CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2012 W Via Nuevo Leon
D- Composite 37.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0

$394,000

2012 W Via Nuevo Leon · Green Valley, AZ 85622
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,790 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 187 Days on market
Built 1994 0.26 ac lot Est $376k · at est. $50/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Popular Madera floor plan with counter height divider wall on the golf course gives you lots of elbow room and lots of potential to make this your dream home! Bright kitchen with expansive counter space and cabinetry looks out to the backyard and golf course area beyond. Smooth top range, refrigerator, dishwasher included. The kitchen nook is perfect for your everyday meals when you're not dining on the back patio! With a built-in BBQ you are bound to be spending lots of time outdoors. The front and back yards are both xeriscape for low maintenance. Inside there is NO carpet! ALL tile for those allergy sufferers! Vaulted ceilings give the living room/dining area a spacious feel. You can use the low southwestern accented island divider as an entertainment center or display cabinet. The master suite also features a vaulted ceiling and a ceiling fan. Two sinks in the master bath on a long vanity give you plenty of room for storage and a linen closet for towels and toiletries. No tub but who needs one! And if you do, there is one in the guest bath with a tub/shower combo. The large master walk-in closet is perfect for his 'n hers and comes with a built-in safe for your valued treasures. The bonus room off the laundry room and kitchen can be used for storage, a hobby room or computer room. Top of the line Kenmore washer/dryer are ready to go in the laundry room. The oversized 2 car garage also features additional storage closets and a workbench. You'll get a lot for your money when you buy this home! A coat of fresh paint inside is all you need to get started!

Key facts

  • Extra pergolas
  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Bbq space

Tags

LARGE FRONT COURTYARDVIEW OF SANTA RITA MTNSEXTRA PERGOLASBBQ SPACESUNSETTER SHADES BY REMOTEREMODELED KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of community with golf and sidewalks; HOA (San Ignacio Ridge Et) with annual fee of $50; HOA transfer fee $200; HOA includes common area maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Security: Wrought iron security door
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Phone connected; Solar PV electric system
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Level (accessible); Southeast-facing; Solar energy (PV system)
  • Construction: Frame with stucco exterior; Tile roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Gazebo; Wrought iron fencing; Decorative gravel; On golf course; North/South exposure; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas range; Microwave; Water softener
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Electric; Vaulted ceilings; High ceilings; Walk-in closets; Double pane windows; Solar screens; Wrought iron security door
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and dryer hookups; Stacked washer/dryer space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $394k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-198 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $359k (8.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $293k (25.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $293k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.5% in Green Valley — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#165 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Continental Elementary District (4416) (rural): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #72 of 249 in AZ (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Continental Elementary School (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #418 of 1,109 statewide, top 38%, 639 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $648 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($347k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $140k; list at $394k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $292,948 (25.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.69%
Cash-on-cash
-2.15%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$375,900
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1937 W Via Nuevo Leon 0.08mi 2/2.5 1,722 (-4%) 3mo $374,900 $218 86
1739 W Circulo De La Pinata 0.30mi 2/2.0 1,790 (0%) 2mo $285,000 $159 81
1964 W Calle Estio 0.21mi 2/2.5 1,722 (-4%) 6mo $370,000 $215 77
4156 S Constancia Ct 0.54mi 2/2.5 1,767 (-1%) 3mo $256,500 $145 69
4002 S Via Del Picamaderos 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,554 (-13%) 0mo $335,000 $216 67
4008 S Via Del Picamaderos 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,554 (-13%) 3mo $340,000 $219 65
1958 W Amblemorn Dr 0.69mi 2/2.0 1,850 (+3%) 0mo $328,800 $178 58
4751 S Longmore Dr 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,684 (-6%) 5mo $354,000 $210 51
4691 S Piccadilly Dr 0.63mi 2/2.0 2,026 (+13%) 0mo $358,000 $177 44
4715 S Piccadilly Dr 0.65mi 2/2.0 2,026 (+13%) 1mo $425,000 $210 43
4673 S Golden Arrow Dr 0.63mi 2/2.0 2,026 (+13%) 5mo $400,000 $197 40
4749 S Fairfax Dr 0.68mi 2/2.0 2,026 (+13%) 7mo $418,000 $206 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-21,143
Equity at exit
$117,657
10-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$20,198
Equity at exit
$144,050

