8662 Ashley Way · Douglasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$113,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Turnkey investment opportunity in Ashley Oaks! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath townhome offers a smart layout, low-maintenance exterior, and strong rental appeal in a sought-after Douglasville location. Just minutes from shopping, dining, and I-20 for added convenience. Also available as part of a rare 18-property portfolio-an excellent chance to expand or start your investment journey.
Key facts
- Strong rental appeal
- Minutes from dining
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $113k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $113k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.3% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
- Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Burnett Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 435 students, 94% FRL); Chestnut Log Middle School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #333 of 470 statewide, top 72%, 726 students, 78% FRL); Douglas County High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 1,969 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 53% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 456 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 74d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $781 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.85%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,939
- List price
- $113,000
- Delta
- -27.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8654 Ashley Way | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 942 (0%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $138 | 94 |
| 8653 Ashley Way | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 822 (-13%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $122 | 76 |
| 8675 Ashley Way | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 786 (-17%) | 6mo | $113,000 | $144 | 68 |
| 8678 Ashley Way | 0.03mi | 2/2.5 | 1,110 (+18%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $122 | 65 |
| 8676 Ashley Way | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,110 (+18%) | 10mo | $66,000 | $59 | 61 |
| 9059 Stoneleigh Trce | 0.89mi | 2/2.0 | 1,050 (+12%) | 1mo | $174,000 | $166 | 41 |
| 6174 Field Stone Dr | 0.81mi | 2/1.0 | 1,041 (+10%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $144 | 41 |
| 6104 Cobblestone Ct | 0.86mi | 2/1.5 | 1,000 (+6%) | 17mo | $170,000 | $170 | 39 |
| 6170 Field Stone Dr | 0.81mi | 2/2.0 | 853 (-9%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $182 | 38 |
| 6178 Field Stone Dr | 0.81mi | 2/2.0 | 1,113 (+18%) | 11mo | $174,000 | $156 | 27 |
| 9023 Stoneleigh Trce | 0.89mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 1,035 (+10%) | 17mo | $160,000 | $155 | 26 |
| 9018 Stoneleigh Trce | 0.86mi | 2/2.0 | 1,035 (+10%) | 23mo | $148,000 | $143 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $751
- Equity at exit
- $16,849
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $14,396
- Equity at exit
- $9,770
Cash invested: $31,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 15.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $125,500 ($144/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 147 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +15.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30134
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 456
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,451 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$593
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,703/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $365
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $429 | -5% $397 | +0% $365 | +5% $333 | +10% $301 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $250 | -5% $308 | +0% $365 | +5% $422 | +10% $480 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $422 | -0.5pp $394 | base $365 | +0.5pp $336 | +1.0pp $306 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,250
- Closing costs
- $3,390
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6363 Melrose St Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,550 | $1.63 | 139d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 6266 Melrose St Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,325 | $1.25 | 76d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 8753 Bowden St Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,300 | $1.51 | 108d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 6765 W Strickland St Unit B Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $1,295 | $1.32 | 98d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6787 Strickland St Douglasville, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $550 | $0.58 | 41d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 6787 Strickland St Douglasville, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $625 | $0.66 | 139d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 8460 Hospital Dr Douglasville, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 701 | $1,278 | $1.82 | 120d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8367 Warren Dr Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 29d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8365 Warren Dr Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 8424 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,306 | $1.17 | 19d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8424 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,187 | $1.35 | 10d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8424 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $954 | $1.45 | 28d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 9018 Stoneleigh Trce Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,600 | $1.55 | 114d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 9018 Stoneleigh Trce Unit Stoneleigh Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,500 | $1.45 | 74d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 8500 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 943 | $1,495 | $1.59 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 8040 Colquitt St Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $1,245 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8288 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,510 | $1.44 | 98d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8242 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 139d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8057 Fieldstream Way Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,580 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-31days on market $113,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $113,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $113,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $113,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $113,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $113,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $113,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $113,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $113,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $113,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $113,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $113,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $113,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $113,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $113,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $113,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $113,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $113,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $113,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $113,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $113,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $113,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $113,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $113,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $113,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $113,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $113,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $113,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $113,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $113,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $113,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $113,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $113,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $113,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $113,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $113,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $113,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $113,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $113,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $113,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-14price $113,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $115,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $115,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $115,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $115,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $115,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $115,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $115,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $115,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $115,000 Active 98 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,703 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,703 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,417
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,330
- − Property taxes
- −$1,703
- − Insurance
- −$565
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,393
- − Management
- −$1,393
- − Depreciation
- −$3,287
- Taxable income
- $2,746
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$659
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,722/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This townhouse requires moderate repairs, particularly to the roof, and could benefit from landscaping and exterior painting to increase its value.
Components & finishes AI
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Visible rust and wear
- Minor exterior siding — Some discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Both repair and paint roof — A new roof would significantly increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both landscape and add curb appeal — A well-maintained landscape can enhance both the home's curb appeal and its rental potential ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Douglas County
- NCES district ID
- 1301860
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,335
- Composite
- 25.84/100
- National rank
- #7353
- State rank
- #92 of 174 in GA
Livability — Douglasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #6971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Douglasville, GA
- County
- Douglas County · 163,022 people
- City population
- 114,380
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,580
- Household income
- $76,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,022 people
- By 2030
- 173,956 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 196,859 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 220,017 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 279,831 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 322,702 · +97.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.36%
- Current HPI
- 243.9426
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.03%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
-55.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $115,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $115,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-12-20 Price Changed $131,200 GAMLS
- 2025-11-21 Listed $113,000 GAMLS
- 2021-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $917,000 Public Records
- 2011-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $372,000 Public Records
- 2011-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $287,000 Public Records
- 2011-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,703 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…