418 College St · Luxora, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Investment Opportunity in Luxora: Discover this charming property located in a quiet area of Luxora. Situated on a large lot, this home offers excellent potential as an investment or rental property. KEY FEATURES: 3 Bedrooms/1 Bathroom (adjust based on actual layout) Central Heat and Air for year round comfort Spacious covered front porch-perfect for relaxing 1-car carport for convenient covered parking
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Central heat and air
- Large lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered parking space; 1 garage space (garage present); Total of 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Paved road access; No patio or porch
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet flooring; Fixer condition
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#138 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Rivercrest School District #57 (rural): math 32% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #128 of 238 in AR (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Mississippi County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Mississippi County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.58%
- DSCR
- 3.38
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $43,368
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 Poplar St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-10%) | 11mo | $39,000 | $39 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.28×
- Total profit
- $36,590
- Equity at exit
- $17,941
- IRR
- 58.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.68×
- Total profit
- $85,761
- Equity at exit
- $27,649
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72358
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $980 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $598/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $499
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $39,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $39,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-04-07status Active
-
2025-09-26$39,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,765
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$598
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$941
- − Management
- −$941
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $5,689
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,365
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,620/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rivercrest School District #57
- NCES district ID
- 0500045
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,115
- Composite
- 28.4/100
- National rank
- #6764
- State rank
- #128 of 238 in AR
Livability — Luxora
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #12358
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Luxora, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,363
Population outlook (Mississippi County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,959 people
- By 2030
- 36,401 · -6.6%
- By 2040
- 31,526 · -19.1%
- By 2050
- 27,058 · -30.5%
- By 2075
- 17,847 · -54.2%
- By 2100
- 11,024 · -71.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mississippi
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.4% · R 65.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.4pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+22.2 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+1.1 2008: R+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — EARA
- 2025-09-26 Listed $39,900 EARA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…