8 Quail 8 · Rochester Hills, MI 48309

$41,499

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured · 24 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to our Age 55+ senior living community! Lovely 2 Bed/2 full bath home near the front of our community, close to Clubhouse activities, fitness room, billiards room, lending library, and a short walk to the dog park! Modern kitchen cabinetry, laundry/mud room, and primary bedroom ensuite! The GREAT ROOM is large enough for over-sized furniture and has a feature wall for your big screen TV! Central A/C. Shed on site (Add $50/mo).

Key facts

• Dog park
• Laundry mud room
• Billiards room

Tags

• FITNESS ROOM
• BILLIARDS ROOM
• LENDING LIBRARY
• DOG PARK
• MODERN KITCHEN CABINETRY
• LAUNDRY MUD ROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $41k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $862 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $41k).
• Recommended offer: $41k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 31.2% vs local median 3.2% in Rochester Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#127 in MI, #3,163 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
• Avondale School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #162 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 149 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $287 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $40,876 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.50% ✓
• Cap rate: 31.22%
• Cash-on-cash: 89.01%
• DSCR: 4.96
• GRM: 2.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 89.6%
• Equity multiple: 5.15×
• Total profit: $48,192
• Equity at exit: $6,188

10-year hold

• IRR: 92.6%
• Equity multiple: 10.70×
• Total profit: $112,740
• Equity at exit: $3,588

Cash invested: $11,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48309

• Active inventory: 149
• Price-to-rent: 2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,454 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$218
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$52 /mo · $622/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$305
• Net cashflow: $862

Break-even live

Break-even rent $363

Max offer price $41,499

Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,375
• Closing costs: $1,245
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2600 W Auburn Rd Rochester Hills, MI	2.0–3.0	2.0	1264	$1,309	$1.04	5d	1	0.05mi
2900 W Hamlin Rd Rochester Hills, MI	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1248	$2,678	$2.14	1d	40	0.95mi
2450 Norfolk Unit 4104 Rochester Hills, MI	1.0	1.0	1000	$1,590	$1.59	21d	1	0.98mi
3280 S Adams Rd Auburn Hills, MI	2.0	1.0	780	$1,426	$1.83	2d	2	1.33mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-12
   price $41,499 389-char remark
2. 2026-05-06
   listed $40,499 Active 389-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,448
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,325
• − Property taxes: −$622
• − Insurance: −$207
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,396
• − Management: −$1,396
• − Depreciation: −$1,207
• Taxable income: $10,295
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,471
• After-tax cash flow: $7,872/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in a senior living community is in good condition with modern finishes and central A/C. It's ready for move-in and offers a great value with potential for minor exterior and interior updates to enhance curb appeal and comfort.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Replace carpet in living areas — Fresh carpet improves comfort and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Replace carpet in living areas — Fresh carpet improves comfort and value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Avondale School District
• NCES district ID: 2603690
• Math proficiency: 34% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $71,549
• Composite: 37.33/100
• National rank: #4442
• State rank: #162 of 540 in MI

Livability — Rochester Hills

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #127
• US rank: #3163

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Rochester Hills, MI
• City population: 44,714
• Population (ZIP): 30,254

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,335,747 people
• By 2030: 1,375,100 · +2.9%
• By 2040: 1,435,385 · +7.5%
• By 2050: 1,469,250 · +10.0%
• By 2075: 1,531,946 · +14.7%
• By 2100: 1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Asian 12% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 10% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
• Foreign-born: 19% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 80% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

• 2024 margin: D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -136.99%
• Current HPI: 201.9197
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B