525 of 676 statewide, top 82%, 553 students, 55% FRL); Kammerer Middle (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #125 of 217 statewide, top 63%, 720 students, 52% FRL); Ballard High (math 42% / reading 46%, grade F, #27 of 254 statewide, top 10%, 2,014 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $247,153 (10.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.86%
Cash-on-cash
2.04%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$368,104
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11403 Kendrick Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 2,068 (0%) 1mo $290,000 $140 99
11201 Deham Dr 0.18mi 4/2.0 1,917 (-7%) 13mo $316,505 $165 69
5204 Baywood Dr 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,920 (-7%) 8mo $287,000 $149 67
4705 Sunny Meadow Ct 0.68mi 4/2.5 2,054 (-1%) 10mo $365,000 $178 57
4643 Oak Pointe Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,858 (-10%) 8mo $337,000 $181 47
9609 Applewood Ct 0.71mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,166 (+5%) 2mo $415,000 $192 46
9326 Plumwood Pl 0.69mi 4/2.5 1,927 (-7%) 12mo $235,000 $122 44
9502 Apple Crossing Ct 0.67mi 4/3.0 2,232 (+8%) 14mo $408,500 $183 40
7305 Autumn Bent Way 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,841 (-11%) 12mo $286,000 $155 37
5416 Skeffington Way 0.74mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,781 (-14%) 4mo $344,000 $193 32
9313 Plumwood Pl 0.72mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,826 (-12%) 11mo $310,000 $170 31
4611 Wooded Oak Cir 0.70mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,770 (-14%) 13mo $350,000 $198 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-35,897
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-19,146
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40241

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,472 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$265 /mo · $3,181/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$519
Net cashflow
$131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,306
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $286 -5% $209 +0% $131 +5% $53 +10% $-25
Rent -10% $-65 -5% $33 +0% $131 +5% $228 +10% $326
Rate -1.0pp $269 -0.5pp $201 base $131 +0.5pp $59 +1.0pp $-13

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5209 Fisherman Ct Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 2000 $2,650 $1.32 3d 1 0.28mi
5610 Haunz Ln Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1856 $2,275 $1.23 45d 1 0.41mi
4709 Oak Pointe Dr Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1755 $2,425 $1.38 4d 1 0.53mi
11116 Oak Bend Ct Louisville, KY 3.0 3.0 2787 $2,600 $0.93 18d 1 0.62mi
10945 Symington Cir Louisville, KY 4.0 2.5 2262 $2,550 $1.13 5d 1 0.62mi
5229 Craigs Creek Dr Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 2202 $2,500 $1.14 18d 1 0.77mi
4957 Winding Spring Cir Louisville, KY 3.0 2.5 1827 $1,795 $0.98 3d 1 0.89mi
10904 Sweet Water Dr Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,100 $0.65 19d 1 0.94mi
4007 Emerald Spring Pl Louisville, KY 4.0 3.5 2676 $2,749 $1.03 3d 1 1.08mi
4519 Accomack Dr Louisville, KY 4.0 2.0 1849 $2,325 $1.26 18d 1 1.11mi
4314 Arwine Ct Louisville, KY 3.0 2.5 1640 $2,385 $1.45 4d 1 1.20mi
11403 Tazwell Dr Louisville, KY 3.0 3.0 1740 $2,200 $1.26 18d 1 1.21mi
11353 N Tazwell Dr Louisville, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1366 $1,850 $1.35 3d 29 1.21mi
5001 Middlesex Dr Louisville, KY 3.0 2.5 1894 $2,400 $1.27 16d 1 1.22mi
12105 E Bay Ct Worthington Hills, KY 3.0 2.0 1695 $2,000 $1.18 5d 1 1.24mi
10504 Going Ct Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1550 $2,050 $1.32 25d 1 1.31mi
10409 Going Ct Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1481 $2,175 $1.47 18d 1 1.32mi
9506 Gerardia Ln Prospect, KY 3.0 2.0 2048 $4,000 $1.95 18d 1 1.34mi
9507 Civic Way Prospect, KY 4.0 3.5 2629 $4,500 $1.71 18d 1 1.35mi
9506 Civic Way Prospect, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1099 $3,095 $2.82 3d 27 1.38mi
6411 Moonseed St Prospect, KY 4.0 3.5 2553 $4,285 $1.68 3d 1 1.43mi
10510 Meeting St Unit 201 Prospect, KY 3.0 2.0 3000 $3,200 $1.07 5d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    soldstatus $290,000 Closed
  2. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-23
    listed $275,000 Active
  4. 2024-09-19
    status Pending 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    Welcome to the Jefferson Oldham county line, Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard with 2,034 total Sqft in this beautiful bi-level home in the 40241 zip, Freshly updated and move in ready home. This spacious home has 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large laundry, The Kitchen appliances stay too. A newer Deck and Patio door, Newer windows in the lower level . This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price. Come see what this home has to offer, all for under 295k!

  5. 2024-08-29
    soldstatus $285,000
  6. 2024-08-28
    soldstatus $285,000 Closed 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    Welcome to the Jefferson Oldham county line, Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard with 2,034 total Sqft in this beautiful bi-level home in the 40241 zip, Freshly updated and move in ready home. This spacious home has 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large laundry, The Kitchen appliances stay too. A newer Deck and Patio door, Newer windows in the lower level . This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price. Come see what this home has to offer, all for under 295k!

  7. 2024-07-25
    historical Active Under Contract 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    Welcome to the Jefferson Oldham county line, Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard with 2,034 total Sqft in this beautiful bi-level home in the 40241 zip, Freshly updated and move in ready home. This spacious home has 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large laundry, The Kitchen appliances stay too. A newer Deck and Patio door, Newer windows in the lower level . This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price. Come see what this home has to offer, all for under 295k!

  8. 2024-07-15
    price $294,999 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    Welcome to the Jefferson Oldham county line, Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard with 2,034 total Sqft in this beautiful bi-level home in the 40241 zip, Freshly updated and move in ready home. This spacious home has 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large laundry, The Kitchen appliances stay too. A newer Deck and Patio door, Newer windows in the lower level . This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price. Come see what this home has to offer, all for under 295k!

  9. 2024-07-15
    listed $279,990 Active 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    Welcome to the Jefferson Oldham county line, Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard with 2,034 total Sqft in this beautiful bi-level home in the 40241 zip, Freshly updated and move in ready home. This spacious home has 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large laundry, The Kitchen appliances stay too. A newer Deck and Patio door, Newer windows in the lower level . This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price. Come see what this home has to offer, all for under 295k!

  10. 2020-10-30
    soldstatus $208,000 Closed 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Freshly updated and move in ready home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard. The Kitchen was just redone from floor to ceiling and looks marvelous. The Kitchen appliances stay too. A Brand new Deck and Patio door this year, New windows in the lower level this year as well. This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price.

  11. 2020-09-25
    status Pending 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Freshly updated and move in ready home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard. The Kitchen was just redone from floor to ceiling and looks marvelous. The Kitchen appliances stay too. A Brand new Deck and Patio door this year, New windows in the lower level this year as well. This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price.

  12. 2020-09-24
    price $194,900 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Freshly updated and move in ready home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard. The Kitchen was just redone from floor to ceiling and looks marvelous. The Kitchen appliances stay too. A Brand new Deck and Patio door this year, New windows in the lower level this year as well. This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price.

  13. 2020-09-24
    listed $184,900 Active 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    Freshly updated and move in ready home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Located on a Cul De Sac with a large fenced backyard. The Kitchen was just redone from floor to ceiling and looks marvelous. The Kitchen appliances stay too. A Brand new Deck and Patio door this year, New windows in the lower level this year as well. This home has lots of room for the whole family. There is a Living Room and Two Family Room too. It really is a MUST SEE at this price.

  14. 2003-02-24
    soldstatus $120,300
  15. 2002-12-27
    listed $116,500
  16. 2000-10-13
    soldstatus $95,000
  17. 2000-08-22
    listed $97,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,181 · $265/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,181 · $265/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,658
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$3,181
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,373
− Management
−$2,373
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$3,047
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$731
After-tax cash flow
$2,300/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
419,741
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
30,696
Household income
$94,078
Rent vs Own
28.3% rent · 71.7% own
Severe rent burden
748.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -189.34%
Current HPI
226.0049
Rent YoY
▲ 3.14%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+197.4% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $290,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $275,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-09-19 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
  • 2024-08-28 Sold (MLS) $285,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-07-25 Contingent Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-07-15 Price Changed $294,999 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-07-15 Listed $279,990 Metro Search MLS
  • 2020-10-30 Sold (MLS) $208,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2020-09-25 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2020-09-24 Listed $184,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2020-09-24 Price Changed $194,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2003-02-24 Sold (MLS) $120,300 Metro Search MLS
  • 2002-12-27 Listed $116,500 Metro Search MLS
  • 2000-10-13 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2000-08-22 Listed $97,500 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,181 · +34.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…