🏷️ Likely Rental
39 W Farnum St · Lancaster, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cheap rental property in great shape. Motivated Sellers say. .. .. Bring Offers! Currently rented for $810/month. To show call Jennifer 717-380-9688
Key facts
- Interior space
- Full renovation
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land assessed separately from improvements
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: 100 Amp electric service; Natural gas available; Electric service available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Ownership is fee simple; Year built is estimated
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Foundation described as other
- Exterior features: Not located in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on the property
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (total)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area size is an estimate
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.2% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#71 in PA, #498 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-.
- Lancaster SD (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #500 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 292 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.59%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $279,956
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 W Farnum St | 0.00mi | 4/1.0 | 1,564 (0%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $86 | 100 |
| 529 Poplar St | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 | 1,560 (-0%) | 1mo | $283,000 | $181 | 78 |
| 524 Locust St | 0.22mi | 4/1.0 | 1,444 (-8%) | 1mo | $213,000 | $148 | 76 |
| 614 Saint Joseph St | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 | 1,632 (+4%) | 0mo | $184,000 | $113 | 73 |
| 114 N Charlotte St | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 | 1,492 (-5%) | 0mo | $345,000 | $231 | 68 |
| 614-1/2 Lafayette St | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 | 1,482 (-5%) | 0mo | $252,500 | $170 | 68 |
| 517 Saint Joseph St | 0.30mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,698 (+9%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $127 | 64 |
| 631 Rockland St | 0.56mi | 4/1.5 | 1,638 (+5%) | 1mo | $293,000 | $179 | 63 |
| 519 3rd St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,636 (+5%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $131 | 56 |
| 211 E Chestnut St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,429 (-9%) | 1mo | $330,000 | $231 | 52 |
| 409 W Lemon St | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,512 (-3%) | 1mo | $455,000 | $301 | 48 |
| 240 Coral St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,361 (-13%) | 1mo | $291,000 | $214 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $5,072
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $27,892
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17603
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,875 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $506
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 W Farnum St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1820 | $1,650 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 214 W Strawberry St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $1,345 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 549 Howard Ave Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1439 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 345 1/2 Beaver St Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1382 | $2,095 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 513 Poplar St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $1,695 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 118 N Prince St Lancaster, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1274 | $4,703 | $3.69 | 14d | 48 | 0.35mi |
| 609 Saint Joseph St Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $1,695 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 529 Manor St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,635 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 537 Woodward St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,650 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 14 Coral St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1355 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 708 S Lime St Unit 3 Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1742 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 741 Manor St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 403 N Queen St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $3,500 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 40 Fairview Ave Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 337 W Lemon St Unit 2 Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1588 | $1,895 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 678 1/2 Columbia Ave Apt 2 Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 520 W Frederick St Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1713 | $1,895 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 611 S West End Ave Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1589 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 738 E Madison St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 860 N Market St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1514 | $1,850 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 836 N Plum St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $2,150 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1121 Spring Grove Ave Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $2,200 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 631 E Frederick St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1830 | $1,850 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 135 Grandview Ave Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $3,295 | $2.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1330 Wabank Rd Lancaster, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1423 | $2,062 | $1.45 | 14d | 21 | 1.33mi |
| 204 Elmshire Dr Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1364 | $1,595 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 766 New Holland Ave Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,795 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 101 Roselawn Ave Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,785 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1415 Spencer Ave Lancaster, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1181 | $3,720 | $3.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 270 Kentshire Dr Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1512 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-05-18$139,000 Active
-
2022-03-18soldstatus $1,625,000
-
2014-12-05soldstatus $36,000 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Cheap rental property in great shape. Motivated Sellers say. .. .. Bring Offers! Currently rented for $810/month. To show call Jennifer 717-380-9688
-
2014-09-19$39,900 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Cheap rental property in great shape. Motivated Sellers say. .. .. Bring Offers! Currently rented for $810/month. To show call Jennifer 717-380-9688
-
2013-06-16historical
-
2012-12-05$54,895
-
2009-01-05soldstatus $41,000
-
2008-07-30historical
-
2007-11-09$46,900
-
2007-08-30historical
-
2006-10-02$54,900
-
2005-10-30historical
-
2005-07-20$59,900
-
1997-04-03soldstatus $29,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,260 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,260 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,496
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,260
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,800
- − Management
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $4,112
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$987
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,083/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lancaster SD
- NCES district ID
- 4213140
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,500
- Composite
- 15.52/100
- National rank
- #9301
- State rank
- #500 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lancaster
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lancaster, PA
- County
- Lancaster County · 390,309 people
- City population
- 176,170
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 67,571
- Household income
- $77,084
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2557.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 12% Black 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 1% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, India
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -508.78%
- Current HPI
- 289.3324
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.47%
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+377.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $139,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $1,625,000 Public Records
- 2014-12-05 Sold (MLS) $36,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-09-19 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-06-16 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-12-05 Listed $54,895 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-11-09 Listed $46,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-08-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-10-02 Listed $54,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-10-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-07-20 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $29,100 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,260 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…