Cash invested: $110,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85622

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,929 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,066
Tax from tax record
$232 /mo · $2,779/yr
Insurance
$164
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$615
Net cashflow
$-198

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,180
Max offer price $359,085
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$98,500
Closing costs
$11,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2017 W Via Nuevo Leon Green Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1554 $3,600 $2.32 23d 1 0.06mi
4579 S Camino del Tejon Green Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1725 $2,150 $1.25 11d 1 0.57mi
1924 W Demetrie Loop Unit 31 Green Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1356 $1,800 $1.33 23d 1 0.67mi
1410 W Hidden Crest Ct Green Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 2337 $2,195 $0.94 23d 1 0.83mi
1690 W Retorno de Manana Green Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1750 $1,695 $0.97 23d 1 1.16mi
1625 W Calle Hacienda Green Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1777 $1,995 $1.12 23d 1 1.19mi
3689 S Avenida de Encino Green Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1287 $1,650 $1.28 3d 1 1.28mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $394,000 Active 187 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $394,000 Active 186 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $394,000 Active 185 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $394,000 Active 184 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $394,000 Active 182 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $394,000 Active 179 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $394,000 Active 178 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $394,000 Active 177 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $394,000 Active 176 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $394,000 Active 172 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $394,000 Active 171 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $394,000 Active 170 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $394,000 Active 169 DOM
  14. 2026-04-16
    price $394,000
  15. 2025-12-23
    price $399,000
  16. 2025-12-12
    listed $387,000 Active
  17. 2014-01-21
    soldstatus $140,000 Closed 1582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1374 chars)

    Popular Madera floor plan with 2 bedrooms and 2 baths on the golf course gives you lots of elbow room and lots of potential to make this your dream home! Bright kitchen with expansive counter space and cabinetry looks out to the backyard and golf course area beyond. Range, refrigerator, dishwasher included. The kitchen nook is perfect for your everyday meals when you're not dining on the back patio! With a built-in BBQ you are bound to be spending lots of time outdoors. The front and back yards are both xeri-scape for low maintenance. Inside there is NO carpet! ALL tile floors! The master suite also features a vaulted ceiling and a ceiling fan. Two sinks in the master bath on a long vanity give you plenty of room for storage and a linen closet for towels and toiletries. No tub but who needs one! And if you do, there is one in the guest bath with a tub/shower combo. The large master walk-in closet is perfect for his 'n hers and comes with a built-in safe for your valued treasures. The bonus room off the laundry room and kitchen can be used for storage, a hobby room or computer room. Top of the line Kenmore washer/dryer are ready to go in the laundry room. The oversized 2 car garage also features additional storage closets and a workbench. You'll get a lot for your money when you buy this home! A coat of fresh paint inside is all you need to get started!

  18. 2014-01-21
    soldstatus $140,000 Closed 1374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1374 chars)

    Popular Madera floor plan with 2 bedrooms and 2 baths on the golf course gives you lots of elbow room and lots of potential to make this your dream home! Bright kitchen with expansive counter space and cabinetry looks out to the backyard and golf course area beyond. Range, refrigerator, dishwasher included. The kitchen nook is perfect for your everyday meals when you're not dining on the back patio! With a built-in BBQ you are bound to be spending lots of time outdoors. The front and back yards are both xeri-scape for low maintenance. Inside there is NO carpet! ALL tile floors! The master suite also features a vaulted ceiling and a ceiling fan. Two sinks in the master bath on a long vanity give you plenty of room for storage and a linen closet for towels and toiletries. No tub but who needs one! And if you do, there is one in the guest bath with a tub/shower combo. The large master walk-in closet is perfect for his 'n hers and comes with a built-in safe for your valued treasures. The bonus room off the laundry room and kitchen can be used for storage, a hobby room or computer room. Top of the line Kenmore washer/dryer are ready to go in the laundry room. The oversized 2 car garage also features additional storage closets and a workbench. You'll get a lot for your money when you buy this home! A coat of fresh paint inside is all you need to get started!

