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418 College St
B+ Composite 77.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$39,900

418 College St · Luxora, AR 72358
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,112 sqft · SingleFamily · 170 Days on market
Built 1987 10,018 sqft lot Est $43k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great Investment Opportunity in Luxora: Discover this charming property located in a quiet area of Luxora. Situated on a large lot, this home offers excellent potential as an investment or rental property. KEY FEATURES: 3 Bedrooms/1 Bathroom (adjust based on actual layout) Central Heat and Air for year round comfort Spacious covered front porch-perfect for relaxing 1-car carport for convenient covered parking

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Central heat and air
  • Large lot

Tags

LARGE LOTCENTRAL HEAT AND AIRCOVERED FRONT PORCH1 CAR CARPORTOUTDOOR LIVING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered parking space; 1 garage space (garage present); Total of 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; No patio or porch

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Carpet flooring; Fixer condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#138 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rivercrest School District #57 (rural): math 32% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #128 of 238 in AR (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Mississippi County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mississippi County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $35,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.46%
Cap rate
21.29%
Cash-on-cash
53.58%
DSCR
3.38
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$43,368
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310 Poplar St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-10%) 11mo $39,000 $39 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.6%
Equity multiple
4.28×
Total profit
$36,590
Equity at exit
$17,941
10-year hold
IRR
58.2%
Equity multiple
8.68×
Total profit
$85,761
Equity at exit
$27,649

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72358

Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$980 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $598/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$499

Break-even live

Break-even rent $349
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 170 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 169 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 168 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 167 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 165 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,900 Active 162 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 161 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 160 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 159 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,900 Active 155 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,900 Active 154 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,900 Active 153 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 152 DOM
  14. 2026-04-07
    status Active
  15. 2025-09-26
    listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,765
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$598
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$941
− Management
−$941
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$5,689
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,365
After-tax cash flow
$4,620/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rivercrest School District #57
NCES district ID
0500045
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$34,115
Composite
28.4/100
National rank
#6764
State rank
#128 of 238 in AR

Livability — Luxora

Score
66/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#12358

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Luxora, AR
Population (ZIP)
1,363

Population outlook (Mississippi County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,959 people
By 2030
36,401 · -6.6%
By 2040
31,526 · -19.1%
By 2050
27,058 · -30.5%
By 2075
17,847 · -54.2%
By 2100
11,024 · -71.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mississippi

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.4% · R 65.0% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-29.4pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+22.2 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+1.1 2008: R+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted EARA
  • 2025-09-26 Listed $39,900 EARA

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…