10767 Jamacha Blvd Spc 39 · Spring Valley, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.3/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
UNBELIVABLE PRICE!!!! SELLER GIVING IT AWAY!!!. BEAUTIFUL MOBIL-HOME IN A MOVE IN READY CONDITION. Park has a great pool and clubhouse. Couch, TV , Table, 3 sheds and hot tub convey. Buyer must be responsible for June Park fee ($994) YOU WILL NOT HAVE ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY LIKE THIS, PERIOD!!! offer must be cash, sale is AS-IS, Proof of funds required when submitting offer. [Supplement]: Domus, 1971 double wide. Fully equiped Gym; Community Pool and fitness center
Key facts
- Renovated bathrooms
- Community amenities
- Updated cabinetry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size reported from public records (0–1 unit/acre)
- HOA & community: Land lease community — monthly land lease of $1,670
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Lamplighter Village
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story property; Front entry
- Exterior features: Community pool; Has a view; Curbed streets
Interior
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms located on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling
- Interior features: All bedrooms on the ground level; Front entry; One-level home; Central cooling
- Laundry & utility: Laundry available (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $250k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.9% in Spring Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#627 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, employment A, housing B+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Grossmont Union High (suburban): math 31% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #173 of 517 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $5k; list at $250k implies a 4900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.49%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $219,648
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10767 Jamacha Blvd Spc 62 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,540 (+0%) | 2mo | $219,000 | $142 | 93 |
| 10767 Jamacha Blvd #255 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-6%) | 14mo | $230,000 | $160 | 73 |
| 10767 Jamacha Blvd #88 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-6%) | 16mo | $193,000 | $134 | 72 |
| 10767 Jamacha Blvd #139 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-5%) | 20mo | $260,000 | $179 | 70 |
| 10767 Jamacha Blvd Spc 68 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,325 (-14%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $128 | 64 |
| 10767 Jamacha Blvd #145 | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-6%) | 24mo | $230,000 | $160 | 64 |
| 10767 Jamacha Blvd #122 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (-11%) | 18mo | $212,500 | $155 | 62 |
| 10767 Jamacha Blvd Spc 147 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,325 (-14%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $143 | 60 |
| 10770 Jamacha Blvd #58 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-11%) | 21mo | $80,000 | $58 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $31,951
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $121,281
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91978
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,626 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$761
- Net cashflow
- $1,137
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,310 | -5% $1,223 | +0% $1,137 | +5% $1,050 | +10% $964 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $850 | -5% $994 | +0% $1,137 | +5% $1,280 | +10% $1,423 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,263 | -0.5pp $1,200 | base $1,137 | +0.5pp $1,072 | +1.0pp $1,006 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2912 Anawood Way Spring Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $3,100 | $2.93 | 0d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2615 Babaco St Spring Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1859 | $5,500 | $2.96 | 0d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 10108 Calle Marinero Spring Valley, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1038 | $2,525 | $2.43 | 2d | 3 | 0.72mi |
| 3265 Sweetwater Springs Blvd Spring Valley, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 969 | $2,872 | $2.96 | 2d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2758 Lake Pointe Dr Spring Valley, CA | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1484 | $3,341 | $2.25 | 0d | 2 | 0.94mi |
| 10423 Madrid Way Spring Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 8d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,999 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$249,999 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,512
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$3,750
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,481
- − Management
- −$3,481
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable income
- $10,274
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,466
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,177/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grossmont Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0616230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,801
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3810
- State rank
- #173 of 517 in CA
Livability — Spring Valley
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #627
- US rank
- #19882
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spring Valley, CA
- City population
- 61,064
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,511
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 19% Black 11% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 4% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 30% Arabic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -341.95%
- Current HPI
- 330.6808
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+3471.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $249,999 CRMLS
- 2010-06-15 Sold (MLS) $5,000 CRMLS
- 2010-06-04 Price Changed $7,000 SDMLS
- 2010-03-14 Price Changed $15,000 SDMLS
- 2010-03-14 Price Changed $30,000 SDMLS
- 2010-03-09 Price Changed $15,000 SDMLS
- 2010-01-20 Listed $7,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-5.3%/yrLatest (2013): $274 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…