  19. 2014-01-21
    soldstatus $140,000
    Show marketing remark (1374 chars)

    Popular Madera floor plan with 2 bedrooms and 2 baths on the golf course gives you lots of elbow room and lots of potential to make this your dream home! Bright kitchen with expansive counter space and cabinetry looks out to the backyard and golf course area beyond. Range, refrigerator, dishwasher included. The kitchen nook is perfect for your everyday meals when you're not dining on the back patio! With a built-in BBQ you are bound to be spending lots of time outdoors. The front and back yards are both xeri-scape for low maintenance. Inside there is NO carpet! ALL tile floors! The master suite also features a vaulted ceiling and a ceiling fan. Two sinks in the master bath on a long vanity give you plenty of room for storage and a linen closet for towels and toiletries. No tub but who needs one! And if you do, there is one in the guest bath with a tub/shower combo. The large master walk-in closet is perfect for his 'n hers and comes with a built-in safe for your valued treasures. The bonus room off the laundry room and kitchen can be used for storage, a hobby room or computer room. Top of the line Kenmore washer/dryer are ready to go in the laundry room. The oversized 2 car garage also features additional storage closets and a workbench. You'll get a lot for your money when you buy this home! A coat of fresh paint inside is all you need to get started!

  20. 2014-01-07
    historical Active Contingent 1374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1374 chars)

    Popular Madera floor plan with 2 bedrooms and 2 baths on the golf course gives you lots of elbow room and lots of potential to make this your dream home! Bright kitchen with expansive counter space and cabinetry looks out to the backyard and golf course area beyond. Range, refrigerator, dishwasher included. The kitchen nook is perfect for your everyday meals when you're not dining on the back patio! With a built-in BBQ you are bound to be spending lots of time outdoors. The front and back yards are both xeri-scape for low maintenance. Inside there is NO carpet! ALL tile floors! The master suite also features a vaulted ceiling and a ceiling fan. Two sinks in the master bath on a long vanity give you plenty of room for storage and a linen closet for towels and toiletries. No tub but who needs one! And if you do, there is one in the guest bath with a tub/shower combo. The large master walk-in closet is perfect for his 'n hers and comes with a built-in safe for your valued treasures. The bonus room off the laundry room and kitchen can be used for storage, a hobby room or computer room. Top of the line Kenmore washer/dryer are ready to go in the laundry room. The oversized 2 car garage also features additional storage closets and a workbench. You'll get a lot for your money when you buy this home! A coat of fresh paint inside is all you need to get started!

  21. 2013-12-17
    price $149,900 1374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1374 chars)

    Popular Madera floor plan with 2 bedrooms and 2 baths on the golf course gives you lots of elbow room and lots of potential to make this your dream home! Bright kitchen with expansive counter space and cabinetry looks out to the backyard and golf course area beyond. Range, refrigerator, dishwasher included. The kitchen nook is perfect for your everyday meals when you're not dining on the back patio! With a built-in BBQ you are bound to be spending lots of time outdoors. The front and back yards are both xeri-scape for low maintenance. Inside there is NO carpet! ALL tile floors! The master suite also features a vaulted ceiling and a ceiling fan. Two sinks in the master bath on a long vanity give you plenty of room for storage and a linen closet for towels and toiletries. No tub but who needs one! And if you do, there is one in the guest bath with a tub/shower combo. The large master walk-in closet is perfect for his 'n hers and comes with a built-in safe for your valued treasures. The bonus room off the laundry room and kitchen can be used for storage, a hobby room or computer room. Top of the line Kenmore washer/dryer are ready to go in the laundry room. The oversized 2 car garage also features additional storage closets and a workbench. You'll get a lot for your money when you buy this home! A coat of fresh paint inside is all you need to get started!

