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634 S 7th St
D+ Composite 45.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$9,750

634 S 7th St · Burlington, IA 52601
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,201 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 246 Days on market
Built 1850 7,405 sqft lot $8/sqft · 83% below area ↓ 38% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fixer upper in a nice area of Burlington. Features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1850
  • Listed 245 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $730 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $9k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 96.1% vs local median 6.0% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#287 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Burlington Community School District (town): math 42% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #286 of 289 in IA (top 99%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 53 units permitted in Des Moines County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $68 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $292 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Des Moines County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $8,580 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
10.35%
Cap rate
96.14%
Cash-on-cash
320.90%
DSCR
15.28
GRM
0.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$58,811
List price
$9,750
Delta
-83.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
714 S 4th St 0.20mi 2/1.0 1,300 (+8%) 0mo $34,000 $26 77
564 S Central Ave Ave 0.26mi 2/1.0 1,122 (-7%) 1mo $66,500 $59 76
1207 S 7th St 0.36mi 2/1.0 1,142 (-5%) 2mo $55,000 $48 73
1101 S Central Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,235 (+3%) 1mo $1 72
1300 Summer St 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,192 (-1%) 1mo $140,000 $117 69
1208 S 15th St 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,224 (+2%) 1mo $125,000 $102 66
671 Higbee Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,241 (+3%) 2mo $27,000 $22 65
519 S 8th St 0.19mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,354 (+13%) 1mo $50,000 $37 62
209 S 8th St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,291 (+8%) 2mo $71,500 $55 62
235 S 8th Street St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-12%) 3mo $80,000 $76 55
610 Walnut St 0.25mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,024 (-15%) 3mo $100,600 $98 54
1625 Louisa St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,266 (+5%) 1mo $112,900 $89 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.46×
Total profit
$44,932
Equity at exit
$1,454
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
37.29×
Total profit
$99,060
Equity at exit
$843

Cash invested: $2,730 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52601

Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
0.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,009 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$51
Tax est. 1.5%
$12 /mo · $146/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$730

Break-even live

Break-even rent $85
Max offer price $9,750
Occupancy floor 23%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,438
Closing costs
$292
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
116 N 4th St Unit 205 Burlington, IA 1.0 1.0 930 $900 $0.97 43d 1 0.56mi
116 N 4th St Unit 214 Burlington, IA 2.0 1.0 1205 $1,295 $1.07 43d 1 0.56mi
116 N 5th St Unit 402 Burlington, IA 1.0 1.0 1025 $1,020 $1.00 43d 1 0.57mi
1601 Division St Burlington, IA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,100 $0.76 43d 1 0.79mi
2216 Piper Pl Unit 1 Burlington, IA 2.0 1.0 728 $875 $1.20 43d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $9,750 Active 246 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $9,750 Active 245 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $9,750 Active 244 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $9,750 Active 243 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $9,750 Active 242 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $9,750 Active 240 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $9,750 Active 239 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $10,500 Active 236 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $10,500 Active 235 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,500 Active 234 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,500 Active 233 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $10,500 Active 230 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $10,500 Active 229 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $10,500 Active 228 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $10,500 Active 227 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $10,500 Active 226 DOM
  17. 2026-03-27
    price $10,500 73-char remark
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    Fixer upper in a nice area of Burlington. Features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath.

  18. 2026-01-07
    price $11,500 73-char remark
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    Fixer upper in a nice area of Burlington. Features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath.

  19. 2025-12-19
    price $14,900 73-char remark
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    Fixer upper in a nice area of Burlington. Features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath.

  20. 2025-10-16
    listed $17,000 Active 73-char remark
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    Fixer upper in a nice area of Burlington. Features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,113
− Mortgage interest
−$546
− Property taxes
−$146
− Insurance
−$49
− Repairs & maintenance
−$969
− Management
−$969
− Depreciation
−$284
Taxable income
$9,150
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,196
After-tax cash flow
$6,565/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burlington Community School District
NCES district ID
1905790
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$41,833
Composite
40.3/100
National rank
#3753
State rank
#286 of 289 in IA

Livability — Burlington

Score
73/100
State rank
#287
US rank
#5540

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Burlington, IA
County
Des Moines County · 27,341 people
City population
27,341
Metro
Burlington, IA-IL
Population (ZIP)
27,341
Household income
$60,983
Rent vs Own
26.8% rent · 73.2% own
Severe rent burden
963.0

Population outlook (Des Moines County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,735 people
By 2030
39,257 · -1.2%
By 2040
38,090 · -4.1%
By 2050
37,156 · -6.5%
By 2075
36,905 · -7.1%
By 2100
37,222 · -6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Des Moines

2024 margin
R (+15.1) · D 41.8% · R 56.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-38.1pp toward R · 2008: 23.0pp · 2024: -15.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.1 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+7.0 2012: D+18.5 2008: D+23.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.48%
Current HPI
149.7662
Rent YoY
Metro
Burlington, IA-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-38.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $10,500 Muscatine BOR
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $11,500 Muscatine BOR
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $14,900 Muscatine BOR
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $17,000 Muscatine BOR

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $648 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…