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1307 S Harlan Ave
B+ Composite 78.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$58,000

1307 S Harlan Ave · Evansville, IN 47714
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 260 Days on market
Built 1925 4,356 sqft lot Est $91k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment Opportunity – Located in Evansville's East Side Just Blocks away from Bosse High School, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home offers 700 sq ft of potential. A covered, screened-in porch welcomes you and provides a potential great spot to relax. Inside, the layout is simple and efficient, ready for your updates and personal touch. The decent-sized backyard is perfect for outdoor projects, gardening, or entertaining. The yard backs up to Hwy 41. This property needs updating and TLC and is being sold AS-IS—seller will make no repairs. Whether you’re an investor seeking your next rental or a buyer looking for a renovation project, this home is priced with its condition in mind and full of possibilities.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1925
  • Listed 260 days

Tags

COVERED SCREENED-IN PORCHDECENT-SIZED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximate above-grade finished area: 700

Exterior

  • Parking: No dedicated parking listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 130

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 4
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Other
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Washer and dryer included; Electric range; Hardwood and other flooring; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (washer and dryer)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($958 rent vs $58k).
  • Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Harper Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #697 of 994 statewide, top 73%, 337 students, 74% FRL); Washington Middle School (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 330 statewide, top 83%, 353 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 50% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 260 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,040 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 260 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
13.23%
Cash-on-cash
24.79%
DSCR
2.10
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1315 Marshall Ave 0.12mi 2/1.0 659 (-6%) 1mo $82,500 $125 83
1119 Brookside Dr 0.29mi 2/1.0 724 (+3%) 0mo $107,000 $148 80
1116 S Harlan Ave 0.17mi 2/1.0 630 (-10%) 4mo $82,000 $130 72
1401 Jackson Ave 0.21mi 2/1.0 768 (+10%) 5mo $111,000 $145 70
1909 Taylor Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 696 (-1%) 3mo $96,000 $138 67
1605 Ravenswood Dr 0.42mi 2/1.0 752 (+7%) 4mo $70,000 $93 65
1407 Waggoner Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 775 (+11%) 1mo $94,500 $122 64
1505 Jackson Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 780 (+11%) 4mo $38,750 $50 63
1807 Waggoner Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 720 (+3%) 6mo $90,000 $125 62
1254 Maple Ct 0.60mi 2/1.0 725 (+4%) 6mo $115,000 $159 61
2013 S New York Ave 0.74mi 1/1.0 (-1) 700 (0%) 2mo $35,000 $50 58
637 Jackson Ave 0.71mi 2/1.5 800 (+14%) 1mo $119,900 $150 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$16,914
Equity at exit
$8,648
10-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
4.98×
Total profit
$64,665
Equity at exit
$5,015

Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47714

Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$958 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$304
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,120/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$336

Break-even live

Break-even rent $534
Max offer price $58,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,500
Closing costs
$1,740
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1500 S Harlan Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 712 $900 $1.26 13d 1 0.12mi
1909 Taylor Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 13d 1 0.62mi
507 S Evans Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 21d 1 1.05mi
2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2210-104 Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 631 $785 $1.24 21d 1 1.10mi
1231 Culver Dr Unit C Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 575 $625 $1.09 21d 1 1.13mi
538 S Spring St Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 500 $850 $1.70 21d 1 1.14mi
1407 Howard St Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 483 $725 $1.50 21d 1 1.24mi
1440 E Division St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 689 $1,250 $1.81 13d 1 1.29mi
8 E Blackford Ave Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $825 $1.10 21d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $58,000 Active 260 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $58,000 Active 259 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $58,000 Active 258 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $58,000 Active 257 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $58,000 Active 255 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $58,000 Active 254 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $58,000 Active 252 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $58,000 Active 251 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $58,000 Active 250 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $58,000 Active 249 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $58,000 Active 244 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $58,000 Active 243 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,000 Active 242 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $58,000 Active 241 DOM
  15. 2025-10-01
    listed $58,000 Active 743-char remark
    Show marketing remark (743 chars)

    Investment Opportunity – Located in Evansville's East Side Just Blocks away from Bosse High School, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home offers 700 sq ft of potential. A covered, screened-in porch welcomes you and provides a potential great spot to relax. Inside, the layout is simple and efficient, ready for your updates and personal touch. The decent-sized backyard is perfect for outdoor projects, gardening, or entertaining. The yard backs up to Hwy 41. This property needs updating and TLC and is being sold AS-IS—seller will make no repairs. Whether you’re an investor seeking your next rental or a buyer looking for a renovation project, this home is priced with its condition in mind and full of possibilities.

  16. 2025-10-01
    listed $58,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (743 chars)

    Investment Opportunity – Located in Evansville's East Side Just Blocks away from Bosse High School, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home offers 700 sq ft of potential. A covered, screened-in porch welcomes you and provides a potential great spot to relax. Inside, the layout is simple and efficient, ready for your updates and personal touch. The decent-sized backyard is perfect for outdoor projects, gardening, or entertaining. The yard backs up to Hwy 41. This property needs updating and TLC and is being sold AS-IS—seller will make no repairs. Whether you’re an investor seeking your next rental or a buyer looking for a renovation project, this home is priced with its condition in mind and full of possibilities.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,120 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,120 · $93/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,501
− Mortgage interest
−$3,249
− Property taxes
−$1,120
− Insurance
−$290
− Repairs & maintenance
−$920
− Management
−$920
− Depreciation
−$1,687
Taxable income
$3,315
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$796
After-tax cash flow
$3,230/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
32,132
Household income
$55,910
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1394.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 17% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.80%
Current HPI
211.1755
Rent YoY
▲ 7.86%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $58,000 IRMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $58,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,120 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…