  22. 2013-11-26
    price $155,000 1374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1374 chars)

    Popular Madera floor plan with 2 bedrooms and 2 baths on the golf course gives you lots of elbow room and lots of potential to make this your dream home! Bright kitchen with expansive counter space and cabinetry looks out to the backyard and golf course area beyond. Range, refrigerator, dishwasher included. The kitchen nook is perfect for your everyday meals when you're not dining on the back patio! With a built-in BBQ you are bound to be spending lots of time outdoors. The front and back yards are both xeri-scape for low maintenance. Inside there is NO carpet! ALL tile floors! The master suite also features a vaulted ceiling and a ceiling fan. Two sinks in the master bath on a long vanity give you plenty of room for storage and a linen closet for towels and toiletries. No tub but who needs one! And if you do, there is one in the guest bath with a tub/shower combo. The large master walk-in closet is perfect for his 'n hers and comes with a built-in safe for your valued treasures. The bonus room off the laundry room and kitchen can be used for storage, a hobby room or computer room. Top of the line Kenmore washer/dryer are ready to go in the laundry room. The oversized 2 car garage also features additional storage closets and a workbench. You'll get a lot for your money when you buy this home! A coat of fresh paint inside is all you need to get started!

  23. 2013-11-08
    listed $165,000 Active 1374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1374 chars)

    Popular Madera floor plan with 2 bedrooms and 2 baths on the golf course gives you lots of elbow room and lots of potential to make this your dream home! Bright kitchen with expansive counter space and cabinetry looks out to the backyard and golf course area beyond. Range, refrigerator, dishwasher included. The kitchen nook is perfect for your everyday meals when you're not dining on the back patio! With a built-in BBQ you are bound to be spending lots of time outdoors. The front and back yards are both xeri-scape for low maintenance. Inside there is NO carpet! ALL tile floors! The master suite also features a vaulted ceiling and a ceiling fan. Two sinks in the master bath on a long vanity give you plenty of room for storage and a linen closet for towels and toiletries. No tub but who needs one! And if you do, there is one in the guest bath with a tub/shower combo. The large master walk-in closet is perfect for his 'n hers and comes with a built-in safe for your valued treasures. The bonus room off the laundry room and kitchen can be used for storage, a hobby room or computer room. Top of the line Kenmore washer/dryer are ready to go in the laundry room. The oversized 2 car garage also features additional storage closets and a workbench. You'll get a lot for your money when you buy this home! A coat of fresh paint inside is all you need to get started!

  24. 1995-03-28
    soldstatus $171,846

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,779 · $232/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,779 · $232/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,154
− Mortgage interest
−$22,070
− Property taxes
−$2,779
− Insurance
−$1,970
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,812
− Management
−$2,812
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$11,462
Taxable loss
−$9,352
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,244
After-tax cash flow
$-127/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Continental Elementary District (4416)
NCES district ID
0402250
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$48,475
Composite
33.08/100
National rank
#5565
State rank
#72 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Green Valley

Score
61/100
State rank
#165
US rank
#18276

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Green Valley, AZ
City population
25,381
Population (ZIP)
6,345

Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,066,056 people
By 2030
1,086,684 · +1.9%
By 2040
1,117,160 · +4.8%
By 2050
1,149,778 · +7.9%
By 2075
1,271,480 · +19.3%
By 2100
1,321,160 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 5% Portuguese 4%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pima

2024 margin
D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.16%
Current HPI
225.8384
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $394,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $399,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $387,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2014-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2014-01-21 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2014-01-21 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2014-01-07 Contingent MLSSAZ
  • 2013-12-17 Price Changed $149,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2013-11-26 Price Changed $155,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2013-11-08 Listed $165,000 MLSSAZ
  • 1995-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $171,846 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,779 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…