1834 Ellis St · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this great 3 bed 2 bath manufactured home that is well taken care of and ready for a new owner. It has been updated tastefully and includes: granite counters, updated flooring and stainless steel appliances. The layout is great and has split bedrooms and large living/kitchen areas. Check out the pics and schedule your showing today!!!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Functional kitchen
- Spacious lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Interior lot on a paved, public-maintained city street; Lot approximately 0.3 acres
- HOA & community: No community features
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Updated/remodeled
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Chain-link fencing; Shingle roof; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Granite counters; Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $134k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $427 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Holiman El (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 361 students, 62% FRL); Lincoln Middle (math 19% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 844 students, 78% FRL); Lake View H S (math 6% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,085 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 53% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $930 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.62%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $5,450
- Equity at exit
- $20,054
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $39,892
- Equity at exit
- $11,629
Cash invested: $37,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76905
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,713 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$705
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,971/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $427
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,625
- Closing costs
- $4,035
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318 Montague Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 20d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 15 N Bell St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1288 | $1,850 | $1.44 | 20d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2308 Carley St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 985 | $1,102 | $1.12 | 20d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1173 Benedict Dr San Angelo, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $1,660 | $1.91 | 20d | 10 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-18$134,500 Active
-
2023-10-20soldstatus Closed 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Check out this great 3 bed 2 bath manufactured home that is well taken care of and ready for a new owner. It has been updated tastefully and includes: granite counters, updated flooring and stainless steel appliances. The layout is great and has split bedrooms and large living/kitchen areas. Check out the pics and schedule your showing today!!!
-
2023-10-20soldstatus
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Check out this great 3 bed 2 bath manufactured home that is well taken care of and ready for a new owner. It has been updated tastefully and includes: granite counters, updated flooring and stainless steel appliances. The layout is great and has split bedrooms and large living/kitchen areas. Check out the pics and schedule your showing today!!!
-
2023-10-03status Pending 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Check out this great 3 bed 2 bath manufactured home that is well taken care of and ready for a new owner. It has been updated tastefully and includes: granite counters, updated flooring and stainless steel appliances. The layout is great and has split bedrooms and large living/kitchen areas. Check out the pics and schedule your showing today!!!
-
2023-09-14status Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Check out this great 3 bed 2 bath manufactured home that is well taken care of and ready for a new owner. It has been updated tastefully and includes: granite counters, updated flooring and stainless steel appliances. The layout is great and has split bedrooms and large living/kitchen areas. Check out the pics and schedule your showing today!!!
-
2023-08-28status Pending 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Check out this great 3 bed 2 bath manufactured home that is well taken care of and ready for a new owner. It has been updated tastefully and includes: granite counters, updated flooring and stainless steel appliances. The layout is great and has split bedrooms and large living/kitchen areas. Check out the pics and schedule your showing today!!!
-
2023-08-24$125,000 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Check out this great 3 bed 2 bath manufactured home that is well taken care of and ready for a new owner. It has been updated tastefully and includes: granite counters, updated flooring and stainless steel appliances. The layout is great and has split bedrooms and large living/kitchen areas. Check out the pics and schedule your showing today!!!
-
2023-05-24status Pending
-
2021-12-03$130,000 Active
-
2007-03-09soldstatus
-
2007-03-08soldstatus
-
2006-08-23$35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,971 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,461 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- +$490/yr (+$41/mo · 24.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,553
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,534
- − Property taxes
- −$1,971
- − Insurance
- −$672
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,644
- − Management
- −$1,644
- − Depreciation
- −$3,913
- Taxable income
- $3,174
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$762
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,367/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,456
- Household income
- $84,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 17% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 19% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.60%
- Current HPI
- 203.9934
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+284.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $134,500 SAAR TX
- 2023-10-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-10-20 Sold (MLS) — SAAR TX
- 2023-10-03 Pending — SAAR TX
- 2023-09-14 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2023-08-28 Pending — SAAR TX
- 2023-08-24 Listed $125,000 SAAR TX
- 2023-05-24 Pending — SAAR TX
- 2021-12-03 Listed $130,000 SAAR TX
- 2007-03-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-03-08 Sold (MLS) — SAAR TX
- 2006-08-23 Listed $35,000 SAAR TX
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,971 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…