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116 E 12th St
B- Composite 68.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$68,000

116 E 12th St · Colorado City, TX 79512
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 152 Days on market
Built 1945 6,970 sqft lot $42/sqft · 47% above area Est $46k · 47% over ↓ 45% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home with tons of curb appeal. With over 1,600 sqft, it offers great space along with a split floor plan for the added privacy if you have kids at home or guest over. This home has had several great updates completed over the years like cabinetry, counter tops, fixtures, some flooring as well as exterior siding and windows. There is a huge metal storage building out back for extra space that can be used as a shop area or even could be converted to a bonus room. This property is being sold 'as is. '

Key facts

  • Split floor plan
  • 6,970 sq ft lot
  • Parking

Tags

SPLIT FLOOR PLANMETAL STORAGE BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#355 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Colorado ISD (town): math 37% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #508 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Colorado El And Middle (math 35% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 708 students, 63% FRL); Colorado H S (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 227 students, 65% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($470 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
  • Mitchell County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,840 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.98%
Cap rate
14.19%
Cash-on-cash
28.21%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$46,221
List price
$68,000
Delta
47.12%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
845 Locust St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,406 (-13%) 2mo $29,999 $21 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.6%
Equity multiple
3.20×
Total profit
$41,882
Equity at exit
$35,965
10-year hold
IRR
35.4%
Equity multiple
6.43×
Total profit
$103,412
Equity at exit
$60,043

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79512

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,349 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax from tax record
$233 /mo · $2,799/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$448

Break-even live

Break-even rent $782
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $486 -5% $467 +0% $448 +5% $428 +10% $409
Rent -10% $341 -5% $394 +0% $448 +5% $501 +10% $554
Rate -1.0pp $482 -0.5pp $465 base $448 +0.5pp $430 +1.0pp $412

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $68,000 Active 152 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $68,000 Active 151 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $68,000 Active 150 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,000 Active 148 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,000 Active 147 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,000 Active 146 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,000 Active 145 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $68,000 Active 143 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $68,000 Active 142 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $68,000 Active 139 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 138 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 137 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 135 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 133 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 132 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 131 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 130 DOM
  18. 2026-05-08
    price $79,900 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    A 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home with tons of curb appeal. With over 1,600 sqft, it offers great space along with a split floor plan for the added privacy if you have kids at home or guest over. This home has had several great updates completed over the years like cabinetry, counter tops, fixtures, some flooring as well as exterior siding and windows. There is a huge metal storage building out back for extra space that can be used as a shop area or even could be converted to a bonus room. This property is being sold 'as is. '

  19. 2026-04-08
    price $99,500 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    A 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home with tons of curb appeal. With over 1,600 sqft, it offers great space along with a split floor plan for the added privacy if you have kids at home or guest over. This home has had several great updates completed over the years like cabinetry, counter tops, fixtures, some flooring as well as exterior siding and windows. There is a huge metal storage building out back for extra space that can be used as a shop area or even could be converted to a bonus room. This property is being sold 'as is. '

  20. 2026-03-11
    price $114,900 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    A 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home with tons of curb appeal. With over 1,600 sqft, it offers great space along with a split floor plan for the added privacy if you have kids at home or guest over. This home has had several great updates completed over the years like cabinetry, counter tops, fixtures, some flooring as well as exterior siding and windows. There is a huge metal storage building out back for extra space that can be used as a shop area or even could be converted to a bonus room. This property is being sold 'as is. '

  21. 2026-02-24
    price $129,900 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    A 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home with tons of curb appeal. With over 1,600 sqft, it offers great space along with a split floor plan for the added privacy if you have kids at home or guest over. This home has had several great updates completed over the years like cabinetry, counter tops, fixtures, some flooring as well as exterior siding and windows. There is a huge metal storage building out back for extra space that can be used as a shop area or even could be converted to a bonus room. This property is being sold 'as is. '

  22. 2026-01-21
    listed $144,000 Active 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    A 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home with tons of curb appeal. With over 1,600 sqft, it offers great space along with a split floor plan for the added privacy if you have kids at home or guest over. This home has had several great updates completed over the years like cabinetry, counter tops, fixtures, some flooring as well as exterior siding and windows. There is a huge metal storage building out back for extra space that can be used as a shop area or even could be converted to a bonus room. This property is being sold 'as is. '

  23. 2023-03-06
    soldstatus
  24. 2016-10-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,799 · $233/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,799 · $233/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,190
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$2,799
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,295
− Management
−$1,295
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$4,674
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,122
After-tax cash flow
$4,250/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colorado ISD
NCES district ID
4814640
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
30.41/100
National rank
#6249
State rank
#508 of 826 in TX

Livability — Colorado City

Score
70/100
State rank
#355
US rank
#7722

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Colorado City, TX
Population (ZIP)
7,672

Population outlook (Mitchell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,476 people
By 2030
8,723 · +2.9%
By 2040
9,046 · +6.7%
By 2050
9,200 · +8.5%
By 2075
8,936 · +5.4%
By 2100
7,978 · -5.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 20% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 18% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mitchell

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.3) · D 14.0% · R 85.3%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -50.5pp · 2024: -71.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.3 2020: R+68.8 2016: R+65.2 2012: R+52.7 2008: R+50.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.37%
Current HPI
99.8822
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-44.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $79,900 PBBOR
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $99,500 PBBOR
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $114,900 PBBOR
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $129,900 PBBOR
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $144,000 PBBOR
  • 2023-03-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-10-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,799 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…