2201 Lincoln St · Williamsport, PA 17701

$125,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,076 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market

Built 1905 7,405 sqft lot ↓ 17% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +23.1/30.0
• 1% rule +7.7/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.4/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Jaysburg brick 2-story with over 3000 sq. ft. of living space. This is a very solid home with 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. Most recently it was used as a duplex and has a full kitchen on the 2nd floor. There is no separation from the 1st floor so it could be used as a single family home with no modifications. Hardwood floors throughout. Very nice front porch and large lot. The home needs updated, but is priced aggressively for single family use or the investor.

Key facts

• Front porch
• Large lot
• Hardwood floors

Tags

• BRICK 2-STORY
• FULL KITCHEN ON 2ND FLOOR
• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• FRONT PORCH
• LARGE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No designated parking
• Utilities: Public water; Electric with circuit breakers
• Home design: Residential property; Located in the Newberry subdivision; R2 zoning
• Construction: Frame construction with aluminum and vinyl siding; Stone foundation; See remarks (additional construction details)
• Exterior features: Level lot; Shingle roof

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Total of 9 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
• Flooring: Wood flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Hot water heating; No cooling system
• Interior features: Refrigerator; Dryer; Wood flooring; Full basement with exterior entry and walk-up access
• Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Laundry on upper level; Dryer

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
• Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.6% in Williamsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#523 in PA, #4,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
• Williamsport Area SD (urban): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #349 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $117,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.27% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.46%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.72%
• DSCR: 1.34
• GRM: 6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -2.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.90×
• Total profit: $-3,456
• Equity at exit: $18,638

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.74×
• Total profit: $25,805
• Equity at exit: $10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 17701

• Rents YoY: 4.4%
• Active inventory: 188
• Price-to-rent: 6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,593 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax from tax record: −$326 /mo · $3,907/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$335
• Net cashflow: $225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,308

Max offer price $125,000

Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,250
• Closing costs: $3,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-04-26
   historical Active Under Contract
2. 2026-04-22
   price $125,000
3. 2026-03-23
   listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $3,907 · $326/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,907 · $326/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,115
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,002
• − Property taxes: −$3,907
• − Insurance: −$625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,529
• − Management: −$1,529
• − Depreciation: −$3,636
• Taxable income: $887
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$213
• After-tax cash flow: $2,490/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Williamsport Area SD
• NCES district ID: 4226460
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -12.00%
• Median HH income: $38,637
• Composite: 34.63/100
• National rank: #5150
• State rank: #349 of 539 in PA

Livability — Williamsport

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #523
• US rank: #4841

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Williamsport, PA
• County: Lycoming County · 43,104 people
• City population: 43,104
• Metro: Williamsport, PA
• Population (ZIP): 43,104
• Household income: $53,237
• Rent vs Own: 45.4% rent · 54.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 2178.0

Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 114,164 people
• By 2030: 112,221 · -1.7%
• By 2040: 107,613 · -5.7%
• By 2050: 102,950 · -9.8%
• By 2075: 92,987 · -18.5%
• By 2100: 80,924 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -142.61%
• Current HPI: 216.7203
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.43%
• Metro: Williamsport, PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

-16.7% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-26 Contingent — WBVAR
• 2026-04-22 Price Changed $125,000 WBVAR
• 2026-03-23 Listed $150,000 WBVAR

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,907 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.