301 Boyd Loop · Bonham, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Older Home has served as a rental unit for many years, could be continued as a rental unit or would make someone a nice home. Great Corner Lot, Appears to have the original wood floors, several carports that could be used for outside covered patio. Call for Apointment
Key facts
- Original wood floors
- Corner lot
- Several carports
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.2% in Bonham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#785 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Bonham ISD (town): math 37% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #477 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Finley-Oates El (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 533 students, 73% FRL); Evans El (math 41% / reading 33%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 374 students, 69% FRL); Bonham H S (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #963 of 1,632 statewide, top 61%, 548 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: 278 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 82 units permitted in Fannin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fannin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.66%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,860
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -27.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1711 Oriental St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 1,032 (+10%) | 2mo | $118,000 | $114 | 66 |
| 250 Victory St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-13%) | 15mo | $154,999 | $190 | 61 |
| 1905 N Main St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-4%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $144 | 61 |
| 1409 Lynn St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 893 (-5%) | 6mo | $79,000 | $88 | 61 |
| 1717 N Main St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-8%) | 20mo | $75,000 | $87 | 58 |
| 1912 Liberty St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-4%) | 16mo | $107,000 | $119 | 57 |
| 309 Fannin Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-10%) | 21mo | $145,000 | $173 | 47 |
| 1208 Pecan St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 987 (+5%) | 18mo | $187,400 | $190 | 47 |
| 903 E 10th St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,038 (+11%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $53 | 39 |
| 2308 N Main St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 990 (+6%) | 23mo | $210,000 | $212 | 37 |
| 1905 Liberty St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,023 (+9%) | 20mo | $189,255 | $185 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,006
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $18,454
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75418
- Home prices YoY
- -8.9%
- Active inventory
- 278
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,255 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,546/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $246
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $307 | -5% $276 | +0% $246 | +5% $215 | +10% $184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $146 | -5% $196 | +0% $246 | +5% $295 | +10% $345 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $300 | -0.5pp $273 | base $246 | +0.5pp $217 | +1.0pp $189 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229 E Evans Ave Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,264 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1803 Franklin St Unit 1 Bonham, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1624 Cedar St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 317 Jones St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 708 Union Ave Bonham, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $109,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-24status Active 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
Older Home has served as a rental unit for many years, could be continued as a rental unit or would make someone a nice home. Great Corner Lot, Appears to have the original wood floors, several carports that could be used for outside covered patio. Call for Apointment
-
2026-04-20historical Active Option Contract 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
Older Home has served as a rental unit for many years, could be continued as a rental unit or would make someone a nice home. Great Corner Lot, Appears to have the original wood floors, several carports that could be used for outside covered patio. Call for Apointment
-
2026-03-31$109,000 Active 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
Older Home has served as a rental unit for many years, could be continued as a rental unit or would make someone a nice home. Great Corner Lot, Appears to have the original wood floors, several carports that could be used for outside covered patio. Call for Apointment
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,546 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,995 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- +$449/yr (+$37/mo · 29.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,060
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,546
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,205
- − Management
- −$1,205
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $1,283
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$308
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,639/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bonham ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4810800
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,740
- Composite
- 31.63/100
- National rank
- #5937
- State rank
- #477 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bonham
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #785
- US rank
- #14360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bonham, TX
- County
- Fannin County · 15,155 people
- City population
- 15,155
- Metro
- Bonham, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,155
- Household income
- $68,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 281.0
Population outlook (Fannin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,423 people
- By 2030
- 33,035 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 32,250 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 31,462 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 29,447 · -11.9%
- By 2100
- 25,459 · -23.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 10% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Fannin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.4) · D 15.9% · R 83.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.8pp toward R · 2008: -39.6pp · 2024: -67.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.4 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+52.5 2008: R+39.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -25.59%
- Current HPI
- 262.7177
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bonham, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-04-20 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $109,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,546